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Tradrers Thread - Tuesday 27th April (BP.)     

Crocodile - 26 Apr 2004 21:40

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1 Day  

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UK News

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Gold/Bond

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S&P Futures

Nikkei -103 Hang Seng +97  Asia News

  DAX    CAC     Euro News

U.S indexes fell back as profit taking & interest rate worries depressed the markets.

BP's first quarter has come in higher than market expectations with the U.K underperforming the U.S & Asia. They are going to sell half of their the petrochemical business and are considering an IPO on the refining part of the company. Extra output from its newly acquired Russian assets helped it to boost its daily production to just over 4 million barrels a day.

Tesco said its Tokyo unit hopes to take over an indebted Japanese supermarket chain after recently giving it some help.

Westbury housebuilder said annual profits rose 24 percent to 115.6 million pounds, in line with market estimates, delivering an 11th straight year of profit and dividend growth

Game Group reported an annual 4.5 percent rise in profit to 34.7 million pounds in line with expectations and said it was doubling its dividend to 2.0 pence. Turnover rose 8.3 percent to 607 million pounds but the firm sales fell 9.0 percent in the 11 weeks to April 17, they said they aim to beat a difficult market in 2004

British American Tobacco reported a three percent dip in first-quarter profits hit by the strength of the pound but said momentum in 2004 will continue. This profit of to 454 million pounds was well below market expectations

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Amvescap (I), BP (Q1), SurfControl (I), Ferraris (I), Alexandra (F), Game (F), Robotic Technology Systems (F), Solitaire (F), Westbury (F), C.I. Traders (F), BAT (Q1)

Aviva (AGM), Bradford & Bingley (AGM), HBOS (AGM), Northern Rock (AGM), Benfield (AGM), Personal Holdings (AGM), Rank (AGM), Royalblue (AGM), Singer and Friedlander (AGM), UK Coal (AGM),

10:00 CBI quarterly industrial trends survey

DuPont , McDonald's, Verizon

15:00 Existing Home Sales (6.2M)

15:00 Consumer Confidence (88.3)

Vossloh, Software AG

Essilor International, Renault,

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Pre Market Futures FTSE +5 DAX+5 DOW+3 S&P+0.3 Nasdaq+0.5

little woman - 27 Apr 2004 14:08 - 28 of 40

Zarif

Ignore it - if they try and get you to pay, report them to the FSA (trading standards may also be interested). They have to be licenced in the UK to be able to make you pay - and I bet they are not.

zarif - 27 Apr 2004 14:12 - 29 of 40

thanks Lw:
Did a bit of Google Hunting like Columbo and found this site:
www.internationalec.co.uk
and the address is the same one for barcelona.

rgds
zarif

Melnibone - 27 Apr 2004 15:00 - 30 of 40

Zarif, send the details to the Mail on Sunday.

They've got a guy there who loves getting his teeth into
this kind of stuff.

He exposes people and reports them to the FSA every week.
It also warns other people, they have a large readership,
which will stop a lot of other folk getting conned.

Melnibone.

Melnibone - 27 Apr 2004 15:35 - 31 of 40

draw?startDate=23%2F04%2F04&period=3D&ep

Anyone fancy this 3 day downtrend channel continuing?

Or are we still in favour of the 10 day uptrend with this just part
of it?

Melnibone.

zarif - 27 Apr 2004 18:24 - 32 of 40

Thanks guys for your kind help and sound advice- I am just going to ignore it and if and when they ring then i am going to give them a mouthful.
rgds
zarif

Melnibone - 27 Apr 2004 20:14 - 33 of 40

draw?showVolume=true&modeMA=Exponential&

Croc and TP would probably advise better than me, but here's
my view for what it's worth.

Strong Downtrend of lower lows and lower highs.

50 day ema is about to cross down over the 200 day ema.
Very bearish, opposite of the Golden Cross.

Volume/Liquidity is poor.
Spread of 1p on a 6p stock is poor.
Market Cap and turnover is tiny.

Don't really understand why you have bought and are averaging
down a presumably losing position instead of operating a stop loss?

You must have some pretty stong reasons for holding this?

