A good post from the other side to remind us why we are invested in RGM. Re: actonovator Cheers good post.
RGM is arguably way undervalued at its current mc of 32.7m.
What you get is the following:
Investment in Red Rock : 20m
A a whole raft of rns due and overdue
(Mt Ida, Migori, Colombia, Kansai, Australian
exploration, RSL mining results plus...),
which could easily see the value of RRR double
in the next month. And RGM on the back of it.
Investment in Dni (7.3%) 3.7m
This is a book value but would already seem
to be enhanced because of the investment (and
approval) brought by the CSIRO investment in Dni
Investment in Oracle Coalfields 1.5m
(Plus options at time of AIM listing)
Stakes in Cue Resources (Uranium) and Alba 0.7m
Alba more or less a shell at the moment but
with millions of shares changing hands recently
and speculation mounting - perhaps to be used for
Ascot or Oracle listings
or the RGM/Dni jv ?
A highly attractive portfolio of exploration
tenements in Aus:
- Lake Johnson - gold,nickel
(Munglinup - surrounding tenemnets quickly
pegged by surrounding explorers after RGM's
last results)
- Kambalda - gold/nickel
Difficult to value but take your pick with
comparisons to other AIM miners. In addition
RGM is superior to most in that has a fairly
liquid asset in RRR which could be used to
finance projects if cash became tight. And of
course there is the real prospect ofa cash
stream from RRR dividends.
Must be worth at least.... 5.8m
Cash ?? Perhaps 1m
Quite a few placings over the last year.
Approx 1.6 raised in last 4 months
This so far gives a total of 32.7m.
This is also (magically) today's market cap.
But what is not included is probably the most
important asset and is effectively in for free:
The Mambare deposit and 50:50 Jv with Dni.
I believe this is estimated to have between 5-7m tons of nickel at $25000 per ton.
This is a staggering figure especially when combined with the dni technoly which
promises to both HALVE capital costs and operational costs for nickel production.
Dni 's committement is clearly evidenced by their contribution of 1m to the current
exploration. Their recent conference call is a must listen
http://soundcloud.com/oditmoras
It is clearly the component that could drive up the sp by 10,20,30 times.
All the non-Mambare assets will generate short and medium term news, hopefully starting
with Red Rock next week. Although the Mambare jv wont see production for 3-4-5 years,
there are plenty of significant milestones probably in the next year: Mambare jorc, jv
listing (Alba?), Dni listing.
The only reason the sp is so low is because of the issue of 26.8m shares to Dni and a
more recent placing of 4.2m. This is imo the only reason for the recent unusual trading
pattern .
Dni have no income and were always going to sell. Although the shares were officially
traded from 3rd Dec they probably began before then (which I understand is common).
Therefore we have had a potential 31m shares to absorb over the last 6 weeks. Difficult
to say how many have gone. But once they are gone we will get a re-rating. Perhaps a
significant rns from RRR next week will be the spur for a final clearance. Many AIM
miners have re-rated over the last 12 months. The only reason the RGM sp has
increased is because of its RRR holding. Imo once the overhang is cleared we are next.