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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

rhino213 - 27 Jan 2009 15:45 - 2167 of 2350

any danger of these moving any time soon? I need a new dvd player!

martinl2 - 28 Jan 2009 12:12 - 2168 of 2350

You can get them for about 20, must be hard times if you need to sell shares to raise that?

rhino213 - 28 Jan 2009 12:24 - 2169 of 2350

I could get a rubbish one 20 or I could get a blu-ray playing 7.1 home cinema system with a dvd burner and a hard drive for a few thousand quid more. I want the better one.

Sefton have been sitting at bargain basement prices for a while now without showing any signs of recovering. I just wanted to know if anyone had any news or knew of anything coming up.

I've been in for over 3 years now and I'd like to see some movement. This is the the most static I tihnk I have ever seen these shares.

martinl2 - 28 Jan 2009 12:44 - 2170 of 2350

Well as you know the company are quite active at the moment: They've begun drilling for CBM in Kansas, which is probably nearly finished now (the drilling part) but it will take a while to complete the wells and analyse the data. They are also steaming the 3 Snow wells in turn, the second one at least should be being steamed by now and the first should have had a few weeks of enhanced production. They are also drilling new wells at Tapia. The rig was due at the end of December, and if it arrived on time the drilling of the 3 wells should be finished in the next week or so.

So I reckon its quite likely we'll hear from them in the next couple of weeks.

halifax - 28 Jan 2009 15:49 - 2171 of 2350

the problem is oil is still under $50 per barrel.

rhino213 - 28 Jan 2009 19:40 - 2172 of 2350

How do you guys think Mr Obama's drive for US oil Independence will effect Sefton???

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/americas/7851038.stm

Surely this should do some good when it actually kicks in?

From listening to his speech it sounds like he wants to reduce oil consumption in the US. From what he said it looks like the reduced consumption will result in a reduction in oil imports from foreign sources. This potentially could be great news for US oil producers. I can't see it getting to the point where there is a split price per barrel on US and foreign oil though. The oil cartels just wouldn't allow it.

kuzemko - 03 Feb 2009 12:30 - 2173 of 2350

http://www.fwbusinesspress.com/display.php?id=9441

2517GEORGE - 04 Feb 2009 09:33 - 2174 of 2350

The acquisition of Petrol Waverley Project assets look particularly beneficial, all seems to be rolling along nicely.
2517

2517GEORGE - 04 Feb 2009 10:24 - 2175 of 2350

Quiet here considering a near 37% rise so far today. Whether this will hold----
2517

martinl2 - 04 Feb 2009 10:34 - 2176 of 2350

What a superb RNS - have you seen the Snow well steaming result? Up 600%!!

kuzemko - 04 Feb 2009 12:07 - 2177 of 2350

every update market receives, its better and full improvements.this one suggests that next month's report will show increased production. if markets and economy setttles into normal flow we should see SER making big progress by the end of this year. i'll hold

martinl2 - 04 Feb 2009 12:23 - 2178 of 2350

By my calculations we could be upto well over 8000bopm in Feb/March production?

This may sound pretty far fetched so let me show my calculations:

Baseline production (without new wells and steaming), taking into account drop due to activities in December, lets say 4400bopm.

New well # 1 - 30 bopd. To be conservative lets say this stabilises at 25bopd - that's 750bopm.

New well # 2 - expected to be above average. Lets say its only slightly at 35bopd - that's 1050bopm.

Snow 5 - 63bopd. Lets say this falls off to 50bopd - that's 1500bopm.

Adding these up we get 7700bopm.

Then you have 2 further Snow wells to be steamed.

Assuming only a modest increase (relative to the first one) of 20bopd total, that would give another 1200bopm.

Thats a grand total of 8900bopm.

martinl2 - 04 Feb 2009 12:30 - 2179 of 2350

With recent activities Sefton is transforming itself into a serious oiler that a much wider range of investors will want to buy rather than, shall I say the more 'adventurous' types that have bought thus far? (myself included!). If this progress continues I can see this share attracting a lot of attention once the markets start to improve (and remember both stocks and commodities look forwards and therefore usually lead by a long way in a recovery), and reaching a much higher valuation than any it has had in the past. Those holding now and prepared to wait could be rewarded substantially.

cynic - 04 Feb 2009 12:38 - 2180 of 2350

i too am inclined to accept that SER is a "good" minnow, but it seems to lack decent PR and announcements etc, whereas HAWK (which is where this started) has regular drilling news etc etc

halifax - 04 Feb 2009 12:43 - 2181 of 2350

cynic its one thing to have lots of drilling newsflow its another to actually have produced oil.

cynic - 04 Feb 2009 13:13 - 2182 of 2350

i don't disagree, though i think i am right in saying that HAWK is actually producing modestly, with more to follow quite shortly ..... much the same as SER actually

mind you, at the end of the day, all i care about is whether or not sp is going to go up or down

kuzemko - 04 Feb 2009 13:18 - 2183 of 2350

cynic, no one is talking about HAWKs progress. this SER progress we are interested in

martinl2 - 04 Feb 2009 13:20 - 2184 of 2350

I see HAWK is currently valued at 30x more than SER. Looks like we have a bit of catching up to do lol.

cynic - 04 Feb 2009 13:24 - 2185 of 2350

kuz ... you have sort of picked up a fag end

martinl2 - 04 Feb 2009 13:39 - 2186 of 2350

Would anyone care to interpet the information given about the first CBM well? From my layman's perspective it looks positive with the right things showing in the log etc, but would appreciate a more informed opinion.
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