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Falklands Oil and Gas (FOGL) (FOGL)     

Proselenes - 13 Aug 2011 04:53

.

magicjoe - 28 Nov 2012 09:31 - 2345 of 2393

YES

there is more on the reading ( derampers ) than the ones mention before, lets put their names down...... hlyeo98 , mitzy .....

No one can see further using
tinted glasses this days, as I said before most of the posters over here ....... know NOTHING

or it was Manuel saying that


One must know the meaning of the post, before typping, but as usual, lets type nonsence and think later is what is happening, no derampers had managed to say a reason for the share price to be down to this level or lower, yet spouting rubbish numbers around.

SHAME on YOU

magicjoe - 28 Nov 2012 09:35 - 2346 of 2393

Falklands Oil & Gas (FOGL LN, 36p, ▼ 42.86%): FoX Davies (HOLD, 55p)

Sometimes Fizz Doesn't Mean a Celebration -While reservoir conditions at this location would not be conducive to drilling at the same location again to appraise the discovery, it does indicate that, save for localised issues, that the Scotia discovery still has the potential, albeit elsewhere in the structure, to be a world class gas discovery.
That this information will be integrated with the data from the existing and proposed 3D seismic programme is also likely to sharpen the Company's pencils ahead of the next campaign.
What you can't escape is that the fourth well in the Falklands South Basin ("FSB") supports the findings from the first three wells, and that this strongly suggests that the SFB is gas prone. Unfortunately, except for small pockets of liquids, which like Border's Darwin well, are likely to be gas-condensate accumulations with very high gas-oil ratios, it would suggest that any further drilling will yield gas discoveries. Consequently, we believe that under the current regime, any development in the SFB is now pushed out beyond 2022; the size requirement and technical demands of a marinised LNG makes these assets marginal.

This would all change in an instant if the Falkland Islands Government ("FIG") has a change of heart, and allows the construction of facilities on shore. Instantly it would open up the SFB and make what was marginal a commercial concern; it would also favour Rockhopper/Premier's Johnston discovery, which is a multi tcf gas-condensate discovery.

Following this news, and in the absence of any movement from the FIG, we are valuing FOGL at cash ($220mm - 43p) plus the option value for the remainder of its portfolio (12p), which equates to 55p. However, we are reiterating our HOLD recommendation as we believe that the new information from BOR's and FOGL's drilling campaign, the minimal environmental impact from the drilling by all operators the operators, will start to give the FIG a better idea of modern operational standards in the oil business. Given the share price Movement in BOR, we are moving our SELL recommendation to HOLD.
In this news:

• Well 31/12-01 was drilled to a depth of 5,555m
• Penetrated the mid Cretaceous aged reservoir objective on prognosis
• The Scotia objective had been identified on the basis of its seismic amplitude response
• Strong gas shows (C1 to C5) were encountered whilst drilling the target section
• Interpretation of wireline log data indicates that the target interval 4719m to 4769m comprises 50m of hydrocarbon bearing fine grained sandstones and claystones
• At this location within Scotia, the sandstones form fairly poor quality reservoir, although some zones have up to 20% porosity
• Other thin hydrocarbon bearing sandstones were encountered beneath the main target in the interval 4900m to 5164m
• Subsequent evaluation of the main interval using a wireline formation testing tool did not flow hydrocarbons, indicating that the reservoir has low permeability.
• The well was deepened below the main target in order to penetrate and sample Cretaceous aged source rocks
• Rock cuttings and sidewall core samples have been obtained from several potential source rock intervals
• Sent to the laboratory for detailed analysis, and the results should provide vital information on the quality and maturity of these source rocks and also provide a better understanding of the distribution of oil and gas within this part of the South and East Falklands basin.
• Further announcement on the results of this work will be made in the first quarter of 2013.

Read more: FoxDavies / Falklands_Oil_Gas

magicjoe - 28 Nov 2012 10:30 - 2347 of 2393

How much is true?

There is a theory doing the rounds that because of the controversial nature of the area (Argentina laying claim) oil companies in the Falklands are deliberating playing down their finds in order to continue to develop the fields to production unimpeded and without political interference.


Indeed they have been instructed by the British government not to report commercial quantities of oil/gas.

required field - 28 Nov 2012 10:40 - 2348 of 2393

Did they ever land on the moon ?

mnamreh - 28 Nov 2012 11:42 - 2349 of 2393

.

markymar - 28 Nov 2012 12:00 - 2350 of 2393

The SP will reach 25p before it reachers 45p in the next few years......its now a sleeping cash shell of a compny going no where fast.



magicjoe - 28 Nov 2012 12:18 - 2351 of 2393

Que sera sera ................. What the price tomorrow will be

but

Merchant hikes Falkland Oil & Gas to Buy from Sell, target 57.70p

mitzy - 28 Nov 2012 12:21 - 2352 of 2393

precio manana bajo 20p al menos.

magicjoe - 28 Nov 2012 12:46 - 2353 of 2393

at "iii" - Beltie - talking at the same tone ..........

