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SkyePharma to report maiden profit in April ? (SKP)     

Slacker - 18 Feb 2003 09:52

Anybody else out there interested in these?

2002 Results are due in April, and they are expected to show a maiden profit.
Last week I opened a small speculative long (spreadbet), but I am looking to add to this position a lot more if we get any sort of resolution over Iraq crisis before the results which should spark a broad market rally from which SKP could really benefit and have a strong run-up.

DYOR etc.


Here is a recent research note from Merrill Lynch (they estimate 0.25p EPS for 2002):


Merrill Lynch FlashNote

7 February 2003

SkyePharma

Newsflow Set To Continue BUY

Reason for Report: Company Update

EPS (Dec): 2001A -1.19p; 2002E 0.25p; 2003E 2.13p
P/E (Dec): 2001A NM; 2002E 180.0x; 2003E 21.1x

Michael Ashton, CEO SkyePharma, gave an upbeat and informative presentation today.

Depomorphine appears on track for US submission in June 03. The two pivotal trials (hip and lower abdominal surgery) have been concluded. To date, the results appear encouraging. Management believe that safety (eg respiratory depression and nausea) is not an issue for the drug.The company is also conducting an additional trial in C section patients which is completing enrollment and should be included in the European submission for Depomorphine later this year. We expect the pivotal trial data for Depomorphine to be presented at the American Society of Clinical Anaesthesiologists in October 2003.

Paxil CR continues to grow (accounting for c.26% of total Paxil scrips in the US). 50% of these Paxil CR scrips are repeat and Paxil CR accounts for c.7% of the total SSRI antidepressant market in the US. Paxil CR is already filed for pre-menstrual dysphoria disorder (PMDD). However, GSK also plans to submit the intermittent treatment of PMDD later this year.

SKP also confirmed that Quintiles plans to present new data for Solaraze at the American Society of Dermatology in March. SKP believes that Solaraze is making in-roads into the actinic keratosis market and appears to be taking market share from Ephedrex (5-FU). Clinical trials in Australia are on track, with SKP planning to submit Solaraze to the Australian regulatory authorities in 2004 (second largest market opportunity after the US).

Enzon has already started to market DepoCyt in the US and SKP expects to see wider usage of the drug by key oncologists in the next few months. Phase IV studies for the neoplastic meningitis indication are on track, with an FDA Advisory Committee meeting (ODAC) scheduled next month.

Overall, we expect the newsflow for SKP to continue and reiterate our BUY recommendation with a price objective of 80p (based on applying the speciality pharma multiple to our 06E EPS of 14p and discounting back agressively at 30% p.a.). Risks to the stock include the general risk of drug development delay and product approval failure.


Fundamentalist - 05 Aug 2004 18:57 - 57 of 202

Still waiting whilst the share price is now below where it was for the first 2 announcements! Appears a lot of those who subscribed to the recent bond issue have sold their shares to purchase the bonds creating the recent stock overhang. News of the pulmonay deal cant come quick enough though with SKPs track record dont hold your breath - its over a year now since the pulmonary deal was first mentioned!!! Could go even lower on half year results in sept which will show losses unless the deal comes before or at the same time!

daves dazzlers - 27 Oct 2004 08:30 - 58 of 202

Morning all holders and whats with this skp,there is not much interest in it ,even at this level,what level will it take to bring the people back,, below 50 ??.
In a market that is on the way up,in the last few months/skp is on the way down,does that say it all ??

Kivver - 18 Feb 2005 16:45 - 59 of 202

Why the drop on massive turnover (no rns)? On many peoples watchlist for 2005.

Fundamentalist - 18 Feb 2005 16:48 - 60 of 202

Kivver

the 15m trade was placed into the market at 7% below close and this dragged the price right down. Many rumours doing the rounds as to what the trade was (and the one for 2.6m soon after) though most likely is that DKW were involved on one side of the trade, and imho a hedge fund shorting on the other

brianboru - 19 Feb 2005 15:27 - 61 of 202

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A friend of mine has every penny he has tied up in this stock and is convinved it's going North, he's also trying to talk me into diving in - I haven't a clue where it's going but the chart to my untutored eye doesn't look too good. Interesting but not a raving buy.

driver - 19 Feb 2005 15:54 - 62 of 202

There was a 15m trade on friday but if some one sold, some one has to buy

I am still holding and still waiting and waiting and waiting.

bristlelad - 20 Feb 2005 20:37 - 63 of 202

driver////you are not alone ///

hutchins - 23 Feb 2005 10:15 - 64 of 202

Likewise

pachandl - 23 Feb 2005 15:04 - 65 of 202

We may be doomed but at least we can all go down together. It makes failure so much more convivial. Anyway, at least the sp is not following the main market -for that we should be grateful. But when will some positive news emerge????????

Oakapples142 - 23 Feb 2005 17:24 - 66 of 202


I am here too - lots of good write ups - shares mag etc. Looking for 85p ( so am I!!)

driver - 04 Mar 2005 16:34 - 67 of 202

Sharp sp drop "Why" any one?

