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Burren Energy -- Turkmenistan, Tankers and the Congo (BUR)     

pwmiles - 12 Feb 2004 06:11

draw?epic=BUR

This oil company floated (with a main market listing) in December. Its main production is in Turkmenistan -- it has its own fleet of tankers operating in the Caspian, and on the Volga and Don rivers -- it has profitable production interests in Congo-Brazzaville -- it has been granted an exploration license in Egypt -- it is debt free.

On a p/e of about 14 for 2003, it is not as cheap as it was but I like it as a growth story (particularly if it can bring its gas reserves in the Turkmen Nebit Dag field to market), and a play on continued strong oil prices.

http://www.burren.co.uk

jimmy b - 26 Feb 2006 20:29 - 121 of 161

Im not going anywhere Pond Life , like you say,, first stop 11 and then its onwards to new highs ..

salford - 27 Feb 2006 17:50 - 122 of 161

Haven't posted for many months, but am still in and looking forward to results.

Pond Life - 27 Feb 2006 20:29 - 123 of 161

Still moving up. We have had 8 straight days of rises. What a nice bounce!

Saintserf - 27 Feb 2006 23:56 - 124 of 161

When are the results?

Pond Life - 28 Feb 2006 08:37 - 125 of 161

30th March

Harry Peterson - 28 Mar 2006 10:47 - 126 of 161

excellent results are out on thursday and with the share price having dropped from a high of 1096 in january to 1033 today I'd say this could be a bargain share. buy today and sell on friday for a decent profit.

jimmy b - 28 Mar 2006 15:05 - 127 of 161

Or not sell on Friday for an even bigger profit .

Pond Life - 28 Mar 2006 17:45 - 128 of 161

LOL. The BUR story hasn't stopped just yet. Thursday is just another milestone. Given the market reaction to the DNX results today, we can look forward to a bright day on Thursday. I reckon BUR will reveal EPS of 110p give or take. With Dana now on an historic PE of 13.6, this would equate to a price for BUR of somewhere north of 14. We should all be so lucky!

jimmy b - 28 Mar 2006 17:57 - 129 of 161

Lets hope so Pond Life , some drilling news would be nice too , + the oil price being up this week ,all looks good .

jimmy b - 29 Mar 2006 16:09 - 130 of 161

Any view on this drop Pond Life ? i won't pretend to understand this one , just about to reveal good results (i think) ,and it gets hammered .

jimmy b - 29 Mar 2006 20:04 - 131 of 161

Copied from the other side , only piece of news i can find...

From Bloomberg (public news):

Burren, Maurel & Prom Shares Fall on M'Boundi Reserves Concern
2006-03-29 10:32 (New York)


By Simon Packard
March 29 (Bloomberg) -- Shares of Burren Energy Plc and
Maurel & Prom SA, two European oil-exploration companies, fell
after a minority partner in a Republic of Congo oil field cast
doubt on their reserve estimates.
London-based Tullow Oil Plc, publishing 2005 earnings
today, said estimated gross reserves of the M'Boundi oil field
are between 1 billion and 1.3 billion barrels, of which it
expects to recover about 21 percent.
``Maurel & Prom and Burren have a more upbeat view on the
reserves' than the more ``conservative view on the field' of
Tullow, said Charlie Sharp, an analyst at Jefferies International
Ltd. in London.
Burren Energy shares declined as much as 8.9 percent to 937
pence in London and at 4:28 p.m. were 71.5 pence lower at 956.5.
Maurel & Prom shares dropped as much as 7.7 percent to 17.28 and
at 5:28 p.m. in Paris were 1.35 euros lower at 17.37.
Tullow has an 11 percent stake in the M'Boundi field, which
is operated by Paris-based Maurel & Prom. London-based Burren,
which publishes 2005 earnings tomorrow, has a 35 percent stake
in the field and currently estimates M'Boundi's gross reserves
at 1.6 billion barrels.
Maurel & Prom, which has a 54 percent stake in the M'Boundi
field, has hired reservoir engineers DeGolyer and MacNaughton to
evaluate its reserves and will report figures on April 21.
Officials for Maurel & Prom declined to comment on the
Tullow estimates and officials at Burren wouldn't discuss the
M'Boundi field reserve estimates until it releases results
tomorrow at 7 a.m. London time.
Maurel & Prom hasn't changed an estimate that its proven
and recoverable reserves were 310 million barrels, based on a
probability of between 50 percent and 90 percent calculated by
surveyor Beicip.
If the reserve estimate included the 10 percent probability
of proven and recoverable reserves, Maurel & Prom's total
reserves amounted to 672 million barrels.

