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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

relishing - 22 May 2008 17:36 - 1851 of 2350

Nice 150k buy on the bell.

Looking good for a blue Friday tomorrow.

halifax - 22 May 2008 18:13 - 1852 of 2350

If SER have some tangible sp sensitive information on current operations then AIM rules require them to issue an RNS to shareholders. Personally I would rather wait for the company's news release than react to hearsay.

relishing - 22 May 2008 18:16 - 1853 of 2350

Hearsay? You think driver might be making this stuff up? I've read similar reports on Sefton's presentation now from at least 3 different people, and they are all consistent.

halifax - 22 May 2008 18:18 - 1854 of 2350

But not yet official.

relishing - 22 May 2008 18:23 - 1855 of 2350

Well it did come from the mouth of the CEO in front of 100's of people - so that makes it pretty official in my book.

halifax - 22 May 2008 18:27 - 1856 of 2350

If the CEO said anything that was likely to affect the sp without the company releasing an RNS then he and the company are in breach of the AIM rules.

relishing - 22 May 2008 18:31 - 1857 of 2350

No, it was a presentation. He presented the facts and figures about the company, and obviously gave forward-looking statements and predictions about where the company is going. Just like the other 6 companies there.

halifax - 22 May 2008 18:40 - 1858 of 2350

As I said an official RNS is rquired if price sensitive information is being divulged so that all shareholders have time to react.

driver - 22 May 2008 18:53 - 1859 of 2350

halifax
I understand where you are coming from and I do not want you to invest on what I have said no problem. The one line that is important that was said is this. When asked about production to date he said around about 200bld and after when all 11 wells are up and running with steaming, he said around the 800. The sentence was said so quick you could have missed it and many did in the room but it was said. If I personally had more funds I would to up DYOR.

halifax - 22 May 2008 19:06 - 1860 of 2350

driver if that is the case, and I have no reason to doubt you, then we should expect official confirmation at the AGM on 13th June or earlier. A quadrupling of production has to be a significant event for shareholders.

driver - 22 May 2008 19:13 - 1861 of 2350

halifax
Yes i agree

driver - 22 May 2008 19:14 - 1862 of 2350

Feed back from some one else who attended from Fool.com

Sefton Resources
Jim Ellerton (JE)

Profits, first explo later.

Management: Emphasis on technical people. Kansas and California.

Partially developed reserves with long life. Started in $10-$20 oil environment. Areas where can develop to market rapidly. Lot of infrastructure nearby. We control and operate assets. 100% of everything. ROCE 30% or better. Spot price now even better ROCE. Where majors have walked away.

Tapia, California

IPO December. 2002 Gas at 500 feet blowout occurred. Lawsuits settled now.
11 successes in a row. Increased asset base of co. Monetizing main asset of Tapia. Bank facility 2007 BNP Paribas 1.5% above prime.
116m shares. 10p - 11m Market Cap. NPV Proved reserves 10% 114m. $15 cost per bbl. Getting $115/bbl. Turned the corner and now profitable and moving forward.

East Ventura Basin, California

Heavy oil. Tough terrain. Acquired Tapia and Eureka. Steam flood next door.
Tapia Oil field. Good oil column and gas up the whole. $600k each and take a week each and payout in a year. Getting prod to market in 30 days. Unconsolidated sands constantly clogs. Started to put gravel in which filters. Workover every 1-2 years rather than 3 months. Drill most from centralised pads with directional drilling. 50-60 year old equipment. Built our own steam generator.
Initiated first steam pilot programme. Using our own gas to steam the oil. 94% of the revenue in this field. Self sustaining for cash 47 year life and payout is a year

Eureka Oil Field

From turn of the century. Marginal and extreme terrain and gravel packed techniques. 1600 acre lease. Seismic bad round here. Geochemical survey. Significant features and oil seeps. Close proximity to lots of other fields. Lots of potential Putting a well down this year as the cash flow improves from the other wells. At $85. Proved reserves 4m - $122m. Payout in 0.73 years. Lifting costs $14.55/bbl Capex $15m from cashflow.

Kansas

Forest City Basin

Coal Bed Methane mixed success other areas. Geophysical anomalies channel oil sands. Not yet tested. Kansas is easier for regulations and good offset for California. Coal study came out and 40,000 acres of coal. 300-100 wells. 1000 feet deep in about a year. Well design tricky and are trying to learn from other peoples success. Test each seam at a time. Allows determine how many coals can complete at once so dont waste money. Most of pipelines to Chicago and SanFrancisco. Pressure problems and water problems and others walked away. Using compression techniques and water removal have had some success starting a pilot programme this year. 50 well programme $6.5m. $11.50/mcf. 87% of revenue. Payout 1.4 years 20 year life of reserves. 250 wells over next few years.

Leavenworth

Lot of inactive pipelines. Restarting abandoned wells. Conventional and CBM stuff.

Summary

Strong cashflow from multiple assets.

Questions:
Q: Are 2P reserves enhanced recovery or conventional?
JE: Both. There was an old well that was steamed and multiple improvement in the recovery of oil and other fields are similar. Some use purchased gas if we can use our own gas improves economics dramatically.
Q: API?

JE: 18degree so ready market in California.
Q: Production now?
JE: 120 bbl/ day. 6 new wells takes 30 days to stabilise. Steamed one well. Predict 800bbl/Day soon.

KoD

relishing - 22 May 2008 19:29 - 1863 of 2350

driver,

How come that attendee thought JE said 120bopd was current production, and not 200bopd as you reported? Was it a different question?

driver - 22 May 2008 19:55 - 1864 of 2350

rel
That's what I thought he said 120 looks a bit low for him to have said that anyway.

kuzemko - 22 May 2008 20:30 - 1865 of 2350

???

gibby - 22 May 2008 20:35 - 1866 of 2350

i would say and looking forward to it!!

driver - 22 May 2008 21:13 - 1867 of 2350

rel
I wouldn't put too much on it 120 or 200 I think JE was referring to past production not present.

relishing - 22 May 2008 21:31 - 1868 of 2350

You're right - the 800bopd figure is much more interesting! ;)

driver - 23 May 2008 07:51 - 1869 of 2350

Report correction.

Apologies for the phenomenal word I thought he was referring to our steaming not the steaming impact on the nearby placerita field as (union other side) pointed out. I stand corrected no intentional miss leading was intended may have been over enthusiasm on my part.

As he was referring to the nearby placerita field there is no reason SER do not get the same results as JE was suggesting.

Iankn73 - 23 May 2008 08:54 - 1870 of 2350

I'm not a holder of SER. I thought this article would be of interest to those who do.

http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/05/22/oil.supplies.ap/index.html
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