Melnibone.

scotinvestor - 17 Jun 2008 10:35 - 34 of 40

would have thought bp sp would be dropping given that russian mafia want their man kicked out and visa problems etc......25% of output for bp is in russia, scary.

scotinvestor - 25 Jul 2008 14:54 - 35 of 40

surprised that sp has not collapsed given that dudly has fled cuntry ad is in hiding....and bp staf have left russia

Guscavalier - 05 Sep 2008 10:44 - 36 of 40

MOSCOW , Sept 4 (Reuters) - The Russia central bank stepped into the market and sold up to $4 billion on Thursday to brake the rouble's fall, while shares went into free-fall despite a much awaited shareholder peace deal on oil company TNK-BP.

The rouble fell as low as 30.41, its lowest since the current composition of the basket was set at 0.45 euros and 0.55 dollars in February 2007.

Russia's benchmark share index closed 3.94 percent lower at 1,526.57 < .IRTS>, less than a point above the intraday low that marked the index's weakest level this year. The RTS has not seen levels this low since October 2006.

Falling Western markets and fears that capital outflows could accelerate outweighed a long-awaited end to a conflict between BP and its local partners, which had played out in the international media and poisoned sentiment.

'It is easier to undermine investor trust than it is to revive it,' Da Vinci Capital Management Head of Research Alexander Orlov said.

The rouble's move took its combined losses for the last two days to around 60 kopecks or 2 percent.

That appeared to galvanise the central bank into its first major intervention since it sold an estimated $12-$13 billion in two days during the height of Russia's military conflict with Georgia in early August.

'The move from a fixed-currency regime to a more flexible one is part of the central bank's long-term strategy,' said Vladimir Osakovsky, a Moscow-based analyst at UniCredit.

'But we have growing political risks in Russia which have caused capital outflows. Due to this, the volatility turned out to be much greater and the central bank is playing the role of a stabiliser of extremes.'



CONFLICTS, OIL

The rouble closed around 30.39 versus the basket.

'It seems that the central bank's offer is located around 30.40-30.41 roubles to the basket,' said a dealer at a major foreign bank in Moscow.

Russian asset prices have been slashed by the outflow of foreign capital, with foreign investors spooked by the TNK-BP conflict, an unexpected government attack on Mechel, and the military conflict with Georgia and the subsequent souring of relations with the West.

A fall in oil prices from their July peak also weighed heavy. Oil and gas shares account for more than half of the RTS index.

Da Vinci's Orlov said the stock market was rife with rumours that investment committees had decided to pull more money out of Russia in anticipation of redemptions, and would not reverse their position until the scale of further outflows became clear.

Analysts at BNP Paribas said Thursday's data on gold and forex reserves [ID:nMOS005307] indicated a further $2 billion in capital had left Russia last week, adding to outflows of over $20 billion since the start of the conflict with Georgia.

Allowing greater rouble volatility is a step towards the central bank's medium-term aim of moving to an inflation-targeting regime from one focused on the exchange rate. But it is also reluctant to allow extreme moves, and has the power to stop them, as seen on Thursday.

'Most likely when people saw that the central bank is defending the rouble at a certain level, the potential for further appreciation (of the basket) disappeared,' said Osakovsky at UniCredit.

'It's impossible to play against the central bank, taking into account that it has over half a trillion dollars of reserves.'

(Reporting by Andrey Ostroukh, Toni Vorobyova and Melissa Akin; Editing by Victoria Main, Swaha Pattanaik) Keywords: RUSSIA MARKETS/

Gus comment:- pressure on the rouble may be just what the doctor ordered and may have been helpful to BP in negotiations imho. Still lets hope things turn out ok.

skinny - 03 Feb 2009 07:39 - 37 of 40

dadro - 03 Feb 2010 09:43 - 38 of 40

Found yesterday here: www.uk-analyst.com
Although yesterday witnessed an overshoot below the floor of a rising trend channel in place since September on the daily chart of BP, the accompanying key reversal to the upside did suggest that in the normal course of events we have seen the floor on the recent retracement of the shares. The fact that there has been a gap down for the stock today reverses the technicals at least in terms of saying that while below the top of the gap down at 581p on an end of day close stop loss basis the risk is for a test of support as low as November's 562p intraday low. But only sustained price action under the 4 month support implies a major top is in place at BP.

required field - 30 Apr 2010 08:47 - 39 of 40

BP are in a right pickle....the cost will be staggering !.....what a mess....

required field - 30 Apr 2010 20:45 - 40 of 40

Leed petroleum who drill in that part of the world have slumped....."the pelican brief" ?.....
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