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FX and Index trading     

Davai - 18 Apr 2012 11:13

photo stocks1fxt.png

free counters

Thread designed to record set-ups and targets on index and FX pairs.
'A market is only your enemy until you understand it, then it becomes your best friend.'



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Any questions, please feel free to ask.

From time to time i may openly state an opinion regarding direction of a set-up and wish to add that in no way am i recommending a trade. I am sometimes only in trades for a matter of minutes and can't always update as to entry/exits taken.
As always, markets are dangerous places to be and must be respected as such. Always use stop losses and never over-leverage; 3% of your pot as a maximum per trade. As always, YOU are responsible for your own trades! Happy pip hunting!

Click HERE to visit me at FXtechnicals.net

Davai - 03 May 2012 17:04 - 78 of 423

Next push for the markets imminent???

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Better post this one on here as well i guess. Possibile alternative play on the Dax with a triangle in play. This shows far less upside before the drop;

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Davai - 03 May 2012 19:07 - 79 of 423

Back to post 39;

Davai - 20 Apr 2012 21:34 - 31 of 78 edit this post

Poss daily count, Euro;

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Update;

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It all looks as though we are heading for some possible Euro strength soon.

Davai - 03 May 2012 19:12 - 80 of 423

This might explain why yesterdays pullback looked like it was in 3 (abc);

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Davai - 04 May 2012 16:58 - 81 of 423

Confirmation of count;

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Davai - 04 May 2012 17:30 - 82 of 423

Interesting to note this;

(from last night's analysis);

'Better post this one on here as well i guess. Possibile alternative play on the Dax with a triangle in play. This shows far less upside before the drop;'

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Indeed, the 'E' wave was very short underlining the weakness of the markets today. Similar happened on the Euro, with a very short 'C' wave before the drop...

Davai - 10 May 2012 08:25 - 83 of 423

Fib levels of 'A' reproduced onto top of 'B'. Confluence is easy to spot;

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Davai - 11 May 2012 16:06 - 84 of 423

Unfortunately, looks like more downside next week for index's (and thus strength for dollar). Getting close to some great long entries on a few pairs. The Loonie looks like it wants up from here...

Davai - 11 May 2012 16:14 - 85 of 423

So we have been in a WXY flat move for the last few days. Could well head up later in the week after we have finished the current corrective move within the downtrend, but fully expecting ABC down first, before the start of the big bounce. Could completely screw my FTSE comp entry!

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Davai - 14 May 2012 20:33 - 86 of 423

So the sell off late last Friday was the start of the ABC move down, the first 5waves completed today. I would expect the B move to end overnight too and a down day tomorrow for the C wave. The converse being the case for the Loonie, of which i have labelled here;

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Davai - 14 May 2012 21:30 - 87 of 423

Back to; Davai - 18 Apr 2012 20:48 - 13 of 86

Very clear 5 wave advance on the EurJpy, if this corrective move plays out it will be good to go long and strong;

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Update;

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and now im watching the small 5 wave advance since hitting my blue line earlier. Hopefully we will get a clear abc and a bounce off of a fib level. I must add, i'm expecting dollar strength tomorrow though therefore the Eur needs to be somewhat resilient, (or it may do a 100% retrace, so long as it doesn't make a fresh low), this just may be the start of a lengthy run for the Euro, (yes, just when all the current Greek problems seem to mean the opposite)...

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Davai - 15 May 2012 11:41 - 88 of 423

Back to the loonie as of last nights chart (above);

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and in closer detail, for this morning;

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Davai - 15 May 2012 12:24 - 89 of 423

Extending diagonal on the (5th of the) minuette 1st, bit of pain yet before the 3rd!

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Davai - 15 May 2012 20:19 - 90 of 423

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Davai - 15 May 2012 21:01 - 91 of 423

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Davai - 16 May 2012 13:36 - 92 of 423

If the first small 'i'/'ii' is too risky to determine, we look for a follow on 5w up, half position entered long on pullback to a fib level. In this instance such a deep pullback, gives a fantastic low risk entry at points 'a' & 'c', wave structure here is very important, with 'a' being down in 3, it was going to be either a flat or irregular correction, sure enough, 'b' heads right back up nearly retracing all of 'a' and 'c' making a slightly LL. More confirmation comes with a break of the top of '1' by a full pip, enter second half of position long and look to fibs for target once the 3rd can be determined...


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Davai - 16 May 2012 19:50 - 93 of 423

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Davai - 18 May 2012 08:37 - 94 of 423

Respite for the markets. This is a perfect 5w count;

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Davai - 18 May 2012 08:38 - 95 of 423

Davai - 15 May 2012 21:27 - 8189 of 8202

I do have a primary target for the Dow;

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Update;

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Davai - 18 May 2012 10:58 - 96 of 423

Get ready for a small pullback on the Dow;

12,500, 138.2% fib obvious target. Round number and was support yesterday, therefore, def resistance today

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Davai - 18 May 2012 11:57 - 97 of 423

Further to post 94, for extra confirmation of the end of the 5th wave, (not that its needed in this instance), but... draw a line connecting bottom of waves 2&4, then drag a parallel line touching end of wave 3, wave 5 will usually slightly exceed the line;

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