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Traders Thread - Wednesday 10th March (SMIN)     

Crocodile - 09 Mar 2004 21:38

UK PreMarket Futures FTSE -22 DAX -34 DOW -7 S&P -2.5 Nasdaq -5

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2 Day

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UK News

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Gold/Bond Pivots Markets  Futures Translate
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1 Day 2 Day 5 Day  US News

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S&P Futures

Nikkei  -98   Hang Seng -164  Asia News

DAX CAC  Euro News
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US markets close lower for the second session as technology stocks trigger a broad-based sell off. Britain's trade deficit hit a record high in January due mainly to the weakness of the dollar to the pound.

Smiths Group met forecasts with a 7% fall in first-half profit to 141 million pounds and said it expected a second-half recovery in the detection unit. It said its aerospace, medical and specialty engineering divisions all achieved strong profit growth and improved margins during the half.

Carillion construction group reported a slight rise in annual profit to 50.8 million pounds that met forecasts and said it expected earnings growth in 2004.

Balfour Beatty construction and engineering reported an inline 10% rise in annual profit to 130 million pounds and said it expected further growth in 2004 as it wins more government contracts.

Amlin insurer full year profit was up a forecast beating 117% at 120.3 million pounds and said its short-term outlook was excellent

Countrywide Assured the UK's biggest estate agency, reported annual profit down 10% to 74.2 million pounds but ahead of expectations. It said it would return 85 million pounds to shareholders plus a final dividend of 4.75 pence a share

BAA reported a 8.9% rise in February passenger traffic to 9.5 million passengers in February boosted by an extra leap year day. without that the underlying increase was 4.7%

Luminar, The UK's biggest nightclub operator said sales fell 3% in the 8 weeks to Feb 29 but it expected full year results in line with expectations.

SMG media / radio profit fell more than 25% fell to 17.5 million pounds below forecasts due to the advertising slump and the effects of a restructuring, but that the first four months of 2004 were encouraging.

ukf.gif Calendar: United Kingdom
usf.gif United States (GMT)
euro.gif Europe & World (GMT

Smiths Group (I), Amlin (F), Balfour Beatty (F), Carillion (F),Concurrent Technologies (F), Countrywide Assured (F),  Future Network (F), Interserve (F), Mayborn Group (F), Schroder Ventures IT (F), Shore Capital (F), SMG (F), Traffic Figures - BAA, Centrica (AGM), Inflexion (AGM). London Merchant Securities (AGM)

Energy Corp CMS Energy Q4 Comverse Technology Inc Comverse TechnologiesQ4

13:30 Trade Balance Jan - $41.8B 15:00 Wholesale Inventories Jan 0.4%

A M B Generali Holding AG(F), E.ON AG (F), Adidas-Salomon AG (F),

Deutsche Telekom AG (I)

Publicis Groupe SA (F), Atos Origin (F)Credit Agricole SA (F)

Ex Dividend: Albion (4.30p), Alumasc Group (3.0), Anglo American (24.96), Avis Europe (2.6), Blick (9.50), Bwd Secs (12.00), Chrysalis Group (1.00), Close Brothers (9), Cosalt (12.50), Go-Ahead Group (11.00), HBOS (20.60), Lincat Group (5.80), Reuters Group (6.15), Rio Tinto (18.68), Reed Health Group (0.73), Regent Inns (1.82), Rolls-Royce (5.00), Royal Bank of Scotland (35.7), Scottish American Investm (1.42), Tops Estates (1.05),Treatt (5.70),Windsor (1.45)

Croc@SnappyTrader.com  WWW.SnappyTrader.com

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Crocodile - 09 Mar 2004 22:36 - 2 of 14

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little woman - 09 Mar 2004 22:57 - 3 of 14

Evening all

As a person who doesn't really understand charts, does this mean the market is still on a upward trend?

ThePlayboy - 10 Mar 2004 07:13 - 4 of 14

Updated 3/9 for Wednesday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 3/10
UP Above 10,525
DN Below 10,400

Continuation
Dow opens session lower, continues down throughout the day.

