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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

driver - 05 Sep 2007 11:10 - 1053 of 2350

Lets have some bad news then may be the sp will rise?

capetown - 05 Sep 2007 13:13 - 1054 of 2350

Driver,i really think this is a pile of crock,cant belive the sp has gone down,am out and cutting my losses in two weeks if the sp does not improve when the drilling and steaming starts!.

driver - 05 Sep 2007 14:23 - 1055 of 2350

capetown
A bit late to get out this could rise sharply with the next Hardman Report and future drilling results, looking for 20p+ long term and a lot more if and when they develop the gas fields.

rhino213 - 05 Sep 2007 15:09 - 1056 of 2350

if we hit 20p+ i'm long gone. Been in these for ages now and am really starting to wonder what they have to do to get the market excited.

I'm well and truly baffled by the crap movement thus far.

capetown - 05 Sep 2007 17:19 - 1057 of 2350

rhino at last someone else feels the same abt this stock!,

Driver it COULD but has not as of yet.

halifax - 05 Sep 2007 17:35 - 1058 of 2350

There is a future for SER if only somebody could change the header and spell resources correctly!

ptholden - 05 Sep 2007 20:25 - 1059 of 2350

Should that be with a capital R?

Once the 'headline' is created the author cannot change it, perhaps MAM can. I doubt that my 'mispelling' of Resources will have much impact on the future of SER.

pth

robertalexander - 05 Sep 2007 21:19 - 1060 of 2350

SEFTON RESOUCRES INC - UNDERVALUED OIL PRODUCER (SER)

I think this is what halifax was alluding to. this will definitely not affect the SP though.

I was a long time holder but got out at 7.4p because i couldn't see where this co is going. hope i am not wrong[invariably to my cost i usually am]

Bon chance to all

Alex

halifax - 05 Sep 2007 21:34 - 1061 of 2350

pth thanks perhaps SER's luck will change now!!

ptholden - 05 Sep 2007 21:36 - 1062 of 2350

;)

halifax - 05 Sep 2007 21:58 - 1063 of 2350

...and maybe stop under perfroming too!!

john50 - 06 Sep 2007 21:24 - 1064 of 2350

Operation report updated on website
Tapia Drilling Program

TEG has signed a contract with Kenai Drilling, Inc. to drill two wells on the Hartje lease at Tapia. The Hartje lease is the site of some of Tapias best wells. Drilling is expected to commence in approximately three weeks time, although there is a strong possibility that the project could begin as early as ten days if the operator currently using the rig releases it early. The two wells themselves are programmed to take eight days each to drill and complete to a depth of 1,245 feet. As a result, TEG expects to be producing these wells by October 1st.

Tapia Cyclic Steam Project

TEG is preparing for the Pilot Steam Test consisting of cyclic steaming of two wells located on the Yule lease, wells #7 & #10. The test will provide a multiple streams of data for various aspects of the project moving forward. Initially, the running of the new 14 MMBTU steam generator will provide an air quality Source Test for verification to the LA Air Quality Management District that the equipment design can actually meet the air emissions standards required for a permanent Permit to Operate. It is actually designed to exceed these standards by >25%, so we expect no issues in that regard. Secondly, the pilot test will provide valuable gas reservoir volumetric data from the gas supply well, Yule #8. This will aid in economic and logistical planning for the full scale program. Thirdly, the pilot test will provide data for the steaming cycles themselves, such as steam injection rates and pressures for the Yule reservoir, as well as ultimate verification for the viability of the stimulation program, including production rate increases and cycle decline rates, and temperature profiles.

Currently, TEG is constructing the following: A gas supply line from the Yule #8 well will be run to the steam unit on an adjacent well pad; Installation of safety systems consisting of gas separators, high/low pressure and temperature sensors, automatic valves, and diverters will be incorporated into the surface facilities to ensure a safe operation; Installation of electrical service to supply the steam generators PLC (computer controls) and high pressure pumps. Upon completion of these, TEG will commence steaming of the two wells. Oil produced from steaming of the wells will move a significant amount of oil reserves into the Proved Producing Reserves category and will increase the value of the operations accordingly.

Eureka Canyon

TEG anticipates that increased cash flow from current Tapia projects will allow us to pursue opportunities at Eureka. TEG is anxious to move forward with the second phase of the geochemical mapping of exploratory areas at Eureka Canyon. This will consist of infill and verification sampling within the previous geochemical sampling grid in over the most promising areas earlier identified. The study will incorporate these into the geologic model for the area. Additional samples will be collected at adjacent oil producing areas to see if hydrocarbon fingerprints for these areas have similarity to the prospect areas. If a fingerprint match is identified, the data set can be fine tuned further to increase contrast between potentially productive and non-productive areas.

Additionally, TEG anticipates to drill one infill well within the current producing area within the coming months. The higher oil gravity (27 API) versus that at Tapia, makes infill drilling an attractive economic project.

rhino213 - 10 Sep 2007 09:51 - 1065 of 2350

4.63p? what the hell is going on?

capetown - 10 Sep 2007 10:56 - 1066 of 2350

Sefton living up to its sp reputation is whats going on sadley!!

SECRUOSER - 10 Sep 2007 12:20 - 1067 of 2350

Great operations update.

Producing from 2 new wells as soon as October 1st. Hats off to the management if they can pull that off. Amazing timescale.

A new well at Eureka in the next few months in the producing area and pressing ahead with surveying the extensive undeveloped acreage there. This shows they are also keen to develop Eureka quickly and aggressively.

Baffled by the share price movement. So much to look forward to over the next few months and people are selling? Nuts!

capetown - 10 Sep 2007 12:42 - 1068 of 2350

Not selling,holding but any increase will be a nice suprise.

john50 - 18 Sep 2007 23:14 - 1069 of 2350

US cuts interest rates by 0.50 good for SER

SECRUOSER - 20 Sep 2007 16:50 - 1070 of 2350

Just been poring over the well production data on the ca gov website to try and get an accurate idea of what we can expect the forthcoming drilling and steaming operations to do to the production figures.

The average output of the 3 wells drilled on the Hartje lease in early 2005 was 44bpd each (average over first 6 months). So using that as a guide we could expect to see around a 88bpd production increase from around 1st October (+2640bpm).

The 2 wells on the Yule lease that the steam programme is being initiated on currently produce around 17bpd each, so this will be knocked off total production during the steam injection and soak phases (several weeks each) (-1020bpm).

So using the June/July figures as a base (3550) I see production increasing to around 5150 next month and to between around 6150(+0%) and 7150(+100%) by end of November/December or so depending on the results of the steaming.

halifax - 20 Sep 2007 17:07 - 1071 of 2350

SEC is that your best or conservative estimate?

john50 - 20 Sep 2007 21:29 - 1072 of 2350

http://www.capmarkets.com/ViewFile.asp?ID1=76583&ID2=173639129&ssid=1&directory=12925&bm=0&filename=September_07_Monthly.pdf
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