RGM Newsletter.
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Dear Shareholders and Colleagues,
In the absence of my colleague Natasha Walton on a well-deserved holiday in Australia, it falls to me once again to send you this newsletter to decipher some of what may be mysterious in our recent RNS announcements, and to give some background. We hope this kind of communication is useful; if it isn’t, tell us if you think we can make it better, or unsubscribe if you don’t!
Recent announcements have focussed on our Australian exploration interests. We have mentioned a number of prospects, but focussed on three aspects. First, the area around Munglinup where we encountered sulphides in aircore drilling and subsequently elevated titanium levels in one area, and have conducted some metallurgical testwork. Secondly, the area around the old Halberts graphite mine (which does not belong to us) which contained the continuation of the structures hosting at Halberts high grade large flake graphite. Thirdly, the applications for ground along the Fraser Range, on which we made an announcement on 21 September (http://www.regency-mines.com/themes/RegencyMinesTheme/scripts/php/rns_viewer.php?id=20378989 )
What these three areas had in common was that they were along or near to our area of concentration: the boundary between (a) the Archaean Yilgarn craton that sits like a dinner plate occupying much of the southern part of Western Australia, and (b) to its south and trending north-east along its borders the proterozoic rocks of the Albany-Fraser metamorphic terrane. This orogenic mobile belt saw the 2005 discovery of the Tropicana gold deposit, now owned by AngloGold Ashanti, and often described as Australia’s latest major gold discovery (a phrase that makes both journalists and promoters happy). Since the scale of this deposit and its geology have become better understood, all the ground along the ‘Tropicana gold belt’ towards our tenements has been held by explorers, principally international majors, as can be seen in some of the illustrations accompanying our announcements. The new paradigm for exploration in this area that became possible with the new style of mineralisation identified at Tropicana has led to exploration along the belt, including our exploration at Munglinup, which has consisted of geochemistry, geophysics, and aircore drilling so far. These are still early days however for the belt, and possibly even for our Munglinup areas despite our attempts at exploration, which have so far not yielded any ‘smoking gun’, only the interesting sniffs of sulphide we reported and various clues we do not know how to interpret such as the elevated titanium levels. Everything here is a ‘blind target’, which means there is no surface expression of what may lie beneath.
The old model, where people looked for base metals and gold in the Archaean greenstones of the Yilgarn craton, has been replaced by one more subtle and with different challenges. It is interesting that on the northern margins of the Yilgarn the proterozoic rocks of the Bryah basin have also yielded a significant recent copper discovery at DeGrussa in 2009 and exploration is now focussing on the mixed volcanic and sedimentary rocks of this area. We held ground there too, but our analysis suggested that while we had ‘nearology’ the right rocks did not extend into our tenements so we could not develop a sufficiently strong geological hypothesis to justify the expense of testwork.
The ground we pegged in the Fraser Range was along strike SW from Tropicana and NE from Munglinup. We pegged it because Sirius dropped it. They dropped it because you have to drop after two years and in succeeding years a proportion of your license area in WA. And at that time they hadn’t discovered anything and were like others suffering a shortage of funds in what was a poor market (as we know) for explorers. We liked it because it had what we thought was the gold-prospective ground going through it and a number of good gold anomalies. Also along its south and east it contained ground that seemed to be mafic and ultramafic rocks with geophysical anomalies and potential for base metals, though we were not focussing on that.
Then what happened? In July 2012, at the end of a Government-subsidised drill programme (a kind of ‘scholarship fund’ with limited matching finance for drilling in, for example, remote and expensive desert areas like this), in the last 1.5m of the last hole, a company called Sirius, that like us had pegged ground hoping to find another Tropicana, and was exploring a base metal anomaly, had a discovery, Nova. If they had packed up the drill the previous evening, 1.5m short of target depth, I hear, there would have been no discovery: the area would have been written off perhaps for 20 years. Nova is now being described as Australia’s latest major base metals discovery, the most significant for a generation (again a phrase that makes journalists and promoters happy). I will let the Australian Financial Review speak for me rather than attempt to describe July’s events further: http://afr.com/p/business/companies/sirius_stock_spurts_on_metals_find_7z2ehSC68szvUIwalX1gYO
The Sirius price is now not 45c as at the time of the article, but $2.81. The Sirius page on the ASX website is http://www.asx.com.au/asx/research/companyInfo.do?by=asxCode&allinfo=&asxCode=sir and their 29 October announcement, one of the most recent, is also one of the most exciting: http://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20121029/pdf/429r1jhmpxqy43.pdf
So we have something quite big a few km to our east, which is unexpected, and we are not just benefitting from nearology but have the right rocks and the right anomalies to explore not just for a Tropicana (gold) but also for a Nova (base metals). The chances, as ever in exploration, are less than 50% (or it wouldn’t be exploration) but better than the National Lottery. However the expense would be considerable, and drilling through the surface sand to what’s below is not something that can be skimped if one wants results. The appetite for this exploration in Australia is strong at the moment: they accept the risks, and want the rewards. They know the potential and feel the excitement. They will put up the money that would be hard to find and very expensive in terms of dilution if we were to fund here in London. Here there is no excitement about the Fraser Range.
