NOTE that FKL are now FIH group plc. Epic FIH.

It is now over 4 years since I started this thread.
During that period a lot has happened (an understatement if ever there as one).
Several oilies have drilled numerous wells, most with little success as yet, although Rockhopper Exploration has made significant finds.
These finds are in the process of being updated and have drawn interest from at least 5 oil production companies.
The sp of FKL in Oct 2007 was around 400p, which is almost level with todays sp.
Due to many what I consider low risk factors, the sp is well below true valuation.
In saying that I am leaving all fundamentals out of my reasoning, and looking solely at potential.
Over the last few months, I have read numerous reports regarding how the current exploration will make the Islanders rich.
Of course that wealth will be passed along to the businesses that are situated on the Falklands themselves.
With Falklands islands Holdings being 'The Business' on the islands, with fingers in many pies, they are ideally situated to cash in on all the areas mentioned.

I suggest to anyone who as not been following the Falklands Story, or are new to this thread, to peruse the latest news releases of FKL. Also those of RKH (Rockhopper) Fogl (Falklands Oil and Gas) Des (Desire Petroleum) and Bor (Borders and Southern).
I am not pushing any of these other companies, but to post all the relevant updates on this header would take the whole page.

Remember who made steady big money during the Klondike Gold Rush.
OK some miners made fortunes, but the big steady money was made by those who saw the potential in suppling the essentials, IE those that supplied the tools to do the job.
I look at FKL as a sort of hedging to the explorers themselves.
But with hedging like this, we can all win.

Interesting read.

I would think that the Falkland oil fields are in the same low risk category as the main UK oil fields situated in the north sea. That is of course if the UK is as serious as they have stated over their determination to defend the Falklands if required.
I like most people feel that the determination of the UK government to do so is as strong as the threat from the Argentinian government is weak.
I say the above not from a feel that anything as basic as the rights of the islanders being taken into consideration but for 2 other reasons.
1 It would be very politically damaging to the UK for them to not defend any attempt at taking the Falklands.
2 There is a huge amount of money involved.

If anyone has full access to Maplecroft, it does have all risks categorized in order of risk, but even so the brief article from the link shows very clearly how much risk there is in investing in many oil producing areas of the world, and the risks of once invested, those investors loosing out.

On reading the article, I feel that my Falklands investment is 'very safe'.
No doubt suitors of all the FI explorers are well aware of world oil risks, and will look at the Falklands in a very favorable light.

According to the Telegraph the UK is number 179 in the list, with Somalia being at number 1.

http://maplecroft.com/about/news/resource_nationalism_index_2012.html

Greek
Thanks for that article - an interesting read indeed.
I've just spent the morning and lunch with the Times reporter who interviewed Julian Thompson and whose article caused the flurry of news today. She will undoubtedly reveal more in due course.
My personal opinion is that Argentina has neither the money nor the military desire for a fight. They are almost bankrupt if you look at their indebtedness to the larger organisations; they have already welched on exisiting debts and are finding it difficult to obtain for credit.
That said their Buzios Tacticos are good (I've watched them at work) and we do have all our eggs in one Maginot-like basket - that well known South Atlantic misnomer 'Mount Pleasant'.
I think that the previous levels of quiet diplomacy will be achieved after the 30th Anniversary has been and gone.

Hi Avsec,

Agreed.

Just read a letter in the Telegraph from an English couple who have been spending few weeks in Argentina.
Although very wary before and on arrival regarding how they would be treated, they were very surprised when the local people on discovering that they were English, treated them in a very friendly way.
It appears that several locals explained that the average Argentinian, had no problem with the Falklands wanting to stay British, and their main grievance was with the Argentinian government and the high inflation rate.

I have no reason to doubt that this is how the Argentinian people feel, although of course there will always be a minority (those that get on TV and in the headlines) who want the Falklands to be taken over by their country.

The reason why I don't doubt this is because I saw the same reactions in Ireland in the late 1970's when the troubles were still near to peak levels.
From 1975 to 1979 I spent several month in Ireland, just south of the border.
When the locals discovered we were English, they went out of their way to treat us friendly.
In fact sometimes it became a bit embarrassing, with us being treated to several pints in a local pub with many apologising for the actions of some of their countrymen.
I must add that they were always very careful who was about when they talked or/and were near to us, as the trust between themselves was always down to how well they knew each other.
I appreciate that many on here do not wish to see any post that mentions Argentina and the Falklands, but this small story in the Telegraph coupled with my own experiences in Ireland, probably says more than many of the more negative headlines put together.

