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Centamin Egypt : Worth waiting for... (CEY)     

pthwaite - 20 Sep 2004 10:27

CEY is a gold mining company operating in Egypt. It was ordered by the Egyptian Government to stop drilling pending a legal dispute brought against the company by a government minister.

Since then, the whole Government cabinet was replaced a few months ago and the minister now in charge of Mining is believed to be positive on Western investment in the country. CEY are pushing for this minister to allow them to continue drilling ASAP; investers are waiting....patiently.

As soon as the company gets the go-ahead to continue drilling, the share price will move north; CEY has plenty of gold in this mine and it is (apparantly) the case of "raking" it out rather than drilling for it!

Check them out...worthy of a punt.

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=CEY&Si

HARRYCAT - 04 Aug 2011 13:01 - 961 of 2354


CEY is 50% state owned. How can a bid happen, particularly at the moment with a military caretaker government?

aldwickk - 04 Aug 2011 19:54 - 962 of 2354

CEY is not 50% owned by the goverment

The Sukari Mining Licence covers an area of 160 km2 and is for a period of 30 years, with an option for a further 30 years. The Sukari Gold Project has been scheduled for open pit mining over an initial 15-year period. During that time 78 Mt ore @1.5 g/t Au is expected to be mined,

HARRYCAT - 04 Aug 2011 20:21 - 963 of 2354

aldwickk:
"Centamin owns half of the operating company, the rest is owned by the government therefore they share equally the net profits from the mine.The government has the right to take back the project in the event of national emergency, due to war or imminent expectation of war or internal causes. Centamin says it does not foresee this happening and that it has not seen to date any material adverse effect to the Sukari operation arising from current events in Egypt. Centamin has to pay 3% royalty on sales revenue but pays no other tax. Goldman Sachs reckons the result of the profit sharing and royalty means that Centamin effectively pays 38% corporate tax rate. From 2014 this will be around 48% of net cashflow. Payments to the government start after full capital expenditure recovery. Analysts reckon this will start in 2014. The concession agreement will be renegotiated in 2025."

HARRYCAT - 06 Aug 2011 08:15 - 964 of 2354

Not quite sure where chart support is. Somewhere around 80p possibly?

kernow - 07 Aug 2011 11:12 - 965 of 2354

Not sure I know anything anymore. The mix is just too complicated - financial turmoil should be good for gold but anything risky is being dumped. CEY is certainly in that category reinforced by hiding bad news for too long. Eygypt seems more unstable than ever - fundamentally the army still rules and still will even when/after a new notional democracy emerges. Sending foreign capatalists packing could be a popular move.
This share is in my too difficult for now tray which means I'll sit on my hands and grow poorer by the day.

aldwickk - 07 Aug 2011 13:22 - 966 of 2354

With the Army in control CEY should be safe , its if some Weston hating Muslim's get control.

aldwickk - 07 Aug 2011 13:22 - 967 of 2354

With the Army in control CEY should be safe , its if some Weston hating Muslim's get control.

gibby - 08 Aug 2011 09:00 - 969 of 2354

gey only for the brave

i am in at 94

gibby - 08 Aug 2011 09:01 - 970 of 2354

sorry cey

gibby - 08 Aug 2011 09:02 - 971 of 2354

and sell darn quick!!!!!

gibby - 08 Aug 2011 09:04 - 972 of 2354

missed the low but hey ho

gibby - 08 Aug 2011 09:07 - 973 of 2354

quick

made a bt lol cant be bothered roll on rrl rmp etc

goldfinger - 10 Aug 2011 09:11 - 974 of 2354

Broker recommendations since beginning of August make for good reading....

Centamin Egypt Ltd

FORECASTS 2011 2012
Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Evolution Securities Ltd
08-08-11 ADD 144.98 12.78 137.94 11.73
Westhouse Securities
04-08-11 BUY 11.60 13.80
Numis Securities Ltd
03-08-11 BUY 107.38 9.82 125.79 11.66
Broker Name Withheld 3
02-08-11 BUY 89.80 8.24 111.94 10.21


Hemscott Premium.

aldwickk - 11 Aug 2011 08:47 - 975 of 2354

Reflecting the continuing strength of gold which traded at a record $1,791 an ounce, Randgold Resources surged 265p to 6387.5p. Broker Investec suggests Randgold could launch an opportunistic offer for Centamin Egypt, 1.9p better at 104.05p.
Analysts reckon a bid for Centamin would be accretive on all measures. The enlarged company would be significantly larger, producing 46 per cent more gold.


Read more: http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-2024497/MARKET-REPORT-Hunters-prowl-takeover-jungle.html#ixzz1Uhixx3LS

niceonecyril - 18 Aug 2011 09:24 - 976 of 2354

As Chavez Pulls Venezuela's Gold From JP Morgan, Is The Great Scramble For Physical Starting?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/17/2011 16:27 -0400




In addition to the nationalization of his gold insutry, Chavez earlier also announced that he would recover virtually all gold that Venezuela hold abroad, starting with 99 tons of gold at the Bank of England. As the WSJ reported earlier, "The Bank of England recently received a request from the Venezuelan government about transferring the 99 tons of gold Venezuela holds in the bank back to Venezuela, said a person familiar with the matter. A spokesman from the Bank of England declined to comment whether Venezuela had any gold on deposit at the bank." That's great, but not really a gamechanger. After all the BOE should have said gold. What could well be a gamechanger is that according to an update from Bloomberg, Venezuela has gold with, you guessed it, JP Morgan, Barclays, and Bank Of Nova Scotia. As most know, JPM is one of the 5 vault banks. The fun begins if Chavez demands physical delivery of more than 10.6 tons of physical because as today's CME update of metal depository statistics, JPM only has 338,303 ounces of registered gold in storage. Or roughly 10.6 tons. A modest deposit of this size would cause some serious white hair at JPM as the bank scrambles to find the replacement gold, which has already been pledged about 100 times across the various paper markets. Keep an eye on gold in the illiquid after hour market. The overdue scramble for delivery may be about to begin.

From the CME:

skinny - 25 Aug 2011 07:30 - 977 of 2354

Appointment of Joint Broker


Centamin is pleased to announce that it has appointed RBC Capital Markets as joint broker to the Company with immediate effect.

HARRYCAT - 30 Aug 2011 11:11 - 978 of 2354

StockMarketWire.com
Centamin Egypt's pre-tax profits jumped to $104.3m in the six months to the end of June - up from $32.0m a year ago.

Revenues increased to $167.4m - up from $87.2m last time.

The group sold 113,502 ounces of gold in the period at an average price of $1,467 per oz compared with 66,378 oz at $1,308 per oz a year ago.

niceonecyril - 30 Aug 2011 12:50 - 979 of 2354

What might that have been(production/revenue)but for the following?

From Q2 RNS.

v Reduced blasting activities due to irregular issues of blast products by Blast Inspectors negatively impacted open pit and underground production, and as a result, gold production. The Company is confident issuing practices will return to normal in Q3.

kernow - 30 Aug 2011 13:34 - 980 of 2354

..but the gold not mined/sold is now worth more :-)
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