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Late market roundup: FTSE 100 gains ground amid boosted rate cut hopes

ALN

London’s blue chip index climbed higher on Wednesday, buoyed by housebuilders amid boosted rate cut hopes.

The FTSE 100 index closed up 88.01 points, 0.9%, at 9,515.00.

The FTSE 250 ended 321.49 points higher, 1.5%, at 22,229.79 and the AIM All-Share advanced 2.17 points, 0.3%, at 768.03.

The Cboe UK 100 ended up 1.0% at 952.01, the Cboe UK 250 closed 1.5% higher at 19,361.39 while the Cboe Small Companies advanced 0.2% at 17,496.40.

Consumer prices rose 3.8% year-on-year, unchanged from August and below the FXStreet-cited consensus of a 4.0% increase, according to figures from the Office for National Statistics.

Core inflation, which strips out energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco, eased to 3.5% from 3.6%.

Both readings were below Bank of England forecasts for 4.0% and 3.8%.

In addition, closely watched services inflation held steady at 4.7%, defying forecasts for a rise to 4.8%, and below the BoE’s 5.0% projection.

Kathleen Brooks at XTB noted rate cut bets ramped up post the inflation report bolstering the chances of an early Christmas present from the UK’s central bank.

She said there are now 17 basis points of cuts priced in for December, compared to 10 bps of cuts expected on Tuesday.

‘Better UK inflation news brings a December rate cut back into play,’ said James Smith, developed markets economist at ING.

While Barclays said a quarter point rate cut could come as soon as November.

‘The flow of data since the September [BoE] meeting has been soft on the labour market, soft on activity and now soft on inflation  a compelling trinity,’ the bank noted.

While Goldman Sachs said the data ‘increase the risks that the next BoE cut comes earlier than our February baseline.’

In response, sterling fell while bond yields fell. The yield on the UK 10-year gilt traded below 4.40% in Wednesday, after topping 4.80% a month ago.

The pound was quoted lower at $1.3366 at the time of the London equity market close on Wednesday, compared to $1.3390 on Tuesday.

The euro stood at $1.1610, down slightly compared to $1.1612. Against the yen, the dollar was trading at JP¥151.78, a touch higher compared to JP¥151.74.

On the FTSE 100, rate sensitive housebuilders were buoyant, with Persimmon up 6.3%, Barratt Redrow up 5.1% and Berkeley Group, up 3.8%.

On the FTSE 250, builders merchant Travis Perkins surged 6.9% and building materials firm Marshalls climbed 5.9% on hopes rate cuts will accelerate growth in the housing market.

Banks were also in favour after well received third quarter results from lender Barclays.

The London-based bank surprised the City by bringing forward a £500 million share buyback and also raised guidance.

This came despite increasing its provision for car finance and taking a £110 million hot from the collapse of subprime lender, Tricolor.

Barclays Group Finance Director Anna Cross said, excluding the motor finance provision, the operational performance of the business has continued to strengthen with signs of momentum visible across the business.

She also said there are ‘no signs of consumer distress’ in the UK ahead of November’s budget, with arrears low and stable, demand robust, and customers managing spend carefully.

Barclays rose 4.9%, while NatWest, which reports third quarter results on Friday, climbed 1.6%, and Lloyds Banking Group, which reports Wednesday, advanced 1.0%.

The mood was less bright in Europe. The CAC 40 in Paris ended 0.6% lower, while DAX 40 in Frankfurt closed 0.7% lower.

Stocks in New York were lower at the time of the London close. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.3%, the S&P 500 was 0.6% lower, while the Nasdaq Composite declined 1.1%.

Netflix stumbled 10% after reporting weaker-than-expected earnings after Tuesday’s US market close.

The streaming service took a $619 million charge related to an ongoing dispute with Brazilian tax authorities.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 3.96%, unchanged from Tuesday. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury stood at 4.55%, widened from 4.54% on Tuesday.

Elsewhere, British Airways owner IAG, rose 2.2%, benefiting from an upgrade by Goldman Sachs to ’buy’ from ’neutral’.

On the FTSE 250, ITV plunged 8.1% after Liberty Global sold £135 million worth of ITV shares in a placing to institutional investors, cutting its stake in the broadcaster to 5% from 10%.

The Denver, Colorado-based telecommunications first took a stake in London-based television broadcaster ITV in 2014 from satellite subscription service provider Sky for £481 million and nearly doubled it the following year - to 9.9% from 6.4%.

Also on the FTSE 250, Softcat climbed 4.6% after posting double-digit annual growth in both profit and revenue.

The IT infrastructure provider reported a 12% rise in pretax profit to £178.2 million on revenue up 52% to £1.46 billion, driven by an ‘exceptionally strong’ second half and large project wins.

Gold continued to track lower after its record-breaking run. The yellow metal traded at $4,028.64 an ounce on Wednesday, down from $4,131.30 on Tuesday.

Joshua Mahony at Rostro said gold traders are desperately trying to gauge whether Tuesday’s historical collapse was indicative of a new period of weakness or simply a case of ‘blowing off steam’ after a dramatic surge into record highs.

‘Ongoing themes around geopolitics, trade tensions, debt, dollar strength and haven demand means that there is always likely to be a concoction of factors for traders to consider. However, with the Trump-Putin meeting called off, and scepticism over the likeliness of a wide-reaching US and China trade agreement, there will likely be calls for gold to regain its upward momentum soon enough,’ Mahony suggested.

Brent oil traded at $62.61 a barrel, up from $61.26 late Tuesday.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Persimmon, up 74.00p at 1,253.00p, Howden Joinery, up 51.00 pence at 863.50p, Barratt Redrow, up 19.50p at 405.90p, Barclays, up 17.75p at 382.00p and Entain, up 37.80p at 824.00p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Rolls Royce, down 32.00p at 1,102.50p, Fresnillo, down 34.00p at 2,080.00p, Polar Capital Technology Trust, down 7.00p at 433.00p, Melrose, down 8.80p at 625.20p and Glencore, down 4.20p at 340.20p.

Thursday’s global economic diary has retail sales figures in Canada and a eurozone consumer confidence report.

Thursday’s UK corporate calendar has third quarter results from lender Lloyds Banking Group, exchange operator and data provider London Stock Exchange, pest control firm Rentokil, consumer goods company Unilever and miner Antofagasta.

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