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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

SECRUOSER - 14 Nov 2007 12:59 - 1282 of 2350

600k+ buys in less than an hour. Buying in anticipation of the next news I guess?

(or maybe Tapia locals have heard the sound of gushing oil and steam being pumped :)

john50 - 14 Nov 2007 13:03 - 1283 of 2350

Heavy resistance at 8p

SECRUOSER - 14 Nov 2007 13:09 - 1284 of 2350

And rising support below it. It will break through sooner or later imo.

Maybe sooner rather than later.

SECRUOSER - 14 Nov 2007 13:09 - 1285 of 2350

..

driver - 14 Nov 2007 16:33 - 1286 of 2350

Mmm back to the starting line still some strong buying today.

SECRUOSER - 14 Nov 2007 16:41 - 1287 of 2350

Yep, more weak/stale holders out and more bright positive holders in.

john50 - 14 Nov 2007 18:36 - 1288 of 2350

229,910 more buys than sells might get a tick up in the morning.

myownmoney - 14 Nov 2007 20:59 - 1289 of 2350

Secruoser, any idea what might be causing the 8p barrier?

john50 - 14 Nov 2007 21:14 - 1290 of 2350

mm trying to figure out what move to make next

SECRUOSER - 14 Nov 2007 21:17 - 1291 of 2350

Just a bit of a resistance point. I can't see anything significant about it other than the fact it is the highest price for 12 months. The bid has only been to 8p once recently and that was on Friday. Now there have been sufficient sellers at 7.5p-7.75p to outweigh the buyers at 8p, but this could change very quickly as newsflow comes in, buyers get more confident or sellers wait for higher prices. Once 8p is breached this should become a good support level.

john50 - 14 Nov 2007 21:46 - 1292 of 2350

yes would agree with that.

SECRUOSER - 15 Nov 2007 11:52 - 1293 of 2350

Why are some holders selling now??

Are they 'a bit slow', frightened or what?

This is a time to BUY or HOLD, but NOT SELL.

Don't you morons realise if you didn't sell the price would move on higher.

john50 - 15 Nov 2007 11:54 - 1294 of 2350

lol

myownmoney - 15 Nov 2007 12:04 - 1295 of 2350

I may be some sellers are going into other quicker movers, like RVD, etc.
You have got to stay in for the ride, Wheeeeeeee!!

SECRUOSER - 15 Nov 2007 12:08 - 1296 of 2350

Well anyone who jumps in and out of shares like SER and RVD, especially with this sort of spread is bound to lose money in the long run and probably in the short run.

And imo those sort of 'holders' are better out than in - BYE!

capetown - 15 Nov 2007 12:13 - 1297 of 2350

Secruoser,
Everyone is free to decide for themselves what shares to hold buy or sell,
Selling SER now does not indicate that one is a moron,investors may have bought on t10/20 expecting news and a bigger move in sp and so on,or it could well be that investors have been stuck in this for a couple years and cant wait to get out,as you can see as soon as the SP ticks up the sellers are abound.
I am holding but not for 20p that is much talked about.
News soon lets hope!.
Good luck.

SECRUOSER - 15 Nov 2007 12:16 - 1298 of 2350

I agree, everyone is free to decide what to do. But imo those selling now are most likely those who have not quite kept up with what's happening or can't be bothered to. They are still stuck in the past, and they are causing a drag on the price which affects everyone else (although it does benefit those who are buying in for the first time or topping up).

And people who jump in and out of stocks like this chasing the next 'hot stock' that has already risen are most definitely 'misguided' in my view.

What price are you holding for then capetown? 50p? :)

SECRUOSER - 15 Nov 2007 12:33 - 1299 of 2350

Anyway instead of buying RVD they may be better off buying TMP which owns a very substantial stake in RVD as well as others but doesn't seem to have reacted to the recent large increase in RVD price.

capetown - 15 Nov 2007 12:48 - 1300 of 2350

SECRUOSER,
I will be out @20p,if it gets there.

SECRUOSER - 15 Nov 2007 16:51 - 1301 of 2350

Change to the pattern today - no messing, just a straight 0.25p rise.
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