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FALKLAND OIL & GAS (FOGL)     

smiler o - 18 Jul 2007 14:07

STRATEGY

•FOGL seeks to add shareholder value by pursuing an aggressive exploration programme in its licences to the south and east of the Falkland Islands. Exploration drilling will continue in the deep water areas of FOGL’s licences in the first half of 2012. If successful, this drilling could lead to the development of a new hydrocarbon province in the South Atlantic.

Next Phase of drilling

In the first half of 2012 FOGL is planning to drill two wells in the deep water area of its licences.
FOGL has contracted the Leiv Eiriksson rig to undertake this drilling programme. The rig is due to arrive in the Falklands in early 2012 when it will initially drill two wells for Borders and Southern Plc (B&S), before commencing the FOGL drilling programme. The B&S wells are to be drilled on the Darwin and Stebbing prospects. The results of these wells will be of interest to FOGL, because we have similar plays and prospects within the southern part of our licence area.

The first well to be drilled in the FOGL programme will be on the Loligo prospect. A number of options exist for the second well, including potentially a well on Scotia, a prospect within the Mid Cretaceous Fan Play. The final decision on which prospect will be targeted by the second well will be guided by the results from Loligo.

Funding

As at 7 September 2011 FOGL's available funds, including the BHP Billiton settlement, were $150.8 million. The Company is debt free.


2012 Drilling Programme

The Leiv Eiriksson a harsh environment rig has been drilling wells offshore Greenland for Cairn Energy. That campaign is expected to finish by the end of November 2011 after which the rig will head south to the Falkland Islands. The rig will first drill two wells (about 90 days drilling) for Borders and Southern Plc (B&S) before moving on to the FOGL programme. The transit time from Greenland is expected to be approximately 60 days.

A great deal of work has gone into the planning of the FOGL drilling campaign and over the preceding years a large amount of data has had to be collected to so that the drilling can take place.

Seismic data was acquired from 2004 to 2007 and again in 2011, CSEM in 2007, site surveys in 2009 and 2011 and metocean data, from permanent current meters, in 2009/10. Well planning essentially started in 2009 with the drilling of three, 200m deep, geotechnical boreholes. This data helped with the planning of the shallow section of the Toroa well (FI 61/05-1) and has been extensively used in the planning of the deep water programme.

The first well in the FOGL programme will be on the giant Loligo prospect. A second well will also be drilled by FOGL using the Leiv Eiriksson and site surveys have been acquired over the following prospects: The Nimrod Complex and the Vinson prospect in the Tertiary Channel Play, the Scotia or Hero prospects in the Mid Cretaceous Fan Play and the Inflexible or Endeavour prospect in the Springhill Sandstone Play. Options that are currently being considered depend upon the results of the first well on Loligo. The final play in the FOGL acreage is in the Fold Belt in the south west of the FOGL acreage. This play is being tested by B&S at their Stebbing prospect. Similar features exist within the FOGL acreage and the results of the well will be closely monitored. In addition the B&S, Darwin well is targeting a tilted fault block which again shows great similarities with several prospects in the FOGL portfolio (Inflexible, Thulla etc.). Depending on the results of Darwin FOGL may consider a well on Inflexible as the second well in the programme.

FOGL’s main focus is on the two younger plays, the Tertiary Channel and the Mid Cretaceous Fan play. FOGL has been working on the Mid Cretaceous play for some time but it was only in late 2009, when the seismic data had been fully reprocessed, that it became clear that this major new play was viable. The play is analogous to the ones being successfully targeted in West Africa (the Tullow Jubilee field in Ghana and other discoveries along that margin) and the general geology, depositional setting and even the AVO response (Class II response over Scotia and Hero) are remarkably similar. The two main prospects, Scotia and Hero, both contain prospective resources in excess of 1 billion bbls. One of the key features that makes this play so attractive is that the reservoir sands sit directly above the mature Aptian oil source rocks which were sampled in the DSDP wells to the East of the FOGL acreage.

2012 DRLLING TARGET LOLIGO

The shallowest target alone covers an area of over 600sqkm. The Loligo prospect was first mapped in 2006 and has been re-mapped and re analysed several times since then. It is a large stratigraphic trap which is supported by a very consistent Class III AVO response on the seismic data. It is an ‘easy to map’ anomaly which stands out clearly above the background seismic responses when compared to the entire basin. In addition, it sits directly above an old high which used to separate the Southern basin (Fitzroy sub-basin) from the Northern basin (Volunteer sub-basin). This old high seems to be acting as a focus for hydrocarbon migration from deeply buried source rocks in each of the sub basins.

