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Media Corp (Gaming Corpoartion GMC)Attracting Some Big Names. (MDC)     

goldfinger - 05 Dec 2003 00:33

Up nearlly 15% today and I beleive there could be more to come.

Evil Knievil has tipped it on EvilCast and has bought in 100,000 worth of stock a notifiable interest. He rates the management very highly and says they are attracting all the big bookmakers to the online casino site including punters the likes of William Hill, Chandler, and Ladbrokes. The company are now running at a profit every month and should break into a yearly profit from the years previous loss very soon. The company also ownes in partnership with a Swiss firm Boss another casino site and by all accounts that is doing well.

Im looking at this one as a momentum play pretty high risk as there are competitors out there but I feel the management will give it the edge.

Please DYOR, and remember you are responsible for your own buying and selling actions.

cheers GF.

axe79 - 11 Apr 2005 10:06 - 576 of 1117

Rumour coming from Tips.com!

SC probably wants to buy some more! He told me in late March that it was a long term investment, and that he could see 50p at the end of 2005. He has been friends of the Drummonds for some time now.

JT Master Investor - 11 Apr 2005 10:17 - 577 of 1117

It was only a rumour by a subscriber of T1ps and not from SC himself. I think the said article has been removed!!

goldfinger - 11 Apr 2005 13:12 - 578 of 1117

Im with Mickey here I still hold from when I put this recommendation on the board but Im getting rather uneasy about the present situation. Ive sold my trading stock quite a while back but I still have a very large stake in this company. The fact that we have no denials from Evil K makes it even worse.

He is due to give out his monday investing statement I will report back.

cheers GF.

mickeyskint - 11 Apr 2005 13:42 - 579 of 1117

I talked my Mrs into investing 5K, which she did at 19. So you can just imagine what my life is like at the moment. The supplies been turned off and my boiled eggs are all runny. I've agreed to underwrite any of her losses, so it's really important for me this gets into the 20's and soon. Otherwise Kings Cross here I come if you know what I mean.

MS

JT Master Investor - 11 Apr 2005 13:47 - 580 of 1117

That's like me mickey I ploughed in most of the money from out joint account so I'll be up Dawsons creek without a paddle if she finds out!!

mickeyskint - 11 Apr 2005 14:07 - 581 of 1117

I'll make the spare bed up JT.

MS

jimmy b - 11 Apr 2005 15:30 - 582 of 1117

I sold on friday at a heavy loss,,im getting fed up with this its hard enough to make good decisions without all this hassle..JB

goldfinger - 11 Apr 2005 15:32 - 583 of 1117

Nothing from Evil so it leaves me in limbo land.

cheers GF.

JT Master Investor - 11 Apr 2005 16:14 - 584 of 1117

No news is good news goldfinger!!

mickeyskint - 11 Apr 2005 17:07 - 585 of 1117

jimmy b

The results will be out any time now. I think you might have jumped ship early. Sorry to hear you took a fall, It sticks in the throat I know. My total individual stock losses are in 4 figures but I win more than I loose so providing it stay's that way I'm happy.

MS

jimmy b - 11 Apr 2005 17:54 - 586 of 1117

Thanks Mickey, im the same doing well overall,you might be right i maybe jumped ship too early,can't win them all!!..JB

JT Master Investor - 12 Apr 2005 12:11 - 587 of 1117

EK has just bought another 250,000 shares in GMC because he is exctied at the mobile gambling that GMC has just announced with Orange.

blackbelt - 12 Apr 2005 12:48 - 588 of 1117

Whats the sentiment to EK buying 250,000 shares........?

Sooner44 - 12 Apr 2005 14:23 - 589 of 1117

Hey all - this is really pretty intersting and amusing, reading all this from afar. As for the sentiment, it apprears to be negligable. We are all down again, at this moment in time anyway.

