lex1000
- 27 Aug 2007 16:59
lex1000
- 09 Oct 2007 23:10
- 291 of 1154
Hatto - 9 Oct'07 - 22:43 - 8238 of 8238
DCD......
1. The Iraqis will pass the HCL that is certain IMHO.
The SP is likely to rise when the HCL is being debated.
2. S&L will be upgraded to a Technical Agreement & announced this year (whatever that means).
3. Block 6 will probably be confirmed this year.
4. From the interim results....
* Continued strong relationship with Iraqi Ministry of Oil
* Passing of Hydrocarbon Law will allow application for Production Sharing
Agreements
* Strong progress at Subba & Luhais field: completed surveys and initial
delivery of equipment underway
* Successful completion of Merjan Oil Field Technical Co-operation Agreement
(TCA) in partnership with ITOCHU
* Awarded a TCA over the Dhufriya oil field in Central Iraq, to be carried
out in partnership with ITOCHU
5. Plus we have Halfaya.
---------
6. Plus we had the Director options....200,000 @ 131p last week.....Would that be granted unless the PET board were convinced that PETs SP was likely to rise on the back of contracts.
7. We have East safawi in jordan, drilling to start at end 2008/early 2009.
8. Plus we have very few competitors with any Iraqi experience.
9. Plus we have successfully worked with the Iraqi for 10 years & over the past few years at S&L.
10.Plus we know that DNO were offered 350M for its fairly iffy assets/contract awards in the Kurdish North. If PET gets half what we hope for then I see a 350M market cap on the cards for PET.
11.Plus PET has a good working relationship with Iran. PETs major potential play at Halfaya is on the Iranian/Iraqi border.
12.Plus PET is prepared to start work straight away & not sit on any contract award.
-------------
I feel very positive on PETs SP prospects, but of course I am biased & may be wrong in my reading of the situation....But I don't think so.
samforever
- 13 Oct 2007 15:35
- 292 of 1154
Any thoughts on pets...is it worth buying at 1.30 mark?
lex1000
- 16 Oct 2007 22:20
- 293 of 1154
Background to placing @ 115p.
http://www.advfn.com/cmn/fbb/thread.php3?id=15250788&from=9155
mclellan - 16 Oct'07 - 15:24 - 9155 of 9218
And, as if by magic!!
David Horgan (dhorgan@cooleywhiskey.com)
Sent: 16 October 2007 14:18:41
To: Fiona *********@hotmail.com)
The placing was at the request of a founder institution that wanted to increase its stake. I called around the other institutions and all paricipated. This should show sceptics that Petrel is well supported.
Regards, David Horgan
-----Original Message-----From: Fiona ********@hotmail.com>Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 13:41:02 To:David Horgan Subject: Share Placing
Dear David
I see there has been a placing of Petrel shares, amounting to about 4-5%. Presumably these shares have not gone to one 'institution' since there has been no RNS for an over 3%new holding. Would Itochu be alowed to take part in a share placing..or is that a 'secret'?
Best wishesFiona
lex1000
- 16 Oct 2007 22:21
- 294 of 1154
http://www.advfn.com/cmn/fbb/thread.php3?id=15250788&from=9173
mclellan - 16 Oct'07 - 15:46 - 9173 of 9226
I replied to David and received this:
De Beers is a great company and generously financing AFD. Yet the market perceives that they control AFD. We want to use Itochus credibility and balance sheet, without a similar effect.
Regards, David Horgan ----
-Original Message-----From: Fiona ********@hotmail.com>Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 14:33:36
To:David Horgan
Subject: RE: Share Placing
Thanks, David
Yes, De Beers seem to cause their problems. I see some big B trades on AFD yesterday and that FDI have sold their stake.I am hoping that the Iraqis will get around to looking at the HCL in their next series of meetings, now that Ramadan is over, Eid is celebrated and consensus is building!Hope things are going well 'on the ground'.
Best wishes
Fiona
lex1000
- 16 Oct 2007 22:25
- 295 of 1154
samforever - 13 Oct 2007 15:35 - 292 of 294
Any thoughts on pets...is it worth buying at 1.30 mark?
Link to more research:
http://www.advfn.com/cmn/fbb/thread.php3?id=15203266
General advise buy the dips & on weakness.DYOR.
lex1000
- 18 Oct 2007 10:33
- 296 of 1154
For information only.
chway14 - 18 Oct'07 - 10:14 - 9577 of 9594
Another promising reply from PET.
Below is the reply to my e-mail
We went to Tehran mainly to meet senior Iraqis.
Itochu is sending a high level delegation specificall to meet petrel.
________________________________
From: John Teeling
Sent: Thu 18/10/2007 08:28
To: David Horgan
Subject: FW: petrelresources.com RF:f51c055
-----Original Message-----
From: petrelresources.com cf [mailto:info@petrelresources.com]
Sent: 17 October 2007 19:32
To: Petrel Resources (info@petrelresources.com)
Subject: petrelresources.com RF:f51c055
\\ Contact Form:
Site: www.petrelresources.com
Name: John
Date: 17/10/2007 19:32:12
\\ Message:
Attn. David Horgan.