From prior commentary, "...the Dow has now seen an initial break of the major lower trend line of the wide, upward-sloping range. The break at 10,550 forecasts an even steeper decline to come..."
The Dow opened the session lower this morning and followed through to the downside throughout the day, as seen in the 15 and 60 Minute Charts. The index sold off another 73 points after declining sharply lower the prior session and is now approaching a clear support level at 10,400, seen in the Daily Chart.

The index has now sold off over 200 points in just two sessions, which means we could begin to see a period of sideways movement while the index digests the prior move. Watch for a consolidation to form at the lows to indicate continued weakness. Otherwise, an upside move through 10,525 will indicate strength.

Short Term Dow

Short term, the Dow has formed a clear trend line across the highs of today's downmove, seen in the 5 Minute Chart. An upside break through 10,475 will indicate strength at the Open tomorrow morning.

Medium Term Dow

In the medium term, we are still Short the Dow from 10,550 and will move stops down to 10,525 to lock in some of the profit, while allowing room to run to the downside. We will stay Short below 10,400, and will look for Longs above 10,525, with 20 point stops.

NASDAQ & S&P

The NASDAQ and S&P continued lower alongside the Dow today. Look for the formation of a pattern at the lows to indicate near-term direction. *

Summary

The Dow continued lower throughout the session today, marking another steady decline. Look for the index to begin forming a continuation pattern while the market digests the prior move.

ThePlayboy - 10 Mar 2004 07:14 - 5 of 14

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WEDS FTSE PP

R2 4566
R1 4554
PP 4542
S1 4530
S2 4518

Ftse closed below s1 on Tue and lost 5.3pts in the auction, perfect wedge and clear pattern to trade for Wed, pp tie in nicely with 4530/55 brk, divvy day tom so may buy the dip in the morning, can the dow regain 10520 Tue to show signs of strength?

Crocodile - 10 Mar 2004 07:40 - 6 of 14

Morning, looks like a down start for the FTSE & the trackers. Barc & Lloyds forecast more than -5 and GSk more than -10

little woman - 10 Mar 2004 09:06 - 7 of 14

Morning all

I seem to have acquired a really bad cold - its years since I've had one. So I shall be spending most of today wrapped up in bed...............

Melnibone - 10 Mar 2004 09:17 - 8 of 14

Couple of pints of brandy should fix that little woman.

Even if it doesn't, I don't think you'll be aware that
you still have a cold, so the result will be the same. ;-)

Melnibone.

little woman - 10 Mar 2004 10:06 - 9 of 14

What a wonderful idea melnibone - trouble is I'm supposed to be driving to the meeting near Basingstoke this evening, and it may put me over the limit! I'm going to have to see how I feel later.

little woman - 10 Mar 2004 10:08 - 10 of 14

The investment clubs investment into JVRS on monday is current showing a net profit of over 10% - not bad considering we bought this for the div!

stockbunny - 10 Mar 2004 11:59 - 11 of 14

Can I pick the brains of those present? It wont hurt honest!
Can anyone shed light on what 'single protected transactions' are?
It's a question that has come up on another thread and you are
a knowledgable bunch, so thought I'd ask - thank you!!

hilary - 10 Mar 2004 12:14 - 12 of 14

A protected transaction occurs when a large order is going through the market. The buyer (or seller) may wish to keep the order anonymous from the rest of the market as the size of the order could greatly alter the price of the stock. With a protected transaction, the dealer will put the trade through in small quantities rather than knock the whole order out in one hit. The entire transaction is reported once the deal is completed. The LSE is notified at the start and at the end of the transaction. However, the market as a whole isn't told until the end, thus the order is protected.

stockbunny - 10 Mar 2004 13:05 - 13 of 14

Thank you Hilary! Unfortunately from the movement of price yesterday
it seems the concept of it not affecting the price didn't quite come
off for GBG. Thanks again for taking the time to answer this.

Crocodile - 10 Mar 2004 16:31 - 14 of 14

Short BDEV still, nice short this morning as Wimpy and Persimmon had already fallen heavily and BDEV was positive.
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