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Global trade grew by around $300 billion in the first half of the year due to US imports and EU exports, the United Nations said on Tuesday. Despite the commercial war ignited by US President Donald Trump with his sweeping tariffs, global trade increased by around 1.7% compared to the second half of 2024, UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD) economist Alessandro Nicita told AFP. ‘But persistent policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and signs of slowing global growth pose risks for trade in the second half of the year,’ UNCTAD said in a statement. ‘The large increase for US imports was due to tariff front loading: US companies stockpiled goods before the tariffs went into effect on April 5,’ said Nicita. Trade in services remained the ‘main engine’ of growth, the UNCTAD report said. Global trade grew by about 1.5% in the first quarter of 2025 and is expected to have accelerated to about 2% in the second quarter. ‘Developed economies outpaced developing countries in the first quarter of 2025, reversing recent trends that had favoured the Global South,’ the report said. ‘The shift was driven by a 14% surge in US imports and a 6% jump in EU exports.’ However, imports dropped by 2% in developing countries. Trade imbalances, which Trump has cited as the reason behind his sweeping tariffs, ‘deepened during the last four quarters, with the US posting a larger deficit and China and the EU recording growing surpluses’, the report said. New US tariffs, including on steel and aluminium, ‘have raised the risk of trade fragmentation’, the report said. ‘Still, signs of resilience remain’, although those will depend on ‘policy clarity, geoeconomic developments and supply chain adaptability’, UNCTAD said. source: AFP Copyright 2025 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
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