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Falklands Oil and Gas (FOGL) (FOGL)     

Proselenes - 13 Aug 2011 04:53

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Gerponville18 - 01 Aug 2012 09:21 - 1099 of 2393

Proselenes:

Trivial question for you!

On the share Trade Streamer......What doe's O, AT and UT mean?

Seems to be more sells than buys.......Albeit, the FOGL share is starting to rise!

I was going to buy last evening, but bottled out........Should have bought?

Proselenes - 01 Aug 2012 09:30 - 1100 of 2393

In simple terms...........


An O trade is a manual trade, where you engage a broker to buy shares for you.

An AT trade is an Automatic Trade - so if you ask the broker to buy 20K stock for you, you might see a sudden rush of 5 AT trades for small amounts, and then your O trade for 20K.

This means the broker put into the system a buy for 20K, the stock was hoovered up and then sold to you at the price agreed. AT trades are run by computers based on the desires of orders from brokers/fundies etc...

UT are Uncrossing Trades - these happen during the opening and closing auctions and at auctions at any other time of the day. People can load buy and sell orders at auctions and the price of the trade at which the auction closes is reported as a UT trade along with the amount of stock agreed to be sold/bought at that price.

Proselenes - 01 Aug 2012 09:31 - 1101 of 2393

This is why UT trades at higher than mid price are a bullish sign, as it means there are more buyers than sellers at the auction - so the trend is therefore with the buyers and so if you see a stock have UT close and UT open at higher than mid price its a sign the stock might be going upwards.

Conversely if the UT trades are below mid price - its a sign there are more sellers than buyers.

Gerponville18 - 01 Aug 2012 10:27 - 1102 of 2393

Thank you very much for the explanation........Stops me scratching my head wondering what the letterings meant.

Still fascinates me when I identify more buys than sells.......Yet the price of the share goes down, and via versa?

Waiting for the FOGL share to pull back a little, then I will buy more........I have managed to average my share to £0.65 per share........Still working to get the average down further........Blinking hard work!

greekman - 01 Aug 2012 10:34 - 1103 of 2393

Gerponville18,

Proselenes gives a good, clear explanation, but if you want to know more re trades and codes, click on help at top right hand corner of this page and then go to the trades link.

regards Greek.

markymar - 01 Aug 2012 13:09 - 1104 of 2393

Looks like we are off the starting blocks.

Gerponville18 - 01 Aug 2012 13:48 - 1105 of 2393

Buyers starting to come back.........Must be because the "RIG" is getting nearer.

What will happen when the drill starts to turn?

HARRYCAT - 01 Aug 2012 14:12 - 1106 of 2393

Imo, the sp will drift once the spud has happened. About 10 days before TD (target depth), investors will then start to buy back in ready for the news.

Proselenes - 01 Aug 2012 14:16 - 1107 of 2393

FOGL have intimated they may RNS after each and every target zone, meaning 5 RNS with the last one being TD.

Not going to be a very clever strategy of waiting for TD, might be 4 RNS out before then with T1, T1 deep, Trigg and Trigg deep results, before that last one Three Bears and TD.

Going to catch lots of traders out here as they will never be able to predict when an RNS is coming.

Might be 5, might be 4, might be 3, could be 1 - nobody knows but the board have intimated there could be multiple updates as each and every target zone, if a strike, is company making in its own right and therefore price sensitive.


HARRYCAT - 01 Aug 2012 14:12 - 1106 of 1106
Imo, the sp will drift once the spud has happened. About 10 days before TD (target depth), investors will then start to buy back in ready for the news.

grannyboy - 01 Aug 2012 15:02 - 1108 of 2393

Got to agree with you Proselenes regarding the company intimating that they'l RNS each zone, can't see them holding back any news with just one or two RNS with there been five game changing prospective levels....