Oakapples142 - 04 Mar 2005 16:45 - 68 of 202


Cant find anything - but nearly 14% drop means some are in the know - GSK may be behind it. I will buy again to-morrow - if the price is right !

hutchins - 04 Mar 2005 16:48 - 69 of 202

hutchins - 04 Mar 2005 16:49 - 70 of 202

GSK says FDA halts distribution of Paxil CR due to manufacturing issues- News just out.

2Richard2 - 04 Mar 2005 16:52 - 71 of 202

From another site:

U.S. Marshals Seize Lots of GlaxoSmithKline's Paxil CR and Avandamet Tablets Because of Continuing Good Manufacturing Practice Violations
In a response to ongoing concerns about manufacturing quality, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and the Department of Justice today initiated seizures of Paxil CR and Avandamet tablets manufactured by GlaxoSmithKline, Inc. (GSK). Manufacturing practices for the two drugs, approved to treat depression and panic disorder (Paxil CR) and Type II Diabetes (Avandamet), failed to meet the standards laid out by FDA that ensure product safety, strength, quality and purity.

"FDA and the Department of Justice will not allow drug manufacturers to ignore our high public health standards for drug manufacturing," said John M. Taylor, FDA Associate Commissioner for Regulatory Affairs. "Once we discover a company is not following the standards, which were created to ensure safety and quality, we expect them to correct the deficiencies in an expedited manner. American consumers deserve the best health care products on the market today, and companies that are not adhering to these standards cannot assure FDA and American consumers of the quality of their products."

FDA is not aware of any harm to consumers by the products subject to this seizure and it does not believe that these products pose a significant health hazard to consumers. Consequently, FDA urges patients who use these two drugs to continue taking their tablets and to talk with their health care provider about possible alternative products for use until the manufacturing problems have been corrected. FDA has determined that neither product is medically necessary and that alternative products are available for consumer use.

The agency is concerned that GSK's violation of manufacturing standards may have resulted in the production of poor quality drug products that could potentially pose risks to consumers. Among the violations noted during FDA's latest inspection was the finding that the Paxil CR tablets could split apart and patients could receive a portion of the tablets that lacks any active ingredient, or alternatively a portion that contains active ingredient and does not have the intended controlled-release effect. Additionally, FDA found that some Avandamet tablets did not have an accurate dose of rosiglitazone, an active ingredient in this product.

The seizures follow warrants issued by the U.S. District Courts for the District of Puerto Rico and the Eastern District of Tennessee. The seizures were executed today by the U.S. Marshals Service at GSK's Cidra, Puerto Rico manufacturing facility, its Knoxville, Tennessee distribution facility, and a Puerto Rico distribution facility. GSK has voluntarily recalled some of the affected lots of Paxil CR and Avandamet; however, it has failed to recall all affected lots of these products. This failure on the part of GSK resulted in today's seizures by federal authorities.

I don't hold SKP

driver - 04 Mar 2005 17:02 - 72 of 202

2Richard2
Thanks for that sounds like a lot of hot air to me GSK will properly end up suing the federal authorities looks like may be a buy for skp on Monday morning.

Fundamentalist - 04 Mar 2005 17:49 - 73 of 202

Skyepharma PLC
04 March 2005


For Immediate Release 4 March 2005


SkyePharma PLC

PAXIL CR CLARIFICATION

LONDON, UK, 4 March 2005 -- SkyePharma PLC (Nasdaq: SKYE; LSE: SKP) notes the
announcement today by GlaxoSmithKline ('GSK') concerning the halting of the US
distribution of Paxil CR, a treatment for depression and several anxiety
disorders. GSK stated that the halt in distribution results from manufacturing
issues which do not pose a health risk to patients. The FDA is advising that
patients taking Paxil CR should continue taking their tablets and talk with
their healthcare provider if they have questions. GSK is working with the FDA to
resolve these issues as quickly as possible.

SkyePharma provided the formulation of Paxil CR, but has no involvement in its
manufacturing.

About SkyePharma PLC

SkyePharma PLC develops pharmaceutical products benefiting from world-leading
drug delivery technologies that provide easier-to-use and more effective drug
formulations. There are now ten approved products incorporating SkyePharma's
technologies in the areas of oral, injectable, inhaled and topical delivery,
supported by advanced solubilisation capabilities. For more information, visit

www.skyepharma.com

driver - 04 Mar 2005 17:56 - 74 of 202

Fundamentalist
Thanks for that, panic selling at the end of the day there was no need it went down 11% more than GSK .

Fundamentalist - 04 Mar 2005 20:01 - 75 of 202

Driver

ultimately, Paxil CR is a larger part of SKPs business than it is GSKs (
approx 40% of royalty revenue without checking) - however, the problem is clearly at GSKs end - i was lucky seeing the news early and nicked 20 points out of shorting GSK - then bought back into SKP at 52.5p. Have held shares in the ISA for approx 3 yrs i sold my trading batch a few weeks ago at mid 60s. Monday could be a rocky day - depends on how the weekend press report it, but ultimately think the price will bounce from here prior to results. Then its down to management to finally deliver on the pipeline products, predominantly the pulmonary products

currently trading at the equivalent of 54.25p in the US

driver - 04 Mar 2005 21:40 - 76 of 202

Fundamentalist
I have held these for years, normally buying on the dips as low as 44p this is just another one of those many dips.
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