Beneath the southern part of Loligo several other prospects within the Tertiary Channel play, overlap and may be penetrated by one carefully located well. The deeper prospects (each covering an area similar to Loligo) have been called Trigg and the Three Bears. Together these prospects are called the Loligo Complex. The prospective resources (recoverable oil) associated with the Loligo complex, are in excess of 4 billion bbls of oil or over 25tcf of gas.




FOGL is focused exclusively on offshore oil and gas exploration in the Falkland Islands.

We are pursuing an aggressive exploration programme that could lead to the development of a new petroleum province in the South Atlantic. The joint venture operations have now moved into the drilling phase.

Most prospects in 2,000 – 4,500 feet water depth (610 – 1372m)


Target horizons: 6,000 – 13,000 feet below sea bed lever (1829 – 3962m)


Falklands weather is similar to West of Shetland


Remote location but there were no major issues during 1998 drilling campaign


Anchored semi-submersible or drillship for exploration drilling


Tried and tested technology for developments



Falkland Oil and Gas Limited Licence area.




FINANCIAL SUMMARY http://www.fogl.com/fogl/en/Investors/performance

FOGL HOME http://www.fogl.com/fogl/en/home

http://www.stockopedia.co.uk/content/falkland-oil-and-gas-2012-its-time-63024/


Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=FOGL&SChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=FOGL&S

hlyeo98 - 12 Jul 2010 08:09 - 745 of 1211

80p now... it's is a good short.

hlyeo98 - 12 Jul 2010 08:15 - 746 of 1211

There's not a whiff of hydrocarbons at all... not even a trace.



12 July 2010

Falkland Oil and Gas Limited

("FOGL" or "the Company")

Results of the Toroa exploration well

FOGL, the oil and gas exploration company focused on its extensive licence areas to the South and East of the Falkland Islands, confirms that the Toroa F61/5-1 exploration well has been drilled to a total depth of 2476 metres and logging operations have now been completed.

The well did not encounter any reservoired hydrocarbons and will now be plugged and abandoned.

Further detailed evaluation of all data and information gained from this well will now be carried out. An update will be provided once this work has been completed.



Tim Bushell, Chief Executive of FOGL, commented:

"Whilst the results of the Toroa well are disappointing, it has to be remembered that this is the first well in a previously undrilled frontier basin. We believe that these results have helped to reduce some of the key risks of the plays in the deepwater areas of our licences. In that respect the well is certainly encouraging for further exploration and we look forward to continuing our exploration programme once a suitable deepwater rig has been secured."

mitzy - 12 Jul 2010 08:22 - 747 of 1211

Missed out @70p..

Balerboy - 12 Jul 2010 08:37 - 748 of 1211

bought some more fkl, expect a bounce on this one.

hlyeo98 - 12 Jul 2010 13:31 - 749 of 1211

Mitzy, no hurry... will be 50p end of week. Even at a quid now, FOGL looks hideous as it has no clue whether it has any hydrocarbon at all.

required field - 12 Jul 2010 13:40 - 750 of 1211

Balerboy.....that's risky as this could go to 50p like hyleo98 says...where is the bottom here ?....

mitzy - 12 Jul 2010 14:55 - 751 of 1211

Down 50%.

halifax - 12 Jul 2010 14:59 - 752 of 1211

when is the next drill for FOGL?

markymar - 12 Jul 2010 15:25 - 753 of 1211

It will be if BOR get a rig i think they may share that one as FOGL have enough money for a possible 2 drills at tops.

Buttttt and a big But is BOR have not got EIS approved and untill that time they cant drill and have not got a rig or drill ship so it could be years away.

As said FOGL was a stab in the dark...stick to the NFB if you want to make money its now a basin which is proven to hold oil.

halifax - 12 Jul 2010 15:30 - 754 of 1211

marky so are you saying there is little point in holding FOGL as they have no possibility of drilling for at least 12 months?

chav - 12 Jul 2010 16:24 - 755 of 1211

BOR will have their EIS by December when they expect their 5th generation semi to arrive in the FI's.

markymar - 12 Jul 2010 23:02 - 756 of 1211

Halifax look how long it took Desire to get a rig and BOR and FOGL need a high spec 5th or drill ship and you can double every thing up on costs.