Seems to have got excited with all the goings on.,.

Well they do benefit hugely from any development of the infrastructure that comes on the back of a growing oil community.

They own most of the land around Stanley, they are the prime supplier of nearly all support such as housing, foodstuffs etc.

.

and your point is regarding fkl.....

sold all these this morning at £4+ as can't see much happening over summer.,.

BB wise move winter in FI so far no revenue only expenditure,rig owners coining it.

I would of thought if FIG are making money from it then FKL must be,looks a bargain price back in September.

http://en.mercopress.com/2012/04/28/falklands-budget-enjoys-additional-surplus-boosted-by-the-oil-industry

Saturday, April 28th 2012 - 06:11 UTC

Falklands’ budget enjoys additional surplus boosted by the oil industry
The Falkland Islands oil industry has contributed with an unexpected addition of £9.2M to the Falkland Islands Government (FIG) budget in the first nine months of the financial year 2011/12, reported the Islands government Standing Finance Committee.

glad i sold out here.,.

There is a petition doing the rounds to stop the UK giving any further loans to Argentina, (yes, believe it or not we still are).
To sign this petition go to http://epetitions.direct.gov.uk/petitions/34551

RNS.

Good news and yet, sp well down.
Strange how just seeing the words, subscription and offer, or anything to do with fund raising almost automatically has a negative effect on the sp.
The money raised, is clearly marked for expansion in areas that will benefit FKL and therefor the shareholders.
Yes, it all depends on the oil flowing, but unless you feel that the odds of this are very negative, then surely this looks like a good chance to increase your holdings.
I am willing to bet that the offer of £3.20p will still be a discount on the lowest price, between now and the offer closing date, (FKL better hope it is)
That of course is not allowing for what could happen in the Euro zone, which of course FKL have no power over.

Spotty sails into Falklands

Oliver Shah Published: 8 July 2012 The Sunday Times

Rockhopper Exploration has made a large find and four other companies are drilling (Gary Clement)

THE former Tory party treasurer David “Spotty” Rowland has embarked on a Falkland Islands adventure by buying more than 20% of a company that provides hotels, shipping and fishing support services.

Rowland and his son Jonathan bought £8m of shares in Falkland Islands Holdings last month. The AIM-listed company raised another £2m from existing investors. The deal coincided with the 30th anniversary of Britain’s victory over Argentina in the war for the islands.

David Hudd, chairman of Falkland Islands Holdings, said the money would be used to build warehouses and accommodation to capitalise on a potential oil boom. Rockhopper Exploration has made a large find offshore and four other firms are drilling there.

The company may also seek to build a permanent port to replace the 25-year-old floating piers used by the oil explorers.

Hudd said he had known Rowland for years. “He came to the Falklands with four other people and they were enthused by the opportunity, so on the way back we worked out a deal to raise £10m,” he said. The Rowlands invested via their Blackfish Capital vehicle.

Nice lift today as the position consolidates!

Greek i thought this may of be some intrest to you

Rockhopper PLC has indicated, subject to its operations developing along current timescales, a 15% rise year on year in vessels needing to use FIPASS is not unreasonable through to 2014. From 2014 onwards they have further indicated 400+ port visits/vessels annually with a further 15% rise year on year. It is also worthy of note at this point that Oil and Gas projections are currently based on a single field, Sealion. Should other fields develop, it is highly likely that Oil and Gas traffic will increase further.

Hi Markymar,

I have already seen the article, but thanks anyway.
Interesting, as you rightly say.

Hi Markymar,

From your last post, 'it is highly likely that Oil and Gas traffic will increase further'.

Yesterday Shell announced that this year, they will product more gas than oil for the first time.
They are also planning to increase their fleet of LNG tankers.
The future of gas looks to be far more important than most people think, whilst with the ever increasing population and demand, oil will also see increased value.

in many years to come, there is no question but that LNG will take an increasingly important role - but note the timescale