Dragon Oil plcs principal production and exploration interests are located in the Cheleken Contract Area in the Caspian Sea, offshore Turkmenistan. The Cheleken Contract Area covers approximately 950 sq.kms and comprises two offshore oil and gas fields, Dzheitun (LAM) & Dzhygalybeg (Zhdanov), in water depths of 10 to 37 metres.

            Red = 25 day moving average.           Green = 200 day moving average.

your call .... my own oilie money is currently elsewhere

where ?

probably far too many ....
AFR GKP, GPX, HOIL, HAWK, PMO, TLW VOG (inherited), PELE (yuk!)

also associated ..... CRA, LAM, AMEC

I have the top line less PMO and VOG...but none of the bottom three....sold out of LAM....perhaps a mistake...

Thar she blows...

ENOC days are numbered esp with oil sp increasing rapidly.

they obviously dont have enough money for decent bid........4.50 will be laughed at by everyone (except cynic with his 3 shares)........of course FT with its corrupt journalism keep spouting 4 quid.
ENOC have 1 chance and then its 12 months waiting........by which time oil price and industry will be in full mode again and dragon will be much higher than today

as i ay, every day that goes by makes it harder for ENOC

oh marni, you do talk such a load of rubbish sometimes and can rarely keep a civil tongue at any time ..... this latter trait is neither clever nor even amusing, and merely reflects your own character defects - anyway, if you bothered to read, which you clearly only do selectively as/when it suits you, you will have noted that i do not currently hold any of these.

though the traffic in DGO is exceptionally heavy, the only news out is that DGO have said they will be investing several $00,000 in 2010 to develop facilities etc in turkmenistan.

though dubai is financially on the ropes at the moment, that may not apply specifically to ENOC ..... in any case, if the turkmen gov't or even that of AD, who have been bankrolling dubai of late, like any bid ENOC may care to table, then no doubt they will find the necessary financial support ..... there are also many hidden ways to skin these inter-governmental deals

Climbing rapidly now...took some time to puncture that 400p mark but the 00p's are always difficult...on it's way to 450p perhaps...

RF .... i hope for you guys that you're right, but it has been to this level a few times, including just a couple of days ago, and then just drifted away again .... on a more positive note, the volume has already exceeded the daily norm

=======

sorry - that's bollocks!
i misread 1.7m shares traded as 17m

similar to 2 days ago

The cash and cash equivalents and term deposits at 30 September 2009 were approximately US$962 million (31 December 2008: US$876 million), including US$114 million (31 December 2008: US$92 million) set aside for abandonment and decommissioning activities.

9% rise in production so far his year, etc...

yip.......and ENOC dont have the money or else they bid by now.......82$ recently, lol i think it was 60$ when they mentioned bid 5 months ago

and if anyone else wants to bid, then they will have to persuade ENOC to part with their shares ...... the question remains as to how much, if at all, the current sp is supported by the possibility of a bid coming from ENOC, or from anyone else for that matter

haha i squelched that old fool cynic with his stupid childish inane comments.....he's missed most of the rocketing shares this year. back to work for him.....or not as the case

she'll be missed like bubonic plague

My formula says the bid should be recalculated. Above 5 can be a good start.

the theory may be great, but at the end of the day, it is a matter of how much someone is prepared to pay ...... for the moment, am happy to have banked the profit, but shall continue to watch

Cynic ; check out XEL.....would like your view on there if you have the time...thanks.

Latest Goodbody report,

"Dragon Oil; Steady Progress

While the investment case surrounding Dragon continues to be overshadowed by the lack of clarity regarding ENOCs intentions, at an operating level events continue to demonstrate progress. Of note within the statement is the fact that capex ($56m in Q3) continues to undershoot, while production (46.1 kbopd v our Q3 estimate of 44.0 kbopd) overshoots. With production trending ahead, and expectations of a four-rig complement early next year, confidence in our FY10 projection of 52.0 kbopd is reinforced.

Post the IMS, adjustments to our 2009 and 2010 earnings projections are at the margin (+2% in both years), with the increase in FY09 gross production (from 44.4 to 45.1 kbopd) and realised price (from $64.4 to $69.0 per barrel) counteracted to a large extent by a lower forecast percentage entitlement.

That said, forecast net cash at the end of 2009 and 2010 increases by 12% and 15% respectively as we have shaved $50m in each year from our prior capex estimates due to the slower pace of infrastructure spend. With net cash at the end of September of $962m, we now expect Dragon to exit the year with c.$1bn in net cash (equivalent to 29% of the current market cap.). That has positive implications for our NAV with Core NAV rising from 478.6p to 494.1p, while Total NAV increases from 581.6p to 597.0p.

The pending arrival of additional rigs and a rising oil price continue to provide confidence in production growth. Combine that growth potential with the obvious value (EV/BOE of $3.85, compared to typical take-out multiples in
the range of $10 - $12 per boe) and we see no reason to alter our positive stance. Our price target, which remains pegged to Core NAV (i.e oil production only), nudges up from 470p to 495p.

The signing of a gas sales agreement, which we anticipate at some stage in 2010, however, would highlight the value within its gas resource (3.2 TCF) and suggest a price target more in line with Total NAV. As such, we view our current target as conservative given progress in terms of oil production and the latent value within its gas resource and maintain our BUY recommendation."
cyril

OFFER IS 455P.
cyril