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Griffin Mining - golden future (GFM)     

Sharesure - 10 Jun 2005 19:26

Griffin Mining - golden future! http://www.basemetals.com/

GFM deserves a new thread after todays AGM. For the first time the venue was packed with shareholders, a tribute to the interest and support the company has for what the Board has achieved. For those unable to be at the meeting here are some of the points I noted which may interest folk on this BB.

Production: dry and wet testing now completed and zinc concentrate comes through the smelter next week. Zinc price on the LME is currently $1300/ton. GFM is being offered $1700/ton at the mine gate. This premium reflects the demand and difficulty local industry has in sourcing this basic metal ( As an aside the chairman reported that zinc is not easily and efficiently extracted as a recycled metal so newly mined zinc is always required). Cost of production is $595/ton ($700/ton if all depreciation costs are included). Labour costs are $1000/worker pa cf an Aussie underground worker of $130,000/worker pa. Apparently the 20m.pa worker migration from agricultural to industrial jobs means that there are queues of applicants wanting jobs at the mine; wage inflation is not an issue. 240+ employees on site to run the mine on a 24/7 basis.
Production can be increased w/o further investment for a throughput of 400,000 tons of ore pa; An increase to 500,000tons pa would require further investment of between $1m and $2m . All plant has been purposely over-engineered to ensure capacity can rise reliably and with back-up facilities (eg 3 boilers, 2 of which are back-up)
H&S is to world stds., setting an example to the rest of the Chinese mining industry which has a poor record currently because of the number of small private mines.

Reserves: 14.5years supply on current zone rising to 25 years in zone 3. Chairman showed an independent report which believes that the closure of many existing zinc mines is now producing a supply gap which will continue to improve the zinc price cycle to year 2012.

Profits: No problems known or foreseen to the repatriation of profits. However the chairman stated that the profits might achieve more for shareholders if the company uses these for further exploration and possibly buying back the companys shares. The latter move might help resolve the current shorting problem where it is thought that between 6 or 7 million shares are currently being shorted. This move could have a highly geared effect on increasing the share price and help deter the shorters/stock bashers from further activity.

Exploration: Chairman says company will be drilling a further 18,000m over the coming summer months and in his personal view he expects the company to steadily move towards becoming a gold mining concern, with some of the profits from the zinc smelting funding that work. An RC rig which costs 33% of the cost of a diamond drilling rig has been brought on to site.
Future exploration areas always being looked at + changes in Chinese Ministry of Land & Resources policy towards funding means that GFM will likely be offered many more prime government held assets in the near future.

Personal view is that GFM is a well and responsibly run mining company which is now likely to really grab a lot more attention as the profits start to flow as of next week. I am sure others on this BB at the meeting can fill the gaps where I have missed anything.

explosive - 21 Feb 2006 19:32 - 881 of 1193

Aldwick - loved the post above however I do think one thing is missing. That being throughout the entire process there have been minimal teething problems and no serious accidents or deaths. I as an investor value this track record, where many companies would have complied with Eastern law Griffin has complied with Western Health and Safty procedures. Says only one thing to me regarding the board, 100% professional with morals in the correct places!! This is a great scorecard for Griffin which I very much hope they manage to keep. A healthy company is a profitable one and Griffin has set the standard within China.

Sharesure - 21 Feb 2006 19:37 - 882 of 1193

explosive - agrre entirely and with that level of morality they will likely get offered other opportunities from the Gov.'s yet to be privatised assets in other areas.

explosive - 21 Feb 2006 19:42 - 883 of 1193

Sharesure - Hadn't thought of that angle but yes I see where your coming from. Another knock on would also be that Griffin would be highly sort after as a company to work for capable of attracting the best in their field to employment.

explosive - 22 Feb 2006 20:21 - 884 of 1193

Anyone got an idea of gold reserve size? Add this to the balance sheet and the sp can only go one way. I await news in anticipation.