I'm gonna hold - at least 'till the results are out and we can get an idea of what is going on here! Personally, why would anyone purchase a further 1/4mill if he was going to short as was mentioned earlier. I think EK may be a lot more clever than people are giving credit for - everyone panics and sells, sp drops and he buys....picking up even more profit in due course.

Good Luck all holding...

Chiva20 - 12 Apr 2005 14:38 - 590 of 1117

Nothing clever about that, I think anyone with that kind of influence on the market would do the same although maybe not to such an evil extent. In fact apparently his current success rate is to the tune of minus 400k. What a dumdum.

Do you know when the results are due? I know they're imminent but if you have a date I'd appreciate it?

Thanks in advance

Chiva

mickeyskint - 12 Apr 2005 15:05 - 591 of 1117

People elsewhere are saying the 14th April, but no one can confirm.

MS

mickeyskint - 12 Apr 2005 16:44 - 592 of 1117

From elsewhere.

Hi Rich,

No, EK is and always has been bullish about Gaming Corporation. Furthermore he is good friends with Justin Drummond, the CEO, and his brother Jason Drummond, the Chairman.

In light of the announcements over the past week it is frustrating that the shares have not made any progress, but in fact slipped somewhat. The contract with Orange to provide mobile casino games could be absolutely huge. Datamonitor has forecast the mobile gaming market to be worth $8.6 billion in 2006. If you assume that margins will remain similar to the online gaming market of 2.5% then this would imply $215 million (114 million) will fall through as profit. Given that the UK is one of the largest gambling nations in the world, behind the USA and Japan, and Orange is the second largest mobile operator in the UK, it is clear that this is a major deal for Gaming Corporation.

This deal should be worth in the region of 6.2 million profit in its first year, which on a 50:50 revenue share would be worth 3.15 million to Gaming Corporation. A 6.2 million profit would assume that 248 million is played on the mobile games, and 2.5% of 248 million is 6.2 million. 3.15 million of net-profit would be worth 1.21p/share in earnings.

A 6.2 million profit for Orange/Gaming Corporation in the first year of this project would still be only 5.43% of a 2.5% margin on Datamonitors forecast.

Everyone, including EK, seems to be assuming that Gaming Corps java games work on 3G but in fact they work on a lower specification of 2.5G. Orange has over 13.5 million customers in the UK, which is about 21.7% of the total UK population. I do not have the figures to hand, but if you assume that 6 million Orange customers have Java enabled handsets to play the casino games then my forecast assumes that every customer will spend 41.33 on the mobile games. 41.33 * 6 million = 247.98 (near enough 248 million). There will clearly be those with Java enabled handsets who will want to play the games and spend 100s on the games and those who will not play at all, therefore 41.33 per java user seems a fair stab.

Additionally the recent acquisition of got2bet.com should make a net profit of $250,000 in its first year (132,559), which is 0.051p/share in earnings.

Then there is findpoker.com, onthebox.com, Eyeconomy, skillgaming.co.uk, 10 million cash and the flagship casino.co.uk to remember. If you assume a net profit of just 1 million from this collection of sites then that is worth 0.38p/share in earnings. Add the got2bet.com acquisition, and the mobile casino gaming, then you achieve earnings of 1.551p/share. With the shares trading at 14p this is a PE ratio of 9. Is this a fair earnings multiple, given that this is one of the fastest growing industries in the world, and Gaming Corporation is proving itself as a hunter and not the hunted? You should be looking at a PE ratio of nearer 30, which is 46.5p.

The upside is clear to me.

Best Wishes,

Mr K

MS

bhunt1910 - 12 Apr 2005 16:45 - 593 of 1117

I have 14th April written in my diary from somewhere - and its been ther a long time

B

Mr Kournikova - 12 Apr 2005 16:46 - 594 of 1117

Hi mickeyskint,

Please can you credit me, the author, if you are going to copy my work from elsewhere. Thanks.

Mr K

mickeyskint - 12 Apr 2005 16:50 - 595 of 1117

Post 591 was from MrKournikova from the other place.

MS
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