http://www.gulfkeystone.com/ The firms exploration programme in Algeria is going well and "the shares look good value", say the Investors Chronicle. Your comments please. goal.

http://www.investegate.co.uk/gulf-keystone-petrol--gkp-/rns/2012-results-announcement/201306200700114413H/



Todd F Kozel, Executive Chairman and CEO of Gulf Keystone, commented:





"Gulf Keystone is entering a new stage of its development as it matures from a proven oil explorer to a significant producer in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.

The phased development approach to the implementation of the Shaikan FDP will enable Gulf Keystone to achieve a significant ramp up of production by the year end, whilst ensuring the Company retains flexibility in financing the development of this giant field and bringing us closer to the goal of fully financing our activities from production cash flows.

We look forward to commencing the process of moving from AIM to the standard segment of the Official List during the second half of 2013 and a search process is already underway for a Non-Executive Chairman and at least one other independent Non-Executive Director.

We are fully funded for our current work programme for 2013 and believe that Gulf Keystone is well positioned to realise the full potential of our multi-billion barrel resources."

nasty drop today, any news?

but very juicy rise on 25th!

Heads up that's why.

http://www.investegate.co.uk/gulf-keystone-petrol--gkp-/rns/approval-of-shaikan-field-development-plan/201306260705018599H/
--------------------------------------------------------------

Their's a Investors presentation,a week Friday(London)followed by the AGM end of July.

Shaikan field development plan approved, says Gulf Keystone

StockMarketWire.com

Gulf Keystone has confirmed that the field development plan for the Shaikan field, a world class commercial discovery, has been approved.

Chairman and chief executive Todd Kozel said: "This is an historic moment in the evolution of the company. Gulf Keystone is now fully permitted to commence production from the Shaikan field and this represents a key milestone in the company's growth. We have been a pioneer in the region from the outset and this milestone reconfirms our pioneering spirit and our desire to lead the upstream oil industry in Kurdistan.

"The initial production capacity will start in the coming weeks, steadily increasing to 20,000 barrels oil per day (bopd) and then quickly progressing to 40,000 bopd on the completion of the second production facility. This will increase to 150,000 bopd within 3 years and 250,000 bopd by 2018.

"This is an enormous achievement by the GKP team who have worked so long and hard to achieve this goal and have forged such strong links within the Kurdistan Region, at all levels."



Story provided by StockMarketWire.com

Bought September & December Futures today. Expect to roll both over.

.a>

Let's hope ?

http://www.iraqinews.com/baghdad-politics/kurdish-mp-reveals-deal-between-cg-kurdistan-region-over-oil-amp-gas-law-draft/#ixzz2Xj44puMg

Taken from another BB,some ucseful points.


When you look at the very recent occurrences, it does seem as though things are coming to a head:
================================================
1.90 day deadline given to central government to ratify oil and gas law.
2.Pipeline due for completion to coincide with the 90 day deadline.
3.Kurds agree to pay large percentage from said pipeline to central government.
4.Central government won't get a penny until repay monies owed.
5.Nothing to lose by ratifying Oil and Gas law, everything to lose by not doing so by pipeline completion.
6.Kurds announce permission for GKP to commence production at Shaikan.
7. Kurdistan's Ministry of Natural Resources said the Shaikan field would play “a crucial role”
8. Court case seems immaterial now, whereas belief was news suppression due to this and possible problems with Oil and Gas law.
9. Oil majors in region, but GKP get's the nod.
10.Excellent working relationship with KRG.
11. Share price at ludicrous level and TK under pressure from Institution just when all this is coming to fruition?
12. TK having to justify everything at imminent investor meet?

A lot going on behind the scenes imo and it's about to be revealed!!!!

GKP's New Chairman.


Simon Murray is currently the Executive Chairman of GEMS, and a Board Director of the Cheung Kong Holdings Ltd., Orient Overseas (International) Ltd., Wing Tai Properties Ltd., Arnhold Holdings Ltd., Richemont SA, Essar Energy plc, and Sino Forest Corporation, Omnicorp Limited and IRC Limited. He is now chairman of Glencore. He has in the past served on boards and held advisory positions with a number of companies such as Vodafone, Tommy Hilfiger Corporation, Vivendi Universal, Usinor SA, Hermes, General Electric (USA), China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), Macquarie Bank, N.M. Rothschild, and Bain (the consultancy company). He continues to serve on the advisory board of Lightbridge Corporation (USA), and the Development Advisory Board of Imperial College, London.