TheFrenchConnection - 27 Feb 2006 07:48 - 885 of 1193

Amities ,,Re; RNS What a wonderful Monday morning . $ ,,,,@+ J ..Thus explaining why mms soaked up Fridays "sell off" without hardly moving the s/p ,,,,.

explosive - 27 Feb 2006 18:16 - 886 of 1193

Couldn't agree more TFC, a great start to the week. RNS posted below should anyone wish to read.... :-)


Griffin Mining Ld
27 February 2006


GRIFFIN MINING LIMITED
60 St James's Street, London SW1A 1LE, United Kingdom
Telephone: + 44 (0)20 7629 7772 Facsimile: + 44 (0)20 7629 7773
E mail: griffin@griffinmining.com

27th February 2006


PRODUCTION INCREASES AT CAIJIAYING ZINC GOLD MINE


Griffin Mining Limited ("Griffin" or the "Company") is pleased to announce that
throughput at the Caijiaying mine processing facilities ("the Mill") has been
increased from 23 tonnes of ore per hour (the equivalent of 200,000 tonnes of
ore per annum) as specified in the project feasibility study, to 32 tonnes of
ore per hour (the equivalent of 275,000 tonnes of ore per annum) on a consistent
basis without any detrimental effect on recovery rates. This has been achieved
without incurring any additional capital expenditure.

It is expected that further increases in throughput at the Mill will be achieved
during the year.

Mladen Ninkov, Griffin's Chairman, commented as follows:

"Thanks again to the extraordinary efforts of the management and staff,
Caijiaying is now delivering greater throughput which will be reflected in more
zinc concentrate being produced and increased revenues. Once again another
wonderful result for Griffin's shareholders."

TheFrenchConnection - 28 Feb 2006 23:51 - 887 of 1193

Amities / Never say Never but i am reliably informed by colleagues on the German bourses that many "shorts" in GFM were closed yesterday . Some by neccassity. Others from choice ..But as it happens much of the 8 million overhang has evaporated this past few days ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, l can imagine thier appetite is not whetted by the current upside/downside ratio which shows GFM have a 10 day average above the actual " bid "price , a 50 day average price standing a tad shy of 63p and the 180 day average price{ a better yardstick really for bluechips and established midcaps as opposed to smallcaps }} is now inexcess of 50p .The charts patently show a distinct and obvious uptrend no matter what variable you employ. And it is an uptrend juste waiting to explode .. ..And once annuals are made known i feel the market will give and re-rate{ from expo to producer} a share that for years has delivered on every single one of its objectives ...l feel the annuals is the only way the shorters will dissappaer once and for all. ...... l mean i ask you ? From all the eco variables one could select, i simply ask you ,,," How many mining shares ,with both supply and demand in place, do you know that have NO gearing !!! ,,,Think about it ,,, l freely admit i have a sizeable position in GFM bought at 2p bought in the midst of the "hi tec fallout" ,,lol l rest my case .....@+ J .

magicmick - 01 Mar 2006 00:50 - 888 of 1193

today (tue) i sold 17380 shares and then bought them back (17000 shares) just to get my cgtax quater in. why are both trades showing as a sell? can anyone answer
please? sorry message is so late at night just finished work. thx in advance.

TheFrenchConnection - 01 Mar 2006 01:33 - 889 of 1193

Amities / Mick . As often happens with stocks with narrow spreads unless you have level 2 the trade is treated as a "BUY" if it is nearer the "Offer" price than the "bid" ,,,,,and vice versa. ,, Happens frequently ,,,,,,tu es bienvenue ...a'bientot ...@+ J ,

h.hairettin - 01 Mar 2006 01:52 - 890 of 1193

http://www.proactiveinvestors.com/registered/articles/article.asp?GFM

Griffin Mining, the first western company to build a new hard rock mine in China, today announced, as expected, a further increase in production from the Caijiaying Zinc and Gold Mine.

Griffin started production last year at Caijiaying, and initially targeted zinc ore bodies for extraction. Some investors may find it surprising that zinc would be extracted first over Gold ore, but there are two very good reasons why this is the case.

