.

Perhaps it's not for me...?......let's get a kick out of gas....and hope it's not all hot air.....another condensate strike and the sp will rise...oil and wooosssh....if commercial......

I'm convinced that there is oil and gas around these southern licences......but it might take more than this first drilling campaign to find most of it......after Stebbing : another two wells.....big, big chance of finding something commercial....who knows....if there is a big gas kick...as we speak they might have struck oil eldorado !.....possible.....

They got a gas kick on the 21st of June hence rig was shut down as i posted but did not give reason why,yes it could be said as good news but far to early to call.

Look at Desire they said they hit oil in turned in to bloody water over the weekend.

RF your going to end up like humpty dumpty.

Oil is what they need to hit not gas at present time.

cynic, simply look at a chart of volume - it only goes over 5m when there is a leak or there is news.

Wait for volume near 5 million and you will know news is coming..............

cynic - 02 Jul 2012 16:50 - 939 of 943
bullshit ...... volume today was <3m against a running daily 3 month average of just under 5m ...... you've played that tune too often of late

not that it's at all important, but you do not mention what news attached to the 5 spikes you show ...... and don't forget that bad news will also produce very heavy volume!

cynic, all I am saying is you will know when news is coming - what the news is who knows.

The first 3 spikes were the pre-news spikes, followed by the big one on the news. So it should be at least 1 if not 2 days of 5m plus volume will come before news imo.

I am mostly in FOGL......still have some BOR but what I have is a punt and depending on BOR result will either keep or move over to FOGL.....

This is exactly my plan of attack RF..........Small amount of Borders and Southern and gradually building up my stake in Falklands Oil and Gas.

Yes...you never know : they might strike lucky.....but FOGL looks the better bet...at the present moment...

Not looking good here....any news ?...

if any leak, it won't be oil is my guess

I feel we have a lot of nervous investors in this stock (understandably so). We are at roulette stage now guys..........Red or Black/Odds or Evens; is there Oil/Gas = £'s or not.

My 2p worth.........I have always believed that the waters of the Falklands is the "New North Sea", this is my belief, nothing more (I am not a Ramper), just an investor who has followed the region for a number of years now. We already know we have a commercial strike in the North with Rockhopper, why not in the South with Borders and Southern/Falkland Oil and Gas.

no better than gas at stebbing is a reasonable bet

It's possible that they will hit something, probable that it will be either gas or oil, potentially in commercial quantities, which may result in the sp going in either direction. I feel that is about as accurate as any of the previous predictions and should be a good guide for anyone considering investing in BOR at present. ;o)

Going to be another 1 to 2 weeks to TD imo.

I like the last line "......Argentina lost the Falklands over Repsol"

http://oilprice.com/Geopolitics/South-America/Business-as-Usual-for-Big-Oil-Despite-Falkland-Tensions.html

Business as Usual for Big Oil Despite Falkland Tensions

By Jen Alic | Thu, 05 July 2012 22:44 | 0

Benefit From the Latest Energy Trends and Investment Opportunities before the mainstream media and investing public are aware they even exist. The Free Oilprice.com Energy Intelligence Report gives you this and much more. Click here to find out more.

While tensions between Britain and Argentina have been rising as a natural response to the 30th anniversary of the Falkland War, oil is the primary driver of a renewed Falkland dispute that will determine the fate of tens of billions of dollars in black gold.

At the same time, while Argentine President Cristina Kirchner and British Prime Minister David Cameron are trading serious barbs over the sovereignty issue, big oil companies are largely ignoring the implications and conducting business as usual.

The Falkand Islands (Islas Malvinas) were reclaimed by the British in June 1982 after a 74-day war in response to an Argentine invasion. Argentina lost 649 troops in the war, while the UK lost 255 troops. The 30th anniversary of this war coincides with some major oil developments, which the UK is hoping to resolve by supporting the Falkland government’s holding of a referendum on its political status in 2013.

Argentina is on the losing end of this battle. Not only will the referendum favor the status quo, but Kirchner’s recent move to nationalize Argentina’s interests in Spain’s Repsol oil company has lost her any support she might have enjoyed (particularly from Spain, France and Italy) over the Falklands issue.

This is exactly what big oil is banking on, and recent months have seen some significant developments that seem to ignore the brewing tensions entirely. Two major discoveries are set to turn the Falklands into a key oil player almost overnight. The first, and less significant, is the 1.3 billion barrel discovery by Rockhopper’s Sea Lion (RKH) in the north Falklands Basin. The second is the 4.7 billion barrel prospect of Loligo, for which FOGL plans to start drilling its first well this month.

The Loligo prospect was boosted by news that came in the first week of June that Edison Spa, an Italian utility bought by France’s EDF in June, will acquire a 25% interest in northern licenses of Falkand Oil & Gas and another 12.5% interest in FOGL’s southern licenses. The significance of the Edison Spa deal is that it will provide FOGL with some much-needed financing to get things under way in Loligo. In return for the licenses, the utility company will fund FOGL’s drilling to the tune of $50 million and hand over another $40 million in cash.

The oil angle to the Falklands dispute gained momentum in 2010 when the UK authorized prospecting, provoking the ire of Argentina. The next major uptick in the ongoing crisis came in December last year, when Rockhopper revealed that its Sea Lion field held more oil than expected. This in turn led to an immediate increase in interest in the Falklands’ offshore oil prospects. The UK moved quickly to ensure the security of these discoveries by sending in naval units, prompting a harsh response from Argentina and escalating the crisis.

But the UK holds most of the cards. Not only will “Falklanders” vote to remain a self-governed overseas territory of the United Kingdom in a referendum, but Spain, Italy and France in particular have no sympathy for Argentina in the aftermath of its decision to nationalize its Repsol interests. Oil exploration is proceeding as if the dispute is resolved.

So with the oil momentum already picking up an irreversible pace, how will the sovereignty dispute be resolved? As far as the UK is concerned, it will not negotiate the issue before the United Nations unless it is asked to do so by the Falklands legislature, which is happy to hold a referendum. The results of the referendum will provide the UK with any ammunition it needs.

Argentina’s only real recourse here is military. We can expect a great deal of bluster on the issue and some high-minded rhetoric recalling British colonialism and the like in the coming weeks, particularly as plans proceed at a fast pace for exploration and drilling. But in the end, this will be toothless bluster designed largely to allow Kirchner to appease a public that has long been taught to view the Falkland Islands as an integral part of Argentina.

The UK might have been willing to decolonize the Falklands, and certainly, it has seriously entertained the notion in the past. But now that the Falkands are set to become a major oil player, the situation is very different. No one wants Argentina to step in and claim the islands with the fear of nationalization fresh on the heels of the Repsol debacle. The bottom line is that Argentina lost the Falklands over Repsol.

By. Jen Alic of Oilprice.com

Nice write up, and speculation Darwin will be commercial.

http://www.pennenergy.com/index/articles/newsdisplay/1698147026.html

.

as you write - "speculation"

Remember this, prior to Sea Lion, falling volume, falling share price then suddenly massive buying, jumps up and then the RNS, all on the same day 6th May 2010.




The only oil find so far had NO LEAKS at all until the day of the RNS. Nobody knew.

Stebbing is actually following Sea Lion so far, meaning that there could be additional clamping down on any news - total news blackout and no need for "false leaks" to be spread around.

Will there be oil ?