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Black Rock Oil purchase (BLR)     

Rutherford - 30 Mar 2004 20:18

www.blackrockoilandgasplc.co.uk
www.vsaresources.com
www.oilbarrel.com
Presentation from Thursday 6th July 06 can be seen on oilbarrel !


Monterey appraisal well suspended pending Wintershall evaluation. 1/12/06
BLR and Kappa in dispute.
BLR to meet with Kappa within next two weeks 1/12/06

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=BLR&Si

silvermede - 06 Jul 2006 14:50 - 408 of 1049

Rutherford, it may help people like Marcel if the header to this thread was improved to include Resource estimates, conservative valuations, timetable of likely work, Block licenses etc or just a link to the BLR website. Only a thought! :-)

moneyman - 07 Jul 2006 10:09 - 409 of 1049

Great buying opportunity - 1.3p now.

skyhigh - 07 Jul 2006 11:18 - 410 of 1049

risky though ! what if the news disappoints and the sp goes down to 1p ?

soul traders - 07 Jul 2006 12:33 - 411 of 1049

Then you'll have got into a situation the economists like to call Getting Your Ar*e Burnt.

cynic - 07 Jul 2006 12:55 - 412 of 1049

only if you stick you head in the sand in the hot sunshine without wearing knix!

soul traders - 07 Jul 2006 13:17 - 413 of 1049

Cynic, don't laugh - it happens more frequently than you might think :o)

Skyhigh - forgive my unruly sense of humour. If both Arce and Monterey turn out to be non-commercial then it might be worth reviewing your reasons for holding. I'd like to be more specific but don't have the time currently to explore the implications. WIll try and catch up on it sometime soon.

austing2253 - 07 Jul 2006 15:42 - 414 of 1049

Could do with some good news now, lets be positive and look forward to a mmm gush!

explosive - 07 Jul 2006 19:44 - 415 of 1049

LONDON (AFX) - Black Rock Oil & Gas PLC said it has placed 110 mln new shares at a price of 1.1p per share to raise 1.2 mln stg of additional working capital for appraisal activities.
The company has also issued 2.5 mln new shares at the same price in respect of fees due for technical consultancy services.

Following admission to trading on AIM of the new shares, Black Rock will have a total issued share capital of 690 mln shares.newsdesk@afxnews.comtcCOPYRIGHTCopyright AFX News Limited 2005. All rights reserved.The copying, republication or redistribution of AFX News Content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of AFX News.AFX News and AFX Financial News Logo are registered trademarks of AFX News Limited

Looks like another dip in the sp is coming..

Rutherford - 07 Jul 2006 19:58 - 416 of 1049

I take that as good news as plenty wells being drilled between now and New Year and needed funding for monterey and other Arce wells+ Baul to be drilled. Monterey in North Sea starts around beginning of August and rig already booked for it.
Now funding out of the road for the short term we need RNS with Arce 4 results which are hopefully positive.
I will try to alter heading to include more info when time permits.

explosive - 07 Jul 2006 20:08 - 417 of 1049

Rutherford, I agree to get the funding out the way is always good news. I think we'll see an initial dip in the sp however it leaves the rest of the year for more positive news and RNS's. Fingers crossed stability is found at the 1p mark in the next few days, having said that it wouldn't surprise me to see an RNS before Wednesday next week giving us a revised drilling timetable.

Rutherford - 07 Jul 2006 22:07 - 418 of 1049

I am going to put new header with revised drilling for the year at top. This was discussed at oilbarrel presentation on Thursday 6th July 06.
Monday should see an RNS for Arce 4 testing or for sure next week.

GREATSUCCESS - 07 Jul 2006 22:35 - 419 of 1049

Unfortunately it is going to be a bad news.Its is only my view and guessed it from this money raising tactic.If the new is going to be good,Do you think anyone in the right mind will try to raise money before the news is out--If the news is going to be good then the share price will go up and would be much easier to raise money without further dilution to existing issue.Therefore,what I think the news is going to be not so good and they don't want to loose the chance to raise money for furure plans.Be brave only the god knows the our futures will be---I am very tensed now-----------

cynic - 07 Jul 2006 22:43 - 420 of 1049

Sorry to add my support that bad news is likely ...... take as an example VOG's latest report .... that canme out almost the last knockings of the timescale given ..... bad figures always take longer to add up than good.

chav - 07 Jul 2006 23:28 - 421 of 1049

You guys need to relax before you get an ulcer!The good thing about BLR is that they have a variety of regions to play with although I wish they would dip into the more risky regions like the Falklands were possible gains are huge and excite the market alot more.These so called safe spots are not producing alot of result!

soul traders - 08 Jul 2006 12:04 - 422 of 1049

Chav, the reason BLR isn't in the Falklands is because it would cost a lot of money that it just doesn't have. DES and FOGL are burning a lot of cash down there and it's going to be a long time before they produce any results. BLR very sensibly decided to go for overlooked projects that were near to production in order to produce near-term cashflow (in contrast to what they had going on in Australia a year or two ago, which was high-risk and produced nothing but dusters).