July4th,Independence Day also Presentation for GKP Pi's.The following link confirmsnew chairman.I'm sure their will be plenty of feedback later today from the presentation.

http://www.investegate.co.uk/gulf-keystone-petrol--gkp-/rns/appointment-of-non-executive-chairman/201307040700115695I/

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/c0610490-e408-11e2-91a3-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2Y0cY0X5C
Instead of fading away

All the nice girls love a sailor, but ex-soldiers are preferred by oil explorer Gulf Keystone, whose new chairman will be Simon Murray, a former French foreign legionnaire. Mr Murray, outgoing chairman of commodities group Glencore Xstrata, will be marching in step with non-executive director Lord Guthrie, former head of the British army, on a mission to pacify enemy forces in the City.

Gulf Keystone has found abundant oil in Iraqi Kurdistan, whose autonomous government has doled out licences despite opposition from Baghdad. Expectations that Kurds and Iraqis will split revenues amicably has raised the market value to £1.2bn, prompting a plan to move Gulf Keystone from Aim to the main market.

That will require the group to resolve other communal tensions. M&G, which holds 5 per cent of the shares through its recovery fund, has put up four candidates for election as independent non-executives. The aim is to improve corporate governance. But one of the hopefuls is Jeremy Asher, a director ousted in 2010.

Pru’s investment unit is therefore on collision course with flamboyant chief executive Todd Kozel, whose 2011 divorce hearing featured discussion of whether strip club bills were reimbursable business costs. A fragmented shareholder base makes a July 25 vote hard to call. But Mr Murray will have a role as a peace keeper whatever the outcome.

Securing a premium listing could impose further combat stress. Watchdogs are raising the bar following governance meltdowns at other resources companies. A parliamentary probe will scrutinise listing standards closely.

Lots of info coming through,he's one piece.


Simon Fisher ‏@simonfishybits 25s
40k bopd robust 3 wells hooked up could go upto 15k bopd from each well no water anticipated

Simon Fisher ‏@simonfishybits 28s
What happened to the 10m? Todd I was involved in a divorce settlement the tranfer was to settle that debt
---------------------------------------------------
Simon Fisher ‏@simonfishybits 13s
Todd says the share options are more important than ever to him since share transfer to settle his divorce you should than the ex Mrs Kozel
-------------------------------------------------------------Simon Fisher ‏@simonfishybits 8s
Assuming oil is $100 cost of 1 barrel what is GKPs profit? Payment formula being discussed next week with the oil minister------------

http://www.gulfkeystone.com/uploads/investorday4july2013.pdf

Taken from another BB.

It was good to see old friends and make some new ones today.

My take on things:-

TK and team across as very professional.
TK acknowledged mistakes and he'll take that on the chin.
GKP is about to start it's second book, we;ve just finished book one and the start of production is the start of book 2.
PF-1 being commissioned and likely to be 'commercial' from next week.
PF-1 will start to add 5k bopd/month until PF-2 joins at adding incremental 5k bopd/month to at total of 40k bopd by year end.
FTSE Listing in Sept/Oct this year. Main listing documents including CPR will be required.
New NED's will also be in place. SM is looking at the new candidates with L Guth.
TK believes the 4 proposed NED's from M&G are light weight and be a putting gulf into reverse gear.
BIR's could come at any time, but on the presentation the BIR's are shown as banked in August this year!
Spur pipeline to be built by MNR with GKP paying a wayleave for use of it.
Pipeline spur capable of 300k bopd.
8-9 month construction period for spur.
Blending facility is key and will also be built by MNR. 3-4 month construction.
GKP will next week be meeting with AH to discuss the offtake agreements/trucking agreements/ and paymeny details for everything.

18:48
Investor Day - my thoughts
SantoTraficante
All from memory!! Any incorrections I apologise for but other attendees please do correct.

Marked change from Todd and GKP - a lot more professional, accommodating and the statement "your company", "today is for your day" versus AGM last year was marked difference.

Some facts (JG presentation)

4 years
$780M
Soon to be 19 wells drilled / drilling (17 hit oil, 18th drilling, 19th about to spud)
19BN OIP and upside in BN's
Start producing this month

He mentioned Kashagan as a comparison

14 years
$45 BN in operational cost.
Still nowhere near production

Absolutely phenomenal operational performance, and one you cannot comprehend hidden behind a keyboard or watching a video.

Pipeline chart shown up to Fishkabur, thanks to TK's negotiations with the KRG, we are now getting a 10km pipeline into the large one (as it passes via SHAIKAN) versus a 122km pipeline of our own. Saves us in the region of $310m!! KRG will build the blending facilities.

Financing - focussing on debt finance (Bonds) or banks, not placements. KRG keen to get producing and getting paid given the agreement with Turkey, as TK put it they need to run a country and GKP is the centre of this "nation building" situation. A couple of videos showed the difference GKP and the other oilers in Kurd are making to the day to day life and increase in quality of life to the Kurd population, also the development in infrastructure in Erbil.