12:31 - News Mgt on a Massive Scale
Author's - Beltie

There is a cloak and daggers school of thought that FOGL, along with BOR before them, have been told to deliberately underplay good news so as not to inflame the Argies. In which case we could be in for a run of "disappointing news" from all future drills until things are ready to go to production. If true, not sure where this leaves us as investors, but it may explain why both FOGL and BOR have come up short on what were supposedly humongous sized oil and gas fields.
The hands of Govt could well be all over this at the moment. And there's absolutely nothing we can do about it. At the same time if there is a concerted news black out, then it may help to keep many many people down there out of harm's way.

Shortie - 28 Nov 2012 12:57 - 2354 of 2393

Are we suggesting another government scandel? Wouldn't surprise me, the govenment fix most things so stock price manipulation would be yet another to add to the corruption list.

magicjoe - 28 Nov 2012 13:05 - 2355 of 2393

mitzy

re - precio manana bajo 20p al menos.


correct ......

... al menos el precio mañana, bajará a 20 peniques
or
al menos mañana, el precio bajará a 20 peniques
( at least the price tomorrow will go down to 20 pence )


Good try but it seems you will need to go a few more times to the Costas to get it right. The verb has let you down just a bit
I did spend some time living there, and it seems I managed to get it better than you, just like the shares I will say.

hlyeo98 - 28 Nov 2012 18:02 - 2356 of 2393

This is the funniest - so you are implying David Cameron could be advising FOGL to fake their findings. This is amounting to FRAUD.
I just can't stop laughing at your pure genius.


magicjoe- 28 Nov 2012 10:30 - 2347 of 2355

How much is true?

There is a theory doing the rounds that because of the controversial nature of the area (Argentina laying claim) oil companies in the Falklands are deliberating playing down their finds in order to continue to develop the fields to production unimpeded and without political interference.


Indeed they have been instructed by the British government not to report commercial quantities of oil/gas.

required field - 29 Nov 2012 09:22 - 2357 of 2393

Well apart from the seismic and Loligo results...this will be on the back burner now for some time I gather....convinced that the sp will recover...but the Irish drilling will now be the focus early next year and that will be exciting.....also the Belize wells are looking good (so far).....god knows what will happen in Kurdistan....

magicjoe - 29 Nov 2012 11:43 - 2358 of 2393

Noble - Bullish on Falkland Islands / 27 November 2012

Doubts about Noble's (NBL) future in the Falkland Islands have been limited to Cristina Kirchner's threats. At the moment, Noble's prospects in the Falkland Islands are especially good, and it will not be a surprise if Noble slowly enters Argentinean waters as well. However, for that to happen, Cristina will have to lose the elections next year. Noble is already active in the Falkland Islands, and the potential profits and revenue to the company are astounding.

Argentina's President forbade Noble and other foreign companies from operating in the Falkland Islands. However, her tactics do not seem to be working in her favor. When the news broke out that she may seek an additional presidential term when the elections are held mid-next year, almost a million people protested on the streets of Buenos Aires. This was one of the largest anti-government protests ever.

Noble has decided to forge ahead with its plans to explore and drill in the islands without worrying about what the consequences may be. This is also because most political analysts believe that Cristina will not be able to retain her post in the next election. That prophecy seems to be coming true, when we look at the mass protests that are taking place across Argentina at the moment.

The Argentinean economy is in shambles and the country really is not interested in the Falkland Islands. Most Argentineans believe Falklanders get to choose whether they belong to Britain, Argentina or to themselves. Industry analysts have noted that as long as the British Navy is in place and as long as the Falklanders do not give into empty threats made by Kirchner, oil companies operating in the islands will be safe ...................

more Noble - Bullish on Falkland Islands

magicjoe - 29 Nov 2012 12:12 - 2359 of 2393

Share price not ready yet to bounce back ( even a "cat bounce" ) maybe this afternoon as the weekend starts for closing positions.
shorters closing ( most do not like to carry them through nthe weekend ) could start the rally.

tyketto - 29 Nov 2012 12:44 - 2360 of 2393

Argentina. (Fading away)
Cityam,yesterday.
Fitch cuts Argentina sovereign debt from B to
CC,(down 5 notches) two steps away from default,
and put a negative outlook on their dept.
This follows Argentina's refusal to pay holders of
debt from the 2000 default (as ordered by an
American Judge.)



cynic - 29 Nov 2012 13:19 - 2361 of 2393

MJ - don't disagree, but a particularly difficult one to call i feel ..... however, there looks to be good buying support at 30, and perhaps that's a level to view for entry .... would you disagree?

markymar - 29 Nov 2012 13:37 - 2362 of 2393

No good reason for a bounce in this share........the falklands bubble burst a long time ago and the SFB is a disaster.


If you buy shares in this at these levels is a waste of time its a cash shell of a company for a couple of years......it aint going any where .

BOR is an even bigger waste of space at least fogl have money in the bank

hlyeo98 - 29 Nov 2012 14:58 - 2363 of 2393

Unfortunately the whole Falklands is a waste of space now, marky.

mitzy - 29 Nov 2012 15:00 - 2364 of 2393

Bueno suerta joe.
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