Harry Peterson - 01 Apr 2006 10:25 - 132 of 161


Analysts at Morgan Stanley argued this week that mergers involving Europes biggest oil and gas groups should be on the agenda. They cite the problems that the majors have in replacing the oil and gas that they produce, as well as relatively low valuations, as the triggers. The markets herd mentality means that once one deal is announced, others will follow, as observers of Britains telecoms or ports sectors will know. The independents will not be immune from corporate activity should their larger peers start the consolidation process.

Pond Life - 01 Apr 2006 15:33 - 133 of 161

Jimmy,
Sorry to take so long to respond - I've been away for a few days and unable to get to a screen - I think that was fortunate for me because if I'd seen BUR sinking down to 860ish and then recovering I would have been mental.
I think that this is all about reserves - the market was spooked by the Tullow statement on M'boundi along with their results on Wednesday - this is what caused the 75p drop.
To be honest, I haven't a clue where we go from here. This was a bolt out of the blue. We now must wait for the BUR / M&P statement on reserves which is due on 21 April. To me, this is now a gamble. Do I feel lucky?

jimmy b - 02 Apr 2006 11:18 - 134 of 161

Cheers Pond Life , just very unfortunate .

gallick - 04 Apr 2006 22:21 - 135 of 161

>> PL

I do not really see this as a gamble at all, so long as you can take at least a several month view, and after a period of consolidation now is not the time to get out IMHO. There is plenty of drilling going on including Egypt which could be interesting and the buran field is still coming up trumps and gas reserves are not factored into the share price, and this will be coming to market. The stockmarket is nowhere near coming to its senses about oil prices. I saw a note from Deutsche the other day saying that they believe that by 2010 crude will be trading at $35/barrel. Dream on boys, or get realistic and multiply that by 3 or 4 times.

My only reservation is that BUR is no longer a small cap and therefore the chances of it doubling this year are not so great (although I think 50% is possible).

rgrds
gk

jimmy b - 18 Apr 2006 10:36 - 136 of 161

That's better ,Burren starting to show it's real value.

Pond Life - 18 Apr 2006 13:51 - 137 of 161

Much better to see it going up by 70p than watching it fall by 70p. Today I can afford to smile again. Also holding VPC and SEY, so a great day all round.

cynic - 21 Apr 2006 15:21 - 138 of 161

as an alternative to JKX which i feel is due for some consolidation, i would have no hesitation in suggesting Burren Oil (BUR), which is another excellently managed company which consistently beats forecasts ..... Furthermore, it is currently just over 1 off its 52-week high, for no good reason ..... indeed, it has recently had a broker upgrade

cynic - 28 Apr 2006 12:22 - 139 of 161

sorry to sound as though i am just ramping, but i feel i should bring this share to everyone's attention yet again ...... for the same reasons as stated previously

Pond Life - 28 Apr 2006 12:49 - 140 of 161

cynic - and yet for some reason the shares continue week. I can only assume that the recent Directors' share sales have affected sentiment - that plus the fact that we are still awaiting news of ther reserves valuations for M'Boundi. M&P have already released their total figure as calculated by D'Golyer and Macnaughton, the consultants, but interestingly, the breakdown figure for M'Boundi was not given. Are BUR hiding any dark secrets? Surely not.
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