Key SP drivers in the next few months IMO:

Production
CC Verdict - obviously given it is positive
New CPR to go with FTSE submission - this will include a RESERVES figure
Sept/Oct is the aim for FTSE List.

On the BOD front, Todd was at ease with the split of the CEO/Chairman roles - Simon Murray will be allowed to appoint his own NED's (other attendees please correct me if you heard different). The M&G nominations, GKP have had zero dialogue or reason given by M&G for a) their reasons for proposing them and b) why those four, TK and Guthrie both said they are not FTSE Calibre and that is what they'll be aiming for. I will be voting NO.

Murray will also be on the remuneration committee.

They will increase production as consistency in production will allow, 150k by 2015, they'll do it sooner if they can.

10m share transfer was part of his divorce package. He took that on the chin and apologised for not making it clearer. IMO he seemed genuine in it, he also acknowledged at the closing speech that whilst they are fantastic in the operational aspects of the business that they may be complacent in others, that Murray will help get them in shape in those areas and that they need to have excellence in all areas of the business.

To echo the other attendees, it was great to meet some old faces and some new ones, notably Rudy09, Dman3, Mazdaq, Onlookout, Dragon Ventures, FiFigigi, Doctorh, Zoso, apologies if I missed anyone.

Finally as some of us were walking to the pub after, Anastasia (IR) and Ingrid (Company Secretary) joined us, an absolute pleasure. I joked with Anastasia to say in person we're all really nice!! I had a lengthy chat with Ingrid who has been with the company since 200

One of many posts today,a long one but so much info,worth taking time to study.


A "strategy for value creation"

An interesting day was had, up at Park plaza Victoria hotel where Todd Kozel and board faced the baying barbarian hordes. Didn't quite turn out that way - much to the annoyance, no doubt, of M&G, Asher and the numerous derampers and whisperers that have slithered out of the woodwork over the last year.

Have to say it was a slick presentation - JG was exceptional in my opinion.

We started off with some introductory speel from Todd emphasising how we were moving from the explorer phase to being a producer, the aim being to monetise the OIP in addition to continuing further explo.

TK highlighted GKP's operational success - 18 wells drilled, not a single duster. Quite incredible for an Oil explorer.

Regarding Adnan Sammarai's move - apparently he's moved to the MNR to be a special adviser to Hawrami..

PF1 is due to go "live Oil" in next day or two.The delay has been down to technical delays. PF2 due to go live October.

The CC has been an annoying diversion, and they expect a result on 23rd August at the latest.

The aim for Full list is September/October, with the appointment of a non exec chairman the first step along that road. This means the CPR will be due September ish as well, and a final declaration of "Reserves"

Vis M&G - apparently M&G have not approached GKP, nor discussed their move according to TK. Regarding their 4 proposed NED's TK described them " small company men", not suitable for a Ftse company. The fruits of independent background searches into these four will be revealed in a soon to be released RNS.

JG then took the stand for an Operational review. And what a presentation. It's clear he is very passionate about GKP and a worthy member of the board.

OIP 19bn barrels with significant upside potential in the permian
19th well will be spudding soon, Shaikan 10.Development &Production well.

PF1 complete and ready for commissioning. 40,000bopd by end 2013. All in a short space of time. Compared to Kashagan this was remarkable - 15 years, $45bn and still no production.

As an idea of how big Shaikan was we had a couple of graphic illustrations, one of which showed Shaikan stretching from Heathrow all the way to City airport. Shaikan alone is Huge.

**
So far so good. Operationally we seem to be storming ahead. $780m capex for 18 wells, none of which have been dry.

Down to the financials.
Of the $780m capex over 60% of that has been spent on Shaikan raised, and here my notes get hazy c 70% via Equity placings, and then a $2575m convertible bond?? The aim apparently is to move more to debt issuance so as to reduce equity dilution. Presumably no more convertible issues as well then!

Production
2013 E 8500bopd, with rest of 2013 from now averaging 17000bopd.
Increasing by 5000bopd increments per month
ie July 5000bopd,August 10,000bopd, Sept 15,000, October 20,000bopd.

October PF2 will be feeding in as well. Hope to be at 40,000bopd BY JAN 2014.
October 5000bopd via PF2,

2014E 40,000bopd (in revenue terms @$100/bbl $292m)

Assuming Brent $100/bbl, Shaikan crude trades at circa $80/bbl - GKP share $20/bbl.(I think I heard this correctly)

In terms of revenue/capex.
2014 Capex $471m, versus $292m. Shortfall funded from bank account balance + I presume BIR's etc and KRG's share of funding requirement now that FDP has been approved. Apparrently for every increase of 40,000bopd capex required will be c $380m.