The first reason is that Griffin initially proved up a resource of zinc, and even though their was evidence of gold bodies, the higher grade gold lies beneath the zinc.

The second and more fascinating reason is the incredible demand for zinc in China. China has build a number of smelters to cope with demand for base metals as the country continues to expand rapidly.





The problem though is that even with excess capacity to take in ore, zinc is in tight supply. This has played out brilliantly for Griffin, which was lucky enough to move into production at a time when demand for Zinc was soaring. As a result, Griffin is receiving a premium for its products compared to prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME).

Griffin however, knew when they built the mine that at some point extracting gold and zinc would be possible, so the company added a gold circuit in the original mine construction. The gold circuit has yet to be switched on, but recently Griffin began testing it, as the company is nearing depths were gold intersects and grades are high enough to warrant extraction.

Today Griffin announced that production from mine processing facilities had increased from 200,000 tonnes of ore per annum to 275,000 tonnes. This was completed at no extra capital costs, and is part of an ongoing ramp up to maximise the current mines capabilities. Directors in Griffin, also have options that expire at the end of February 2007, which can only be exercised if the mine is producing at an annual rate of 500,000 tonnes of ore per annum. Needless to say, the company has considerable motivation to continue increasing production for the next 12 months. This will involve some capital expenditure to add in extra flotation, an additional settling tank and some other equipment. The revenues currently being generated are more than sufficientto cover these outlays. Griffin has the enviable position of having no hedges on its zinc production, and the mine has no debt.


Griffin is also in the process of securing addition land surrounding the current mine. Griffin believes that there could be further ore bodies that lie beyond the current license along the F45 Fault (Click here)

Griffin is also looking at other projects in China, with a particular taste for base or gold metal deposits.

Considering that Griffin is selling Zinc when prices are incredibly strong, one has to wonder what Griffin intends to do with all of that cash? We put that question to Finance Director Roger Goodwin, who conceded that IF Griffins ambitions at Caijiaying bear out, the company will consider a dividend pay out to reward the loyalty of shareholders. Roger stressed that this decision has not be taken yet, but that it was an option the company is considering, and could possibly occur in 2007.

In the meantime, the company has a pretty full plate between attempting to move production to 500,000 tonne of ore per annum, and acquiring and exploring the outlying areas around Caijiaying. Not to mention the continual drilling in the immediate vicinity to identify further reserves and resources of zinc and gold

For further reading on understanding how to value mining companies we recommend

aldwickk - 01 Mar 2006 08:15 - 891 of 1193

Thats a very good read, thanks.

Sheba - 01 Mar 2006 09:16 - 892 of 1193

Message to Magicmick -I thought that if you sold and brought back in - within a 30 day period you could not use your gain within your capital gains allowance - unless repurchased in the wife's name ! maybe someone else could confirm.

magicmick - 01 Mar 2006 10:33 - 893 of 1193

re:msg 892 i have no idea as i am new to shares. could someone shed some light on this subject please.thxs again.

Sharesure - 01 Mar 2006 10:51 - 894 of 1193

While waiting for GFM's true value to be appreciated take a look at COP - might hold out some quick gains.

016622 - 01 Mar 2006 11:38 - 895 of 1193

ss - been watching this for months
shows signs of taking off, then drops like a stone.
have you any news?

016622 - 01 Mar 2006 11:38 - 896 of 1193


explosive - 06 Mar 2006 21:04 - 897 of 1193

The share seams to have gone to sleep, I expected some volumes in the past week!

aldwickk - 08 Mar 2006 08:01 - 898 of 1193

Price up 7% already, 70p closing price ?

bingobingham - 08 Mar 2006 08:28 - 899 of 1193

This is looking very good now, just what holders have been waiting for. Well done GFM! Long term story is looking very good now. Wait until the institutions start piling in.

016622 - 08 Mar 2006 08:55 - 900 of 1193

bingo!
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