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FALKLAND OIL & GAS (FOGL)     

smiler o - 18 Jul 2007 14:07

STRATEGY

•FOGL seeks to add shareholder value by pursuing an aggressive exploration programme in its licences to the south and east of the Falkland Islands. Exploration drilling will continue in the deep water areas of FOGL’s licences in the first half of 2012. If successful, this drilling could lead to the development of a new hydrocarbon province in the South Atlantic.

Next Phase of drilling

In the first half of 2012 FOGL is planning to drill two wells in the deep water area of its licences.
FOGL has contracted the Leiv Eiriksson rig to undertake this drilling programme. The rig is due to arrive in the Falklands in early 2012 when it will initially drill two wells for Borders and Southern Plc (B&S), before commencing the FOGL drilling programme. The B&S wells are to be drilled on the Darwin and Stebbing prospects. The results of these wells will be of interest to FOGL, because we have similar plays and prospects within the southern part of our licence area.

The first well to be drilled in the FOGL programme will be on the Loligo prospect. A number of options exist for the second well, including potentially a well on Scotia, a prospect within the Mid Cretaceous Fan Play. The final decision on which prospect will be targeted by the second well will be guided by the results from Loligo.

Funding

As at 7 September 2011 FOGL's available funds, including the BHP Billiton settlement, were $150.8 million. The Company is debt free.


2012 Drilling Programme

The Leiv Eiriksson a harsh environment rig has been drilling wells offshore Greenland for Cairn Energy. That campaign is expected to finish by the end of November 2011 after which the rig will head south to the Falkland Islands. The rig will first drill two wells (about 90 days drilling) for Borders and Southern Plc (B&S) before moving on to the FOGL programme. The transit time from Greenland is expected to be approximately 60 days.

A great deal of work has gone into the planning of the FOGL drilling campaign and over the preceding years a large amount of data has had to be collected to so that the drilling can take place.

Seismic data was acquired from 2004 to 2007 and again in 2011, CSEM in 2007, site surveys in 2009 and 2011 and metocean data, from permanent current meters, in 2009/10. Well planning essentially started in 2009 with the drilling of three, 200m deep, geotechnical boreholes. This data helped with the planning of the shallow section of the Toroa well (FI 61/05-1) and has been extensively used in the planning of the deep water programme.

The first well in the FOGL programme will be on the giant Loligo prospect. A second well will also be drilled by FOGL using the Leiv Eiriksson and site surveys have been acquired over the following prospects: The Nimrod Complex and the Vinson prospect in the Tertiary Channel Play, the Scotia or Hero prospects in the Mid Cretaceous Fan Play and the Inflexible or Endeavour prospect in the Springhill Sandstone Play. Options that are currently being considered depend upon the results of the first well on Loligo. The final play in the FOGL acreage is in the Fold Belt in the south west of the FOGL acreage. This play is being tested by B&S at their Stebbing prospect. Similar features exist within the FOGL acreage and the results of the well will be closely monitored. In addition the B&S, Darwin well is targeting a tilted fault block which again shows great similarities with several prospects in the FOGL portfolio (Inflexible, Thulla etc.). Depending on the results of Darwin FOGL may consider a well on Inflexible as the second well in the programme.

FOGL’s main focus is on the two younger plays, the Tertiary Channel and the Mid Cretaceous Fan play. FOGL has been working on the Mid Cretaceous play for some time but it was only in late 2009, when the seismic data had been fully reprocessed, that it became clear that this major new play was viable. The play is analogous to the ones being successfully targeted in West Africa (the Tullow Jubilee field in Ghana and other discoveries along that margin) and the general geology, depositional setting and even the AVO response (Class II response over Scotia and Hero) are remarkably similar. The two main prospects, Scotia and Hero, both contain prospective resources in excess of 1 billion bbls. One of the key features that makes this play so attractive is that the reservoir sands sit directly above the mature Aptian oil source rocks which were sampled in the DSDP wells to the East of the FOGL acreage.