No resolution regarding increasing the share capital so there will be no Equity placing for forseeable future. Aim is to finance internally as far as possible then use debt if necessary. So production increases will be scaled as per the purse allows

It was also mentioned that, as a result(perhaps tongue in cheek) of TK's relationship with KRG it had been arranged for access to the export pipeline that passes within 10km of Shaikan to be accessed via a "Spur" - saving $310m capex. :)

And onto the Q&A. First up Gramacho, with 8 questions!
1) How robust is the 40,000bopd target and is it from jurassic only.

JG: "Very robust. 3 wells per facility(PF1/PF2) more than capable of 15,000 bopd PER WELL and from Sargalu only.

2)Final plateau of 400,000bopd target @ risk due to low flow rates in Esastern side of field??
Eastern side not as good as flow rates yes. Might need some fraccing down the line, we shall see.

3) Ber Bahr 1 - is only the Jurassic producable??
Production of c 2000bopd was limited by the jet pump used(Capacity of 2100bopd) probably better production with a bigger pump.

4) Is Ber Bahr linked pressure wise with Shaikan/Sheikh Adi.
No

5) What happened to the 10m share trasnfer?
TK - very open. Harsh divorce settlement - had to set up a financing agreement and was required to satisfy divorce arrangements "immediately" once out of closed period.

6) Why was Ber Bahr 1 taken from first test straight through to field development with no more drilling. This wa a surprise and unheard of.
genel ready to give up and it seems GKP persuaded them to do the side track , which yielded the positive results

7)How many days per month will new chairman, Simon Murray, dedicate to the job
As many as necessary...TK was very positive about the appointmnent

**
Hardly a surprise as its quite a coup, in my view, hiring such a well known big hitter for a smallish AIM company.

8)What is the profit per barrel to GKP -
Assuming $100 Brent, JG estimated costs per barrel as $5-10/bbl(with GKP footing 50% of that) After sunk coats being amortised, field operational costs,and other incidentals a figure of $20/bbl was mentioned. -
Todd mentioned there will be discussions with KRG next wednesday regarding off takes/export agreements

9) Given the spate of good news any explanation why the GKP shares have been so volatile.
Hard to answer - mentioned share price being driven by lawsuit, general market sentiment as well as other issues.

10) Can you justify the $7m loan to you by GKP?
Again Loan was part of the figure required for his divorce settlement which is sounding like it was extremely expensive. In additional he passed remarks pertaining to the Gokana rumours - Gokana did not, he claimed, sell shares at £4 and there is a PWC audit to prove this. So all bulletin board speculation is just that - utter speculation. And wrong.

We then had a brief over view of the remuneration committee. Most of the variable performance pay relates to 2009-2011 period,and is deferred. hence Todd's remuneration isn't quite as large as we all believe. The poor guy hasn't had a pay rise, salary wise, since 2004! No LTIP awards were made either in 2010. after Shaikan discovery apparently.

NB Simon Murray will, going forward, be chairing the Remuneration Committee.

11)When do you expect to move from AIM to FTSE?
Sept / October, meaning CPR will be out before then with Reserves..

12) are parts of the Shaikan PSC outside the "Green Line?"

This stumped everyone, The KRG apparently does not recognise the green boundary (and apparently it depends which green line we talk about as there are several according to JG!)

13) When is the latest time the BIR's can be awarded??
TK rather diplomatic - essentially the KRG government decides when, and to whom.

14) When does the company expect to be in profit?
End of 2014/Early 2015

Some other rather humourous questions, one from a gentleman that asked "My wife would like to know if you expect to be here next year!" There was also a rumour put about by SKY news that TK had said he would resign if the 4 M&G NED's were voted in. As SKY hadn't approached him he was unsure where that quote had emanated from.

All in all, a very enlightening Investor Day presentation. Not that I was troubled prior the day itself did leave one feeling better about one's investment. Moves are well and truly afoot - whether GKP is snapped up post CC we shall all soon see.

Will be adding more myself.

p.s Apparently the Investor Day was recorded so a webcast will be up, on the website, at some point. not checked yet myself as been thumbing through my notes.

Worth adding.


Guys and Gals

The one thing I forgot to mention this morning(which I have not seen on any of the boards) is during JG's presentation the slide named "Demonstrated Drilling Success".....he said don't worry about the lower figures to the right compared to the early tests.....Because we are only testing the marginal zones,,,,Not the good zones,which we have got tremendous confidence with from detailed logs/previous zone tests etc ......This made me think--Remember all that exitement 20 months ago about.....only testing the bad bits and look at the flow rates....!!.....Here we are again.....Certainly needed to have a beer after the lunch..!!....very positive IMHO

g