HARRYCAT - 01 Aug 2012 15:44 - 1109 of 2393

You are possibly correct, but so far, neither RKH, DES nor BOR have released any news before the drill had stopped and the samples were being sent away for analysis. I can't see any reason for FOGL to be any different and I can't see any reason for them to continue to issue RNS which will have no material effect on the sp. Of course, if they have difficulties and drilling is suspended for any reason then I can understand keeping investors informed.
Previously, lots of hype up to spud, followed by weeks of nothing when the sp has drifted down, followed by lots of hype leading up to TD and sp surge.

Proselenes - 01 Aug 2012 15:53 - 1110 of 2393

Harry, all previous wells were targeting a single main target. Other secondary targets were small, not company makers.

For FOGL there are 5 individual company makers in the 5 targets of the Loligo well.

Ultimately it is up to the board of directors how often they update. FOGL board have intimated up to 5 RNS (one for each target) as opposed to a single RNS.

Proselenes - 01 Aug 2012 16:27 - 1111 of 2393

Would like to see another strong closing UT trade after the auction today.

markymar - 01 Aug 2012 16:33 - 1112 of 2393

I agree with Harry on this as most of the drills by DES and RKH had dual targets when drilling, just look at drill 14/15-a Beverly, shone, Caspar then sea lion main Fan.

4 Prospects were drilled and only one RNS to confirm findings.

PRO makes it up as he goes along.

Proselenes - 01 Aug 2012 16:39 - 1113 of 2393

I said this morning should be a blue day, and it was :)


Proselenes - 01 Aug 2012 08:16 - 1097 of 1112
Interesting close yesterday and open today, we saw UT trades at higher than mid price.

Indicates potentially a buyer is now in the market and the seller is turning the tap off perhaps.

Might be a few strong blue days ahead now.

Proselenes - 01 Aug 2012 16:45 - 1114 of 2393

Harry, the spud RNS will be the giveaway.

If they say "a further update will be made when drilling operations are complete" then you can expect just 1 RNS at TD.

If they say "a further update will be made in due course" or words to that extent then get ready for a few RNS along the way.


Not too long to spudding now, and all will be revealed.

Proselenes - 02 Aug 2012 02:48 - 1115 of 2393

Rig is now circa 63 miles south west of the Loligo location and will arrive at the drill site in the early hours of tomorrow (Friday) morning.

Proselenes - 03 Aug 2012 02:16 - 1116 of 2393

Rig arrived at the Loligo drill site at 10pm UK time Thursday 2nd August evening.

http://www.marinetraffic.com/ais/default.aspx?mmsi=308243000&centerx=-57.75184&centery=-51.57723&zoom=10&type_color=9


The spud RNS is the key now - if it says "...drilling operations are expected to take between 45 to 60 days and a further update will be given when TD is reached and testing complete......." it will mean just one RNS is coming.

If the spud RNS says "............drilling operations are expected to take between 45 to 60 days..........." with no mention of next update, or it says further updates will be given as needed - then we are on for multiple RNS's throughout the drilling.

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blackdown - 03 Aug 2012 07:29 - 1117 of 2393

I should take a holiday.

Proselenes - 03 Aug 2012 09:35 - 1118 of 2393

Little reminder of the farm in partner (who farmed in recently to 25% of FOGL's of FOGL's northern SFB licenses and 12,5% of FOGL's southern SFB license areas). They are interested in both gas and oil, and likely will have been attracted to FOGL and Loligo due to the high chance of the upper targets, T1 and T1 deep being circa 12 TCF of recoverable gas (P50 basis). They are the perfect partner to develop a gas discovery, a gas/oil discovery or an oil discovery.


Edison SPA (majority owned by EDF)

15.2 billion cubic meters of available natural gas supply. Edison accounts for 19.60% of Italy’s demand for natural gas, 83 concessions and exploration permits in Italy and abroad, 3 natural gas storage centers, 1 LNG terminal, 49.8 billion cubic meters of hydrocarbon reserves.

Their brochure is well worth a read, PDF link below.

http://www.edison.it/media/brochure-edison-gas2012.pdf

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