So we have done the logical thing and agreed to put these assets into an Australian company, Ram Resources Ltd (ASX:RMR). http://www.regency-mines.com/themes/RegencyMinesTheme/scripts/php/rns_viewer.php?id=20456848
We will if the transaction proceeds in all aspects be a major shareholder; indeed preponderant. We anticipate that we will from the beginning be having input and a strong voice in the exploration decisions, and hope to start exploration even before the main money-raise of $1.5-2m, catching the tide and not being left behind.
We will I feel sure look to strengthen the regional portfolio, and believe there is still time. These are early days for exploration in the area.
The shares we get if all goes well (we get 40m immediately) will be 1.2bn, priced at 0.15c Australian and valuing our interest at $1.8m (the current RMR price has risen to 0.4c), with a 1% gross royalty and 20% of the project retained by us on a free carry for a year. The RMR vehicle will have the funds needed for exploration of this project, which will not yield I believe a result unless there is a willingness to commit funds to explore at least actively – and maybe aggressively! Setting the dilution to RGM shareholders against the funds raised and the programme that would be possible, this seems a good outcome, on licenses only just granted and with negligible book cost.
We have long wanted an Australian vehicle for our Australian interests, where they could achieve full value and a good Australian team could be built up: the lack of a flagship project combined with weak markets had delayed this. Now, with assets that though unproven and unexplored have high market recognition, we can establish a bridgehead. We expect any RGM appointments to RMR will be Australian-based professionals, with just one geologist Project Manager from London involved, since we want RMR, or whatever its name may be, to have a life and spirit of its own and the capacity and confidence to take major decisions.
Here we are, surrounded by a sea of Sirius!
This is the Sirius gold geochem anomalies released in the area now covered by our tenements..............the open file AEM conductor and the magnetic unit similar size to Nova not shown............. this is all public data by the way.
So you can see what lay behind our creating ‘another vehicle’ in Australia, and what lay behind the valuations and strategy. We hope this at worst this creates extra shareholder value at no cost for RGM, and at best it is the spark for success and discoveries.
Further information can be obtained from the RMR page on the ASX http://www.asx.com.au/asx/research/companyInfo.do?by=asxCode&allinfo=&asxCode=rmr and RMR’s description of the transaction with illustrations is at http://www.asx.com.au/asx/statistics/displayAnnouncement.do?display=pdf&idsId=01349159
Let me turn to the graphite project. Logic dictates that we look for forms of co-operation with neighbours and other interested parties that will create a long-term graphite strategy in which we can participate. This we have spoken of, and our view is unchanged that this is the framework within which we can progress drilling and exploration best. If we have something to announce, we will announce it, but given our lack of background in graphite it is more important for us to get it right than to act quick. So we hope shareholders will be patient, and understand why when they ask ‘what is happening?’ we do not reply.
We continue to look at Sudan as a possible area for diversification into agrominerals. The key is to be sure we have clear targets and a very controlled programme which will not lead us into early or high expense. That is what due diligence is designed for, and we have given ourselves as announced until the end of November.
Shareholders sometimes suggest that a constant diet of announcements may be good for the shares. We believe that constant activity may sometimes serve them ill and incur unnecessary costs, and that all activity should be strategic. Our discovery cost per ton for nickel at Mambare in PNG was, we suggest, very low: our associate Red Rock’s discovery cost per oz for gold in Kenya is demonstrably very low. While not the only metric, for an exploration company with a long-term focus we think this a very important measure of success that ultimately should be reflected in value and market rating. How ironic it is that in the last few days we have been able, we hope and believe, to add considerable shareholder value to RGM on assets where there is no resource, nothing has yet been discovered, and our exploration has not yet begun. If we could repeat this once or twice more, we could say ‘we finf the harder we work, the luckier we get’, but on a single occurrence we shall remain remain modest and thank God for some good luck.
Please feel free to contact us with your questions.
Andrew
Ram Resources THE DEAL
http://www.ramresources.com.au/_content/documents/940.pdf