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The Forex Thread (FX)     

hilary - 31 Dec 2003 13:00

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Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

Hotei - 02 Jun 2007 17:31 - 8003 of 11056

qwento - fascinating stuff. Thanks for taking the trouble to post it - most appreciated. I have not seriously concentrated on Forex, just the ocassional dabble in cable or usd/jpy, but have also moved away from the majority of stocks. I tend to focus on FTSE and Dow at the moment and have a 30 pips/day target, usually fairly easily achieved through scalping. I start a new job on Tuesday and will have no time to screen watch, having spent the last 12 months doing just that. I plan to take a more serious look at Forex over the next few weeks with a view to determining if I can trade it via limit and stop orders placed outside the 9-5 working day (actually more likely to be 7am - 7pm working day !). I will certainly be making use of the links you have provided for some background reading.

ptholden - 02 Jun 2007 21:27 - 8004 of 11056

Quento, great post. I hope all the research pays off for you.
Friday afternnon's US figs were scuppered by:

Metals - Gold gains on ECB announcement, reaction to US employment data muted
AFX


LONDON (Thomson Financial) - Gold continued higher after the European Central Bank said it does not plan to sell more of its reserves of the metal before late September.

The ECB news overshadowed slight gains in the dollar following firm payrolls data. The central bank said it sold 37 tons of gold over the past two months, making total sales of 60 tons -- a figure it does not plan to increase by the year end on September 26.

The ECB announcement earlier in the session sparked a rally on gold that failed to be dented by the dollar's reaction to the US employment figures.

Everyone piled into gold and seemingly sold the dollar, despite the news. This is one of the ocassions where unscheduled news has quite an impact and skews the market. For some reason I didn't notice Big Al posting this 'snippet' on the Trader's Thread and was totally confused as to why Cable was going up when it should have been going down. It just goes to show that you have to be totally aware at all times to what news is in the market.

From a personal perspective I should have realised that something else was having an effect, but I didn't cotton on. Moral of the story - if it doesn't look right, summat else is happening, stop what you are doing until you find what you have missed.

pth

qwento - 03 Jun 2007 22:09 - 8005 of 11056

I have had a look at the logic of the Solar Winds indicator. There is not much to it, but extremely fascinating.

It would appear to be detecting changes in momentum based upon fibonacci levels calculated over a 10 period range. Which probably explains why it is such a good leading indicator.

If anybody wants to try out Solar Winds and the FX_Snipers_T3_CCI indicator you can download them from my web site (Metaquotes language files) :

Solar Winds
FX_Snipers_T3_CCI



Seymour Clearly - 03 Jun 2007 22:51 - 8006 of 11056

Qwento, that's a great post. Fascinating reading and a really good insight into how you trade. It's obvious you've put a lot of work into this so to share it with us is extremely kind and generous. I've printed this out and spent all weekend reading it through.

I have stopped trading stocks altogether (although I'm still investing) and have looked at the Fx bootcamp videos myself and liked the idea of aiming for 10 pips a day. As you say, a fraction of some of the daily moves.

The Solar winds indicator seems to work really well after big moves. If you'd asked me to consider an indicator with this name I'd have rubbished it - the very name sounds too ridiculous!

Anyway, you've obviously gone into this in great depth and I've enjoyed your post. Thanks.

chocolat - 03 Jun 2007 23:14 - 8007 of 11056

Appreciate your input, qwento.

Looked at bootcamp a while back - and I still look in on forexbastards, which as you know, promotes trading Forex on fundamentals (Felix trading the news and all that). This isn't dissimilar to what I used to do, which was trading breakouts - albeit trading the chart on the news ;)

Please do keep posting stuff.

Personally, I haven't traded much since cable got past 2.0130.
It's a combination of waiting to see where the market's really heading and taking a backseat until I've had a bit of surgery in a few weeks' time.
Same difference really :)

foale - 04 Jun 2007 08:14 - 8008 of 11056

Well you sertainly nailed that inital rally to 2.0130 Choccy...

However I would be interested to hear anyones case for higher Cable ...back to 2.01 and beyond or fall to say 1.9550 area during the month of June...

I am long at the moment although not very profitably...

HelenW - 04 Jun 2007 08:17 - 8009 of 11056

David, email sent. H

foale - 04 Jun 2007 13:43 - 8010 of 11056

Test of 1.9900 for sure.. then 20 and 40 more resistance...

hilary - 04 Jun 2007 15:39 - 8011 of 11056

Qwento,

Interesting post, but I think that you're probably reading far too much into it. It's really very easy to make at least a couple of hundred pips each and every week from cable (and the other pairs for that matter) without the need to spend any money whatsoever on fancy equipment and chart setups. It's all there for free.

All you need is a bit of patience with your trades - it's far too stressful imo watching umpteen screens all the time. There's no need for it.

hilary - 04 Jun 2007 15:41 - 8012 of 11056

And everything you need to know has already been written on this thread.

Seymour Clearly - 04 Jun 2007 16:42 - 8013 of 11056

Only 8000 or so posts :-)

But most of it keeps on being repeated in answer to various questions.

hilary - 04 Jun 2007 17:58 - 8014 of 11056

The repeats trim it down to about 500 posts, Seymour.

Thought I'd paste this. It's struggling to get it up, but the money has still got to be on it seeing 83.5 before 81, imo.

foale - 04 Jun 2007 23:35 - 8015 of 11056

Well at 1.9920 its either turnback time and we will wake with it lower tomorrow am..or its $2 a charm again.

foale - 05 Jun 2007 12:17 - 8016 of 11056

Well seems to be. Are we ready to see $2 cable again? ... and if so what will the catalyst be...any suggestions


9920-40 did indeed turn out to be a conjestion area although another go at 9950 should see us back at 2.0000. That seems an easier question than will it be a summer of over $2 or under it... 20-40 does feel more like a staging post than a destiniation....

hilary - 05 Jun 2007 16:22 - 8017 of 11056

Out of the longs now, D.

foale - 05 Jun 2007 17:25 - 8018 of 11056

you know I still see a sprint at $2 on the cards

hilary - 05 Jun 2007 17:40 - 8019 of 11056

I may have been a bit premature. Took my signal from the 10-minute chart. I'll see what it's like in the morning now.

chocolat - 05 Jun 2007 19:29 - 8020 of 11056

Must admit I had my sights set a little higher for a short, around 1.9975/80.
Never mind :)

ECB thingie tomorrow - and a close eye on 1.3560ish.

foale - 06 Jun 2007 08:29 - 8021 of 11056

Cable does look a bit glass 1/2 empty atm but staying long unless / until the rising support line on my 8 hour chart from the start of the month is broken...

Like to give these things every chance...lol

foale - 06 Jun 2007 09:27 - 8022 of 11056

stopped out...now flat...
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