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Lamprell Group (LAM)     

Andy - 19 Feb 2008 16:22


Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=LAM&Si

The Lamprell Group has played an important role in the development of the offshore industry in the Arabian Gulf for over 30 years, providing increasingly specialised services to the offshore oil industry. Lamprell is managed by British nationals, with its corporate headquarters in Sharjah, one of the United Arab Emirates, Lamprell operates a full service jackup rig refurbishment facility in Sharjah and a modern, well equipped fabrication facility in Jebel Ali Free Zone, Dubai.

Lamprell located in the most important oil and gas region in the world, in one of the key commercial centres in the UAE.

Lamprell has its own core skilled and experienced workforce as well as access to additional skilled labour from the local labour supply market.


AIM Rule 26 Disclosure

This, in addition to the Group�s safety focused culture and experienced project management skills, helps to ensure customer satisfaction is maximised whilst risks are reduced.

Lamprell has built up its strong market position by offering a differentiated service to its clients based on safe working practices and completing projects on time, on budget and to a high quality. Accordingly, we believe that the Company has established a position of sustainable competitive advantage in the region.

ellio - 15 Sep 2009 14:21 - 81 of 709

Just to clarify, eps for the year could be near 30p, pe of 8 = 240p, 10x 300p, amec/pfc etc although more service driven than epc construction are on higher x's.

With a wing and a prayer if they announce more deals, 35p is a long shot possibility for this year = 350p. In other words, the recovery could provide a bug upside for Lamprell and I see this going into the 200's first with some ease?

jkd - 15 Sep 2009 14:47 - 82 of 709

i hold these from much lower down and have added since my original purchase.
a pull back from here is not out of the question. lets try to not get too over enthusiastic and too overcommited or we may find ourselves unable to sit thro the pullback, should it occur.without getting too emotional i.e, scared out of our long term position.although there is nothing wrong in taking a profit or partial profit, and adding again later.all just my opinion
regards
jkd


ellio - 15 Sep 2009 15:23 - 83 of 709

I had 24peps for year as it is with current numbers from recent results, the latest announcement makes it even better long-term, but you are right about the pullback, but what about historic high's?

ellio - 30 Sep 2009 10:03 - 84 of 709

New support levels at 150's, should still push to 200p to test, if it slips through then we know it will retest 170/180's where we are near/at now. Overall 240p is near-term target ie xmas. Not massive but steady, more deals will push it on though to 300p which is my optimistic target by Xmas!!

cynic - 30 Sep 2009 10:19 - 85 of 709

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=LAM&Si

cynic - 05 Oct 2009 08:35 - 86 of 709

some interesting market intelligence that may not bear out through all regions - e.g. west africa .....

"from an offshore drilling perspective, 2010 is predicted to be fairly flat but that 2011 will see all systems go."

even if that is so, then the various companies will still need to place orders for new rigs and refurbishment of old during 2010, which can only be good for LAM, though that is pretty much arabian gulf specific.

it is also (quite) possible, that aramco who pretty much control the oil industry over there, will suddenly decide (or be so instructed by the king) that they cannot continue to strangle the development of their oilfields, and thus turn on the taps earlier.

ellio - 06 Oct 2009 10:17 - 87 of 709

Cynic, I dont think that LAM just builds for the local market, I think its for the international market, the fpso was for the Italians, althogh cant remember the destination! Anyway, Panmure downgrades, price goes up! who are these jokers who make these reccomendations.

Bolshi - 06 Oct 2009 11:24 - 88 of 709

Did anyone see this article (with thanks to Old G on advf n thread) about Lammy building these 'boats'
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/natural_resources/article6860026.ece#

ellio - 06 Oct 2009 12:15 - 89 of 709

Yes, seen that on Lamprell's news section, as I say they build for the international market, so no boundaries and no limits for Lamprell. 200p will be testing though.

ellio - 06 Oct 2009 16:30 - 90 of 709

Can we have another downgrade tomorrow please as well, lol.

ellio - 08 Oct 2009 08:51 - 91 of 709

Think were ready for 200p!

ellio - 09 Oct 2009 09:41 - 92 of 709

Just do it will ya!

HARRYCAT - 09 Oct 2009 10:05 - 93 of 709

Very downbeat article in this week's Shares Mag, based on the fact that LAM's order book is heavily down from last year & though pipeline of tenders is encouraging, they still need to be converted into firm orders.
They suggest LAM is thus overvalued "stock has travelled too far, too fast in anticipation of a recovery" SELL

cynic - 09 Oct 2009 10:12 - 94 of 709

i would dearly love to see a full analysis of ALL Share Mags prognostications ..... my guess is that they are (far) more often wrong that right

chakli - 09 Oct 2009 10:21 - 95 of 709

share mag i lost on redstone 45%,viyalogy 30%,vyke close to 30% all were rec in share mag .they have some winnersbut the above shares i lost big stlye .
cynic share mag recomendations all over the place .
today vyke is recovering from low of 11 to 15 but bought them at 23.

cynic - 09 Oct 2009 10:23 - 96 of 709

it was more of a comment than anything else .... i always read and look at what they have to say, but am fairly circumspect about acting on same

HARRYCAT - 09 Oct 2009 10:37 - 97 of 709

I don't hold this stock atm, so I am pretty neutral, but interesting to see the hostile reaction to Shares Mag when they are bearish on a stock. Probably best to just see it as another opinion to add to the melting pot.

ellio - 09 Oct 2009 10:49 - 98 of 709

Let the chart be your friend? LAM are doing very well, eps of 20+p, possibly 30+p this year if they bag more contracts, they are solid for 20p+ in next 12months, how can share mag no what deals are to be done in 2010, the industry is set for mega growth in 2011-12, with such lack luster investment in 2008/9, the 5 year cycle will require new equipment "on stream" in 2013-15, these projects are 12 months in duration, LAM will strengthen during 2010 because they have held there own and got a good order book, I havent read the sharemag analysis but am thinking they are clueless.

cynic - 09 Oct 2009 10:58 - 99 of 709

ellio - i pretty much concur, and there is also the added possibility that LAM will be taken out

ellio - 09 Oct 2009 11:23 - 100 of 709

You read my mind on that one, profitable bolt-on for PFC/Wood Grp etc etc. My thoughts are someone may table 300p for LAM and rejected, this will push the price into this territory and interest will then be speculative from others with a further surge to 400p which will be on a high multiple of 15x+, from here we may then see the ecomoic cylce kick-in and a return to 500p may be possible if they strengthen(more deals), the signs are good, you could see a big change to this price in next 12-18 months but it depends on you investment strategy if you can wait 12 months. There is no denying there is strength in the price, it gets kicked back and bounces solidly the next day, retesting lows all the way.
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