Dear David,
It was reported over the weekend that you were in Iran on Saturday.
Are you contemplating extending your oil explorations into Iran as well as Iraq and Jordan,or could it be that you were discussing oil fields close to the Iran/Iraq border.
Another point is the Itochu visit you mentioned this week,are they actually visiting Petrel Resources or just Ireand in general.
If positive,I think that both the above points bode very well for Petrel.
I like the way you have handled the recent placing.
Looking forward to an interesting reply.
Kind regards
John
lex1000
- 18 Oct 2007 11:18
- 297 of 1154
Sharing post with MoneyAM with any who might want to read it or not.
barkerman - 18 Oct'07 - 11:12 - 9617 of 9622
This is a good read from fyb contributor.MIT.
Moneyintransit
Gold Contributor
Joined: 02-Nov-04
Location: Ireland
Posts: 343 Posted: 18-Oct-07 at 08:02 | IP Logged
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
I don't believe a 3m additional shares by the institutions would realistically be possible through normal trading. I feel very positive about this development. Below is an email I sent to family and friends who are also in Petrel.
***********************************************
Hi All,
Petrel's official announcement yesterday about the placing of an additional 3 million shares is very positive news.
For those of you that missed it I'll will copy it here below my own message, as well as an email reply from David Horgan (Managing Director) to a question from a shareholder about this placing.
First of all the announcement, which states:
The net proceeds amounting to approximately GBP 3.5million will be used to take advantage of selective opportunities when they come available
following the imminent passing of the Hydrocarbon Law
There are 2 very positive indications in that line.
They mention the IMMINENT passing of the Hydrocarbon Law:
With Petrel's good contacts within the oil ministry this means that they still believe that this law is getting close now.
They also mention that the funds will be used to take advantage of opportunities when they come available following the passing of this law.
WHEN.... they come available..............not... IF...... they come available.
Another positive indication re-confirming that Petrel is still anticipating that they indeed will get a contract following this law.
So all in all a re-confirmation of the expectation that the law is getting very close, that Petrel will most likely get a contract following this law, and they have an additional 3.5 million GBP as working capital.
Then the email reply from David Horgan.
He explains that the additional shares were placed AT THE REQUEST of an Institution that wanted to increase it's holding in Petrel.
So the Institution (Gartmore is mentioned in a press article today) actively approached Petrel to ask if they could arrange a substantial number of additional shares for them because they want to increase their institutional investment in Petrel.
And with the significant size of their desired increase in investment, this could only be achieved by an additional placing.
An extremely positive development that a large Institution like Gartmore wants to increase it's holding in Petrel.
That states a lot of confidence.
Later on followed by other Institutions, as you will see in the email !
This re-confirms that the professional institutions still have very positive expectations about their investment in Petrel.
You could add to that that the timing of their increase might not be complete coincidence, just before the passing of the law.
And before I forget, David also mentions in his mail that ITOCHU, the Japanese oil multinational and Petrel's guaranteed funder for USD 200 million for projects in Iraq, is visiting Petrel in Dublin this week.
Would the timing of their visit be coincidence, just before the passing of the law ?
It could be a polite visit, but I rather think this is to discuss specifics now that the law is close and work needs to be prepared for near future ?
At the end of this week, the holy Muslim holiday "Eid" will be finished.
Personally I still think some very important development could come soon after the end of this parliament holiday, when they can start working again.
So maybe the end of October a big move in the share price is still possible ?
Anyway, everything is coming more and more together :
Institutions that increase their investment in Petrel at this very moment / Oil law imminent / ITOCHU in Dublin with Petrel / several emails from David Horgan over last 2 weeks indicating that Petrel's excellent chances are still on track.
So even if it won't be by end of October, it will certainly be before the end of this year.
Even think of end of first quarter 2008 as the ultimate delay.
But by then we will see at the very very least 3 times the value of today.
So keep the faith.
I don't want to tempt faith, but if you're clever start putting some champagne on ice !!
Good Luck
lex1000
- 20 Oct 2007 21:42
- 298 of 1154
Monitor & keep close watch on PET coming days & weeks.
lex1000
- 22 Oct 2007 00:12
- 299 of 1154
Read that Zak Mir latest target price for PET is 190p...next few weeks watch for breakout next leg up
cynic
- 22 Oct 2007 07:17
- 300 of 1154
but not today i suspect!
lex1000
- 22 Oct 2007 11:46
- 301 of 1154
Cynic,yep bloodbath as expected at open today.Chance to pick up some PET on the dip.Blue now as expected.fwiw I recently added @ 124.25p.You probably read recent placing at request of Founder assumed to be Gartmore who sold some @ 60p.Bought back @ 115p paying 91% premium.PET were in Tehran last week mainly to meet with senior Iraqi officials.Can only be re:PET.ITOCHU came to meet with PET in Ireland.E-mail feedback from MD about visit those who wish to read.Iraqis have said contracts will be awarded HCL or no HCL before end of year.
mclellan - 22 Oct'07 - 10:37 - 10414
No problems with Itochu, folks...