As for exciting the market, well, I'm afraid that at times both DES and FOGL have been overrated. The high SP's have been the result of a lot of speculation, and the realistion of the companies' vision just isn't there yet.

I would expect BLR to broaden its portfolio again once it starts producing in Colombia and/or the North Sea, as it will then hopefully have the cashflow basis with which to do so.

soul traders - 08 Jul 2006 12:32 - 423 of 1049

Re: the possible nature of forthcoming announcements: I'm afraid I can't give my backing to the pessimists all that easily. Greatsuccess, I have to wonder exactly what "good news" you might have been expecting. Arce has been, to a certain extent, a known quantity for a while. We know that there is oil there; we know that a typical well will flow around 30 bopd without stimulation such as steaming. So any announcement such as "Arce 4 has been drilled and is flowing 25-30 bopd" is within the realms of what was to be expected. They were never going to say, "Actually, Arce has surprised us all and is now producing at 15,000 bopd!" Of course, Arce 4 may turn out to be an abject failure, but I think it's unlikely. The greater excitement will come with news of successful steam testing, but thanks to BLR's excellent attention to detail in their presentation, it is now clear that the testing will take a while. It's also good to see the detail of the well-drilling programme for the rest of the field - which hopfeully augurs well for the economic viability of Arce, but we shall have to wait for the testing of wells 2 - 4.

I am not surprised that BLR has made another cash call, as they never have a huge amount of funds in the bank. In view of the SP activity (read: "instability") I think they have simply done the sensible thing and raised some more funds as and when needed, while the SP/placing price is still above 1p.

The news for the rest of the Las Quinchas Block looks good as well - maybe I've been asleep but I had not previously given consideration to the details regarding further prospects and leads on this block, i.e.:

Acacia (50-100mmbo*): heavy oil
prospect
South Lalinda (10 mmbo*):
heavy oil prospect
Rio Viejo/La Tolda (49 mmbo*):
light oil, 18,000 ft target depth
Morroa another deep Cretaceous
play

For my money, it looks like this one is heading in the right direction, but it could take time. It occurs to me also that BLR may have issued shares now at 1.1p out of respect for those who are involved in the placing - the company would become very unpopular if it issued stock at, say 2p on a price spike, only for the share price to drop back to current levels purely on volatility issues, and then there would be no more investors, no more placings, and no more Black Rock.

PS - Rutherford, thanks for updating the header and providing other useful info!

soul traders - 08 Jul 2006 12:47 - 424 of 1049

Chav - just a thought if you're keen on the Falklands. You may wish to check out Global Petroleum (GBP), which has about a 14% stake in FOGL, held as shares but has some diversity by virtue of its other portfolio interests. IMO, PDYOR.

diydave - 08 Jul 2006 17:24 - 425 of 1049

Nobody likes dilution. But realistically it was always on the cards that BLR would need more cash to fund current ops... and the steaming delay only made that even more likely. Look on the bright side... if the placing has been fully taken up, then there are still some serious backers out there.

Sticking my neck out, I would guess that the end of next week will have seen little change in the sp. Come successful steaming and future benefits from Monterey, we may then see the sp do the right thing... but thats quite an assumption.

Judging by comments posted elsewhere, Soul, your anticipation of the Doc's return may prove to be spot on!

Ref below is a good Company Perspective

http://www.oil-barrel.com/conference/july/blackrock.pdf

Rutherford - 08 Jul 2006 21:06 - 426 of 1049

If we get an rns about arce 4 testing results next week it should negate any negative sp movement due to dilution.
The instituions paid 10% higher than the last placing the other month.
The cash is now in place for Monterey and if successful it is the company maker rather than Arce which is the bankroll for future drilling like Bukhara and hopefully developement wells on Monterey. A good time to be in BLR IMHO.

chav - 08 Jul 2006 23:08 - 427 of 1049

Soultrader,DES didn't have any cash to kick off either but because the potential for huge reward is there they had no problem raising cash from people like me whereas BLR raise and fritter money at a lower rate.Sometimes you have to take the condom off to excite!
Falklands has proven world class source rock,very good tax regime,politically stable and being true Brits will continue to be friendly.I think their SP, if anythink, is undervalued given the possibilty of big finds.
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