84.75p +4.75 (+5.94%)
Why you can't ignore Sound Energy - By Alistair Strang | Thu, 2nd February 2017 - 09:01
This lot are living proof, sometimes a turkey can fly. When we last viewed Sound Energy (SOU) back in 2015, we'd been able to calculate 37p as a potential high, if it ever actually started to go up.
With almost absurd precision, it bettered its downtrend at the start of July 2016 then soared.
The situation now is fascinating from our perspective. The "Really Big Picture" gives a maximum calculation of 127p and, normally, we'd rubbish such a result, treating as false.
However, by soaring above 100p on the first surge following a trend break, it appears we cannot ignore anything about Sound!
The immediate situation suggests anything near-term above 80p should continue toward 94.5p next. Secondary, if bettered, is at a confident looking 106p which takes the price within sniffing distance of the Big Picture 127p.
What surprises about this share are movements since the initial surge to the 100p level. Our normal logic against movements since then allows for weakness toward 66p and a bounce, if further strength is planned. But, if the price closed below 66p, best guess was a bottom of 53p.
The lowest at which the share actually closed a session before bouncing was 67p, implying strength. Coupling this with the complete outperformance since it broke downtrend last July, we're optimistic.
Certainly, anything now below 66p (red line on the chart) would justify panic, suggesting we've read the tea leaves wrongly.
For now, we like the feel of recent movements and suspect 94.5p will make an appearance next.