Chav why was the EIS not passed but noted? Your 5th sub.......funny how i was told they were chasing a drill boat to be told they would have to wait 2 more years till it came off contract.

chasing there tail comes to mind and people chasing rainbows

Stick to the NFB for the time be you will see the rewards.



chav - 12 Jul 2010 23:55 - 757 of 1211

I'll be sticking with RKH for a while yet markymar! The service industry in the FI's have been briefed on the possibility of another Rig, for BOR, arriving in December, so news on that shouldn't be very far away.

chav - 12 Jul 2010 23:57 - 758 of 1211

I should imagine that the EIS is still with BGS getting checked over which is why it was only 'noted' at the last Exco meeting.

required field - 13 Jul 2010 17:06 - 759 of 1211

I fear that there is still room for a further drop for FOGL....as people will sell or switch.....until they get a rig...not much to go on except hope....

cynic - 13 Jul 2010 17:07 - 760 of 1211

i agree; was very surprised to see upward tick today

required field - 13 Jul 2010 17:09 - 761 of 1211

Sorry...little mix up with MATD....coming back to FOGL.....another 20p drop or so to come over the next month....until this long awaited rig of theirs is booked...from what I understand : there are only 32 deep water rigs in the world so it has to be one of those...BP, to be the supplier when the Gulf shambles is settled ?.

cynic - 13 Jul 2010 17:36 - 762 of 1211

surely BP leased in their rig .... in fact, i believe that is the general practice

markymar - 13 Jul 2010 23:00 - 763 of 1211

http://en.mercopress.com/2010/07/13/deepwater-oil-rig-needed-to-drill-in-falklands-southern-waters-confirms-fogl


FOGL holds Falkland Islands government licences to the south and east of the Islands, a vast area that had never been drilled until the disappointing Toroa F61/5-1 which reached almost 2.500 metres in waters over 600 metres deep.

The two previous wells drilled in Falklands waters (Desire Petroleum and Rockhopper Exploration) as well as those of the 1998 round were concentrated in the North Falkland basin where the water depth ranges 200/300 meters.

FOGL Chief Executive Tim Bushell indicated that whilst the results of the Toroa well are disappointing, it has to be remembered that this is the first well in a previously un-drilled frontier basin.

He added that FOGL continues to work towards getting a deepwater rig so that we can drill our other prospects which are bigger and probably better prospects. In the meantime, we'll evaluate the data we have from this well to see how it can help us drill other wells.

The Toroa prospect is located in Licence PL15, in which FOGL has a 49% interest alongside BHP Billitons 51%. Originally the company was planning a two-phase drilling program starting at Toroa and then moving on to a deepwater campaign, which was expected to start in late 2010. Under the terms of its farm-in agreement, BHP Billiton is funding more than two thirds of the total cost of the committed two wells program.

There are very few rigs that can drill under harsh conditions, said a FOGL spokesperson. So it's impossible to say when that might happen. We had the current rig for only one slot.

The current rig Ocean Guardian was contracted by Desire Petroleum, which drilled the first well and the leased to Rockhopper Exploration that announced the discovery of oil at the Sea Lion prospect, and to FOGL. Although ideal for the North Falkland basin, apparently operating at 600 metres deep waters the rig is close to its potential.

Meanwhile oil company Argos Resources said it will join the Falklands drilling campaign after it completes an IPO to raise funds for the initiative, according to media reports.


BOR a sell

FOGL a sell

DES a buy and cheap at moment if you can wait 3 to 4 months, basin proven they will come good entry point.

RKH good value plenty upside to double or treble your money ..basin proven and new data will be better than first thought....come on the rock

greekman - 14 Jul 2010 08:01 - 764 of 1211

Just shows how bad news always overshadows good news.

In yesterdays Telegraph Business, the Fogl failure was front page, with the heading, 'Falkland Oil and Gas falls as well proves dry'.
Fair enough, but where was the Rockhopper discovery when it was reported, which was far more important as regards the FI fields, it was tucked away inside.
Yesterdays report also contained comments such as, 'The setback is the latest in a series that has dogged exploration around the Falkland Islands. Forecasts that the area around the islands could hold up to 3, billion barrels of oil have appeared to date, to be wildly optimistic'.

As someone posted, "It took 7 dusters in the North Sea before they struck one with oil, so I think the Falklands is doing rather better".
Quite right to!

For those who have not kept a close eye on the FIO's they would on reading the very pessimistic Telegraph report think this was almost a too much to risk area of investing.
Where do they get the 'This is the latest in a series of setbacks etc', instead of stating, 'although very early in the campaign, the percentage of discovery/failure is better than the average'.

As already said, bad news always overshadows good news, and no doubt the Telegraph report will influence the potential investors to stay out.

Now for the obvious must be said comment......Fogl could end up making investors who are still holding or have bought in at the lower price, 'a nice little earner' as Delboy would say.
Of course the opposite could apply if they have anymore dusters.

But 'This is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning'
Now where have we heard that before!

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