September 01, 2010
Kenmare Steadies The Ship At Moma, And Is Now Within Sight Of A 10 Per Cent Market Share In The Production Of Titanium Feedstock
By Alastair Ford
This years a happier year than last year, thats for sure. So says Michael Carvill, managing director of Kenmare Resources, and given the bumps and scrapes that Kenmare incurred last year, its hard to disagree. Back in 2009, when markets were on the floor, Kenmare needed additional working capital to help it overcome teething issues with the start up of production at its Moma mineral sands mine in Mozambique. Market conditions being what they were, it was forced to offer equity at a heavy discount, and needless to say, existing shareholders werent exactly thrilled. But there was precious little choice, and, once the money was in, the company sorted out its issues with its plant and its contractors, fired up the Moma plant and started producing.
Then in March of this year, a second, far more substantial offering was made, also at a significant discount, and this time the shares were really hammered. On news that Kenmare planned to raise just under 180 million gross at a price of 12p per share, the companys shares dropped from 23p to just a whisker above the placing price. Again, existing shareholders werent delighted, but back in March the equity markets werent a whole lot friendlier than they were last year. Theyre not that friendly now. Still, after a wait that in total amounts to much, much more than a decade, Kenmare has finally got Moma up and running, and, with the new cash in the bank, is already looking at a major expansion. All told, that's not a bad result.
It may take a little while for all the dust that was thrown up in 2009 and earlier this year to settle. But, at the current price of 18p, the shares are at least starting to perk up again, helped along by a reasonably positive set of interim results put out by Kenmare at the end of August, which showed production coming along very nicely indeed. Were now operating at 100 per cent of nameplate capacity in terms of ilmenite production, says Michael, 90 per cent in terms of zircon, and 60 per cent of rutile. But then rutile always was the laggard of the pack, the runt of the litter. Its the ilmenite and the zircon that will make the running for now, generating the bulk of the US$40 million revenue that Kenmare booked in the first half. That number stacks up well against the US$26 million in sales that the company reported for the whole of 2009, and shows just how well things have progressed. The sting behind that number, though, is that cost of sales rang in at a whopping US$41 million, so operating profits are still some way off. Having said that, though, this time round Kenmare was actually able to book a US$21 million foreign exchange gain, which meant, for any bean counters out there, that at the bottom line the company was at least in the black.
And Michael Carvill is confident that the only way forward for Kenmare now is onwards and upwards. Production at site is going well, he says. The market has improved and is ready to take all our product. Weve fixed our production issues, and we believe that Moma has turned a corner in terms of production. The question now is whether the company can make a meaningful profit, and for that the pricing of ilmenite, zircon and rutile needs to continue to move in its favour. The current dynamic is indeed favourable, as Chinese demand is increasing by 16 per cent per year, according to numbers cited by Michael, but there are several other variables to consider too. Its an industry which is in a state of flux, says Michael. Historically its been a closely held oligopoly, made up of Anglo, Rio Tinto, and Iluka. Thats changed now that Exxaro has taken over from Anglo, Rio has issues in South Africa with electricity costs, and Iluka is concentrating on zircon. So none of the old truisms hold true for the next ten years.
What remains beyond doubt is that Kenmare has a huge resource available to it at Moma, and it now has the ability to exploit it. On current plans the company will increase production from 800,000 tonnes per year to 1.2 million tonnes, or 10 per cent of world titanium feedstock supply and six per cent of world zircon supply. That production upgrade should be completed within about 18 months time, and once thats bedded down a further production upgrade is on the cards. And why not? As Michael says, theres 200 years of supply in this mine, and weve now got a facility in place on an excellent orebody. He then adds perhaps the most important statement of all: were seeing steady increases in prices. Clearly itd be better if prices were even higher, but with other mineral sands operations in South Africa grappling with cost issues, as the global economy continues to recover from the 2008 crash Kenmare should be well positioned to step in and meet the increased demand.
http://www.minesite.com/nc/minews/singlenews/article/kenmare-steadies-the-ship-at-moma-and-is-now-within-sight-of-a-10-per-cent-market-share-in-the-prod/1.html