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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

dealerdear - 05 Jun 2008 16:00 - 1901 of 2350

It is quite clear to me that the MM's have no interest in holding any small cy shares atm which is why they raise the price a little to entice you to buy them, then they drop the price to trap you and to stop you selling them back. The only exceptions are stocks that have a huge amont of trades such as EEL or these small oil shares that lifted with the oil price.

Therefore, IMO these shares are going nowhere fast because the MM won't let them. If there is another huge lift in the oil price SER will benefit. If oil prices drop, SER will go with it. Any news out unless exceptional will have little effect on the sp.

Just the times we live in at the moment I'm afraid.

relishing - 05 Jun 2008 16:08 - 1902 of 2350

Nah, its always been like this on Sefton. Nowt to do with anything else.

Lots of small uninterested PI's were persuaded to buy in many years ago (pre-consolidation) by HB salesmen - Sefton did a rescue placing with them after the blowout. At quiet times between news (these guys never seem to know news is due) these guys are the only ones trading (selling) as the salesmen persuade them to transfer to something else they want to offload. These are easily identified by the amounts ending in 333 or 666 and the crap prices.

dealerdear - 05 Jun 2008 16:16 - 1903 of 2350

But it's the same with nearly all small caps. Believe me I watch them each and every day. If you take today as an example. apart from one or two nothing has moved at all. Don't be mislead by so called 20% movements. Nobody is making money on them, it is just the MM's moving the price around to keep us interested. They make sure the bid price doesn't go above the original offer price.

relishing - 05 Jun 2008 16:17 - 1904 of 2350

Can't say i've noticed that myself. How many stocks are you watching?

relishing - 05 Jun 2008 16:21 - 1905 of 2350

Anyway, its very common for movements not to cover the spread in a single day in small cap stocks. That's why its futile to try and trade them on a day-to-day basis. They need to be held for weeks/months at least to make the real returns.

dealerdear - 05 Jun 2008 16:23 - 1906 of 2350

About 100 all the time. Retrospectively, the only shares I could have made money on today was RBS, BARC, Persimmon or TW.

relishing - 05 Jun 2008 16:26 - 1907 of 2350

I'm long on RTO (Rentokil) today and up (sb).

As I said futile to try to trade small-caps on a daily basis.

Even my RTO spreadbet has 2-weeks to expiry lol. Wouldn't even trade that intra-day.

dealerdear - 05 Jun 2008 16:32 - 1908 of 2350

Not in a bull market it isn't!
You can make a lot if you're good enough.

With the way things are atm I prefer to trade daily if at all possible. If not then try to hold for a few days at the most. Catch the rise and then get out. The problem is all short-term traders are doing that because of the total lack of confidence so it all becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.

relishing - 05 Jun 2008 16:35 - 1909 of 2350

Seems a very high risk way of trading due to the spreads and MM antics etc, plus the possibility of the wrong news sending it hard in the wrong direction. I only trade larger caps and more liquid instruments such as oil futures short-term, where with gearing you can get the same % gains with less risk (if you manage it right).

dealerdear - 05 Jun 2008 16:37 - 1910 of 2350

Who do you trade the oil futures with?

relishing - 05 Jun 2008 16:38 - 1911 of 2350

IG Index. Same with the stocks.

dealerdear - 05 Jun 2008 16:43 - 1912 of 2350

Cheers. You're right it is high risk and almost impossible atm with shares.

I've only ever traded shares which is a mistake. Should have switched months ago when the credit crunch hit although initially there were gains to be had because of the volatility. I've missed the boat with other instruments but I'll have a look.

Sorry this is off thread!

relishing - 06 Jun 2008 14:34 - 1913 of 2350

Oil over $134/barrel.

Sefton RAKING it in.

dealerdear - 06 Jun 2008 14:37 - 1914 of 2350

But sp not!

relishing - 06 Jun 2008 14:41 - 1915 of 2350

Level2 ticked up to 6 v 1 a short while ago. Quite unusual to see 6 on the bid here.

Only HOOD left on the offer.

So still chance of a rise before close.

relishing - 06 Jun 2008 16:23 - 1916 of 2350

And there we go. :)

kuzemko - 06 Jun 2008 17:00 - 1917 of 2350

this is the sign we might of been waiting for.positive trend up and it didn't not break thru linear channels.high chances of positive news

driver - 07 Jun 2008 17:20 - 1918 of 2350

Hardman

THE MONTHLY
JUNE 2008

SEFTON RESOURCES Sefton Resources Inc. has reported a move to full-year profits of $282,813 on revenues of $2,977,691 against a loss of $378,334 a year ago. Revenues came in very close to our estimates of $2,947,000, although additional administrative expense and the accounting inclusion of share based compensation brought reported profits down compared to our estimates. We will address this issue going forward. Sefton have announced that all of the wells on the Tapia leases capable of production are now running, with the electrical hook-up at its three Snow wells completed. Each of the four new wells is now producing oil. The Yule #7 well which was recently steamed is also producing oil sooner than Sefton expected which bodes well for the future.
We continue to wait for engineering data regarding production rates from the newly tied in wells [and the steamed Yule #7 well]. Sefton has indicated this data will be reported when rates stabilize. This data is however a prerequisite for us being able to meaningfully update our forecasts.

kuzemko - 09 Jun 2008 14:59 - 1919 of 2350

:)

driver - 09 Jun 2008 15:02 - 1920 of 2350

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