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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

martinl2 - 17 Apr 2009 11:44 - 2194 of 2350

Yes, strange drop since then though. Have bought more at these low levels.

cynic - 17 Apr 2009 15:22 - 2195 of 2350

this isn't a company that i follow much, but on the face of it, it certainly would appear that it should have a better rating, but that comment has applied for the last 2 years or more

halifax - 17 Apr 2009 15:26 - 2196 of 2350

british bulls put out a sell confirmed signal a few days ago so that may be the reason for the decline.

cynic - 17 Apr 2009 15:55 - 2197 of 2350

but even at the height of the hype, sp was only 6p which is still no great shakes

martinl2 - 18 Apr 2009 17:50 - 2198 of 2350

British bulls is just an automated candlestick signal generator, and is usually wrong due to the spread here. Can't see anyone selling out of their investment in Sefton because of what it says.

driver - 05 May 2009 14:55 - 2199 of 2350

Going good today

2517GEORGE - 06 May 2009 10:10 - 2200 of 2350

Finals out and are being well received atm.
2517

kkeith2000 - 06 May 2009 10:33 - 2201 of 2350

Yes good news George and a nice welcome rise

martinl2 - 06 May 2009 12:34 - 2202 of 2350

Good clear update showing improvements in all areas and very positive forward looking statements.
Nice to see they have been given an award for operational excellence!

martinl2 - 07 May 2009 13:52 - 2203 of 2350

Shame this share just can't seem to make an advance and hold it.

maggiebt4 - 07 May 2009 14:05 - 2204 of 2350

Crying shame when you're no where near break even. Still never say die till the fat lady sings!

finnboy - 08 May 2009 08:51 - 2205 of 2350

I've been averaging down..i was only 0.5p away from breakeven before it dropped...lol

martinl2 - 08 May 2009 12:05 - 2206 of 2350

I've bought another 50k this morning. Sellers now will be kicking themselves in the near future I think - given the events on the horizon.

Its so tragic that the very prospects and hopes that caused people to buy in so vigorously 2-3-4 years ago are now finally happening or will likely happen very soon - just as many of those long-term holders are throwing in the towel!

rhino213 - 19 Jun 2009 12:23 - 2208 of 2350

Just out of interest what levels have you guys set yourself as get outs? I'm confident the SP will head north soon but I can't quite decide if I should jump ship at 10p, 15p or 20p.

If I pick 20p the SP will never get there....

If I pick 15p the SP with hit 30p.....

and if I pick 10p then i'll be kicking myself when it goes higher.

what to do???

martinl2 - 19 Jun 2009 12:50 - 2209 of 2350

I think many would be happy with 5p at the moment rhino :)

But seriously I would think the best strategy is probably to aim to sell a portion at say 10p, some more at 15p, some more at 20p etc etc, then whatever happens you're quids in.

I bought some more yesterday and some more today. Thinking there is bound to be an update on or before the AGM day (next Wednesday), which, after all this time should really contain some tangible progress.. if not then what's the downside from 2.5p?

halifax - 19 Jun 2009 13:24 - 2210 of 2350

zilch!

kkeith2000 - 19 Jun 2009 13:35 - 2211 of 2350

Martin does the latest production figures show any improvement with the price of oil now increasing, while some o/g company's have seen a slight increase in s/p we are still routed to the bottom
Anything to keep our spirits up thanks

martinl2 - 19 Jun 2009 13:46 - 2212 of 2350

Published production figures are available here kkeith:

Last published month is April.

http://opi.consrv.ca.gov/opi/opi.dll/Search?UsrP_ID=100067199&FormStack=Main%2COperator&Opr__ID=100002209&Action=Get+Sums+&PriorState=Encoded%3DTrue

Seems they are managing to maintain around 6000bopm which should increase sharply when steaming is started.

I have 'heard' that they have already been steaming for at least 3-4 weeks but this has not been announced officially so could be just 'hot air'...

kkeith2000 - 19 Jun 2009 13:56 - 2213 of 2350

Thanks Martin the monthly figures looking better than last year and if they continue should beat last years production also look how much the gas has increased
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