goldfinger
- 06 Aug 2004 16:15
Greyhound
- 20 Nov 2007 15:08
- 208 of 2076
Fast turnaround again. Volatility reigns!
Greyhound
- 22 Nov 2007 12:01
- 209 of 2076
Good to see some gains again here. I would have thought we're in for a couple of lacklustre days until Thanksgiving is over and business returns on Monday. Gold picking up from the recent lows however.
steveo
- 22 Nov 2007 13:54
- 210 of 2076
Any views on gold spot price? It's been bounded about in the press that it could go to 725-50 before continuing its next leg up to $1000?
I suppose the main bet is on whether fed reduces rates again?
Greyhound
- 22 Nov 2007 14:00
- 211 of 2076
The set back below $800 in last few days is a good thing for setting up the next rise. You are right there have been a lot of articles in the FT on gold, one yesterday even, pg 42. POG themselves said they see gold at $900 by end 07. There was also another well thought out article in the last few weeks in the FT about the gold bull run only just starting and $1000-$1200 shouldn't be ruled out in the next 2 years.
FX wise I expect to see a weaker dollar until 2009. FX markets always overrun and with US rates only just starting to come down and more talk of US recession next year, all the more reason to buy into precious metals.
Falcothou
- 22 Nov 2007 16:15
- 212 of 2076
I read somewhere that if it were to reach the levels of 1980 it would be at $2200 in context of inflation. goldbullion.com quite informative. Seems to be a lot of protectionist measures occuring globally as well such as Mugabe planning to seize 51% platinum mines in Zim, Putin oil from shell in Russia. This will affect supply as Mugabe's nearest and dearest probably have little idea of how to run a mine or farm for that matter!
Greyhound
- 23 Nov 2007 16:48
- 213 of 2076
Both gold and silver gaining this afternoon timed with what looks like another good opportunity to sell the dollar. There could be news afoot re BHP/RIO picking up a lot today on recent weakness. With better volumes on Monday we could look to see gold/silver stocks reestablishing the upward momentum.
cynic
- 23 Nov 2007 16:58
- 214 of 2076
don't forget that is now "artificially" weak, especially against Euro, as there is a strong likelihood that BoE will reduce interest rates in December and EU Central Bank will not
Greyhound
- 23 Nov 2007 17:03
- 215 of 2076
EUR/GBP over 0.73 before too long I'd have thought.
cynic
- 23 Nov 2007 17:09
- 216 of 2076
that equates to 1.37 : ..... currently about 138.75 ...... buggers up my biz profits more than a weak $
Greyhound
- 23 Nov 2007 17:14
- 217 of 2076
Sorry to hear that! Some resistance at 0.7230, next stop 0.7320.
cynic
- 23 Nov 2007 17:17
- 218 of 2076
much of the "loss" is actually theoretical, though it shows on the P&L ..... when the tables turn, even if not until next year or even the year after, those losses reverse.
Greyhound
- 26 Nov 2007 09:32
- 219 of 2076
Better start to the day after recent sharp falls/profit taking. Gold on the rise too.
steveo
- 26 Nov 2007 14:02
- 220 of 2076
looks like my previuos question was answered quite firmly, so here's another!!
Excuse my ignorance, but if BoE do drop rates how will that affect sp of gold, if at all? Will presumably boost POG revenues
cynic
- 26 Nov 2007 14:08
- 221 of 2076
not at all ..... gold is determined in US$, so it is the strength or otherwise of that currency that has an influence .,... and of course the actual or perceived demand for gold itself
steveo
- 26 Nov 2007 14:18
- 222 of 2076
thought so, thanks for that. Bullish run pettered out today, will asia continue with it tommorrow, some positions certainly being taken ahead of fed.
Another question, when is the fed decision and where is the best place for a diary of economic data more than a week in advance?
Greyhound
- 26 Nov 2007 14:29
- 223 of 2076
Fed decision 11 Dec
ptholden
- 26 Nov 2007 18:43
- 224 of 2076
Steveo
FX calanders perhaps the best bet for economic data, there,s one on the Forex thread in the Traders Room, but also available on FX.com or some other such site.
pth
Greyhound
- 04 Dec 2007 11:47
- 225 of 2076
Gold has been suffering of late, but my view is we're about to start another sell off of the dollar and that the recent moves are only a correction. Longer term I expect to see gold a lot higher and this sets up another good move higher.
cynic
- 04 Dec 2007 12:20
- 226 of 2076
would not disagree ..... i intend to stay in this stock for quite a while