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Avanti Communications (AVN)     

hlyeo98 - 04 Aug 2010 11:22

This is a BUY tip from Tom Winnifrith...

Sorry if this is rather boring as the market cap is now c 350 million but at 470p Avanti Communications (AVN) - a stock held in the SF t1ps Growth Fund - is really very cheap whichever way you look at it. It is now funded to launch 3 satellites into space ( and fully insured if the worst happens which will only delay the programme by 6 months anyway). You value Avanti by discounting back the net cashflows these satellites will generate. That depends on how much capacity is sold and at what price. Use a model based on very conservative assumptions and this stock is worth 13 ( the lowest valuation in the market). But that model uses assumptions about sales prices which are already being beaten by forward sales Avanti is booking today. Use those prices and you head up to the 22.50 value of house broker Cenkos. My own view is that Avanti will do better still and this stock could therefore be worth 25. Exc itement will mount as the first satellite is launched later this year. Remember those valuations are the Net Present Value of future cashflows ( i.e. what they are worth today). If you can buy at under 600p ( as you can now) you should do so and sit back and wait. I suspect after HYLAS 1 is launched you will never again be able to buy at less than 600p.

kimoldfield - 26 Nov 2010 16:58 - 147 of 382

Champagne and tinnies at the ready. Champers for success, tinnies if it falls into the sea!
:o)

tabasco - 26 Nov 2010 18:27 - 148 of 382

Dil dont worry you have the lucky thicko on board.and he is never wrong 10 Xmasminor chirps are OK!

Dailos - 26 Nov 2010 18:30 - 149 of 382

watch your money go up in smoke... http://www.videocorner.tv/videocorner2/live_flv/index.php?langue=en

Dil - 26 Nov 2010 18:37 - 150 of 382

Choo choo 2 minutes til it blows up :-)

Dil - 26 Nov 2010 18:39 - 151 of 382

Fly baby fly .....

ptholden - 26 Nov 2010 18:44 - 152 of 382

Well, the fecker's oop!

Let's hope it stays there :-)

Dailos - 26 Nov 2010 18:44 - 153 of 382

I thought it was april fools day dilly boy... as the satellite started to look like it was going down again, i had ITV news on and they were reporting of a traffic jam on the M4 of 22 mles long of people trying to get into Wales!!!

Dil - 26 Nov 2010 18:45 - 154 of 382

lol .... should have strapped that tw*t Muncaster to it pt

ptholden - 26 Nov 2010 18:46 - 155 of 382

LoL

Never thought I'd be so interested in an Ariane rocket!!

ptholden - 26 Nov 2010 19:15 - 156 of 382

Wohoo, Hylas away, hope it works.

Dil - 26 Nov 2010 19:23 - 157 of 382

Wonder how many contacts have been signed with the proviso of a successful launch ?

May get a few rns's next week.

Dil - 26 Nov 2010 19:27 - 158 of 382

CEO Williams suggesting a share price of 25 quid and beyond .

Oh yesssss please.

Dil - 26 Nov 2010 19:28 - 159 of 382

Tenner Monday tabby ... yippeee

ptholden - 26 Nov 2010 19:31 - 160 of 382

Dil, can you imagine what L2 would have looked like if that launch was during market hours??

ptholden - 26 Nov 2010 19:33 - 161 of 382

Dil, by the way, many congratulations, big cojones to load up the way you did, even if you did have a load at a much lower entry. Respect :-)

Dil - 26 Nov 2010 19:40 - 162 of 382

lol got a bit random last 10 minutes today pt but would have been really funny if lift off was at 3pm.

Off to celebrate now , successful launch and us beating the all blacks tomorrow :-)

kimoldfield - 26 Nov 2010 20:28 - 163 of 382

Bloody hell! Got stuck in the snow and missed the launch! Glad it went up ok though! Yes Dil, good win for Wales tomorrow and I will be one happy bunny!! :o)

kimoldfield - 26 Nov 2010 20:47 - 164 of 382

Nice to see that this intro video's opener is Wales, with one of my favourite Brecon pubs, the Felin Fach Griffin, featured (drink the beer at your peril!!!)

http://www.avantiplc.com/satellite-fleet/hylas-1/official-launch-video

Dil - 27 Nov 2010 01:04 - 165 of 382

That Williams is a bigger ramper than tabby !

Can't see it being more than 24.99 by xmas.

Night all sweet dreams.

xxx

... 667p , cheeky barsteward :-)

grevis2 - 27 Nov 2010 11:21 - 166 of 382

26 November 2010 Last updated at 20:29
Hylas-1 net-dedicated satellite launches
By Jonathan Amos

Science correspondent, BBC News

Hylas climbed to orbit aboard an Ariane 5, the 40th mission in the rocket's career
Ariane completes flawless launch
The first satellite dedicated to delivering broadband services to Europe has launched on an Ariane 5 rocket.

The Hylas spacecraft is designed to fill so-called "notspots" - remote locations such as rural villages where it is currently not possible to get a fast internet connection.

Lift-off from the Kourou spaceport in French Guiana occurred at 1539 local time (1839 GMT).

The satellite was successfully placed in orbit 34 minutes later.

A signal from Hylas was picked up almost immediately at an antenna sited in India.

Controllers will now take a number of weeks to position the spacecraft properly in the sky some 36,000km above the equator, and to check out onboard systems.

Hylas (Highly Adaptable Satellite) is a commercial venture operated by start-up Avanti Communications of London, but the spacecraft itself incorporates technology developed with public funding through the European Space Agency (Esa).

"It is a fairly small spacecraft but rather capable," Esa's Hylas project manager Andrea Cotellessa told BBC News.

"The payload has flexibility to reallocate bandwidth and power in each of the eight spot beams that cover key market areas selected by Avanti.

"Normally, satellites have this frequency plan fixed at the design stage and it can't be changed in orbit.

"On Hylas, this can be done at any moment in time from the control centre. This agility is important because it will allow Avanti to keep up with market evolution."

Hylas was prepared at the Portsmouth, UK, factory of EADS Astrium, Europe's largest space company, and in Bangalore by Antrix, a commercial arm of the Indian space agency (Isro).

The 2.6-tonne spacecraft will operate in the Ka radio band and deliver broadband services to some 350,000 subscribers.

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