RE: "The Visit"
From: David Horgan (dhorgan@CooleyWhiskey.com)
Sent: 22 October 2007 09:23:16
To: Fiona ********@hotmail.com)
They are an excellent partner, and like us impatient to advance.
lex1000
- 22 Oct 2007 11:51
- 302 of 1154
Mashadani calls to accelerate approving laws
"Mashadani headed a meeting of the committees' heads in the Parliament to discuss approving important laws like provinces' elections, oil law and questioning and justice law which leads to serve Iraq and protects its security and independence."
http://www.alsabaah.com/paper.php?source=akbar&mlf=interpage&sid=51034
lex1000
- 22 Oct 2007 12:20
- 303 of 1154
On line quotes can sell 50k @ 135p but only buy 1k!
Toya
- 22 Oct 2007 12:37
- 304 of 1154
Lex1000 - thanks for all the info and updates! I've finally bought back into PET today. The background activitiy all looks very positive, so let's hope it will be!
lex1000
- 22 Oct 2007 13:15
- 305 of 1154
Toya, secret to PET is buy the dips & add on weakness.Sellers have held back sp rising today. Fundementals,charts,potential all point higher.Whatever your own personal exit strategy things should have moved forward by the end of year.You may be interested in latest e-mail reply from MD.
barkerman - 22 Oct'07 - 13:02 - 10453 of 10453
RE: Technocrats
From: David Horgan (dhorgan@CooleyWhiskey.com)
Sent: 22 October 2007 12:28:37
To: peter barker (
yes
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
From: peter barker [mailto:]
Sent: 22 October 2007 10:55
To: David Horgan
Subject: Technocrats
Dear David,Glad to hear the meeting with Itochu went well,In your opinion with the new positioning of Technocrats in the Iraqi goverment and quite a bit mentioning the Oil Gas law is in this terms agenda,Are you confident that it will now at last be passed by Christmas at the latest,As for PET thanks and keep up the good work.Best Regards Pete.
14CHWAY - 22 Oct'07 - 14:06 - 10466 of 10466
Pete
Thanks for sharing your e- mail from DH.
I like his one line replies and now it is a one word.
No one is sure that HCL will be passed before xmas,but David is in a
marvellous position to give his honest opnion.
Hope you all have noticed the small hints he has given lately about PET's potential.He is not allowed to spell it out to us in as many words,but the writing is on the wall,therefore we have great trust in him and respect his and all the PET TEAM efforts.
Toya
- 22 Oct 2007 14:15
- 306 of 1154
Thanks Lex. I see this as a fairly risky buy, so will keep an eye on it and watch developments. Might be tempted to sell when it spikes again, but there could well be better long-term gains if I can be patient!
lex1000
- 22 Oct 2007 14:36
- 307 of 1154
Toya,long term invested waiting PET become an oil producer.All here to help make money in whatever way we chose.Gook luck to you.
Possible PET long term charts will look like

Toya
- 22 Oct 2007 18:27
- 308 of 1154
Nice one! I do see this kind of growth as a possibility, hence my buying back into this share. (Sometimes, though, I just wish I could sit on my hands rather than taking a short-term profit! - How does one learn to do that??)
cynic
- 22 Oct 2007 18:54
- 309 of 1154
Toya ..... no one ever went broke by taking a profit, but they sure as hell did by failing to bite the bullet ..... it is THAT discipline that is far more impartant
lex1000
- 22 Oct 2007 19:29
- 310 of 1154
Toya,you live,learn,develop and evolve.How do you do stuff? Strategy & discipline.Flexible to review and change.I would never knock anyone for banking profits.If you sell never look back.Option to buy back at anytime.My past is littered with poor investment decisions & failure to bite the bullet cutting losses.Some here on MoneyAM.Inexperience,greed & fear.Similarly not running with my profits and letting trend being my friend.I have lost more in profits by selling too early.Research into PET leads me to believe that it is one share to hold long term.Success depends on PET being awarded contracts & becoming an oil producer.It is my considered opinion that Iraq will approve HCL & PET will be awarded contracts.I appreciate the huge potential and likely value of sp.Others are more Cynical and chose to trade in & out of shares.Day traders run the risk of over trading. You will read of traders losing the lot,house & home even going bankrupt.Trading can become addictive to the point of gambling your money away.Making money is what it is all about.How you do that,how much you make or lose is in your hands and your hands alone.Takes five years on average to learn.If you have managed to preserve capital, not lost the lot you stand a good chance to succeed.Do not trust anyone on bb. All your decisions must be emotion free.DYOR.