2012 DRLLING TARGET LOLIGO

The shallowest target alone covers an area of over 600sqkm. The Loligo prospect was first mapped in 2006 and has been re-mapped and re analysed several times since then. It is a large stratigraphic trap which is supported by a very consistent Class III AVO response on the seismic data. It is an ‘easy to map’ anomaly which stands out clearly above the background seismic responses when compared to the entire basin. In addition, it sits directly above an old high which used to separate the Southern basin (Fitzroy sub-basin) from the Northern basin (Volunteer sub-basin). This old high seems to be acting as a focus for hydrocarbon migration from deeply buried source rocks in each of the sub basins.

Beneath the southern part of Loligo several other prospects within the Tertiary Channel play, overlap and may be penetrated by one carefully located well. The deeper prospects (each covering an area similar to Loligo) have been called Trigg and the Three Bears. Together these prospects are called the Loligo Complex. The prospective resources (recoverable oil) associated with the Loligo complex, are in excess of 4 billion bbls of oil or over 25tcf of gas.




FOGL is focused exclusively on offshore oil and gas exploration in the Falkland Islands.

We are pursuing an aggressive exploration programme that could lead to the development of a new petroleum province in the South Atlantic. The joint venture operations have now moved into the drilling phase.

Most prospects in 2,000 – 4,500 feet water depth (610 – 1372m)


Target horizons: 6,000 – 13,000 feet below sea bed lever (1829 – 3962m)


Falklands weather is similar to West of Shetland


Remote location but there were no major issues during 1998 drilling campaign


Anchored semi-submersible or drillship for exploration drilling


Tried and tested technology for developments



Falkland Oil and Gas Limited Licence area.




FINANCIAL SUMMARY http://www.fogl.com/fogl/en/Investors/performance

FOGL HOME http://www.fogl.com/fogl/en/home

http://www.stockopedia.co.uk/content/falkland-oil-and-gas-2012-its-time-63024/


Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=FOGL&SChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=FOGL&S

halifax - 05 Jul 2010 12:23 - 701 of 1211

does good news travel faster than bad news?

hlyeo98 - 05 Jul 2010 12:38 - 702 of 1211

Definitely... I think there's somehing not quite right here.

required field - 05 Jul 2010 12:40 - 703 of 1211

They must know by now if there are any hydrocarbons...gas, oil, by now....

hlyeo98 - 05 Jul 2010 13:08 - 704 of 1211

Time to offload, I feel.

markymar - 05 Jul 2010 13:45 - 705 of 1211

Your braver than me holding these.

cynic - 05 Jul 2010 13:50 - 706 of 1211

i now only hold 2000 which are still marginally in the money (banked profit on some which is separate isue) ...... shall sit and watch for now

halifax - 05 Jul 2010 14:43 - 707 of 1211

feels like another DES/LIZ scenario nearly but not quite.

cynic - 05 Jul 2010 15:24 - 708 of 1211

quite possibly; like you, not sure

Balerboy - 05 Jul 2010 16:08 - 709 of 1211

Off topic slightly cynic..took profit and some on EO. and NPE this am, you the same??

cynic - 05 Jul 2010 16:12 - 710 of 1211

i sold 1/3 of mu fogl stock a week or so ago ..... i have never helpd npe, and am happy to stay with a fairly modest holding in eo.

rather belatedly, i bought some pmo this morning

hlyeo98 - 07 Jul 2010 16:34 - 711 of 1211

Something smelling fishy here...

greekman - 07 Jul 2010 17:21 - 712 of 1211

Hlyeo98,

What exactly smells fishy?

cynic - 07 Jul 2010 17:37 - 713 of 1211

no one likes delays, though this one looks legit enough ...... the real concern is the likelihood of a duster, which will of course affect all falklands stocks even if only temporarily

however, that great flurry including exceptional volume for a day about a week ago was curious indeed ..... one could rationalise inside knowledge, except there ha been no follow through - indeed something of the reverse

HARRYCAT - 07 Jul 2010 21:28 - 714 of 1211

Glad I have sold my holding. Not happy with something here, but difficult to define exactly. Delayed news is an omen, imo. Hold DES & RKH so happy to buy more of those two should they dip if FOGL duster.

markymar - 07 Jul 2010 23:17 - 715 of 1211

Harry i dont hold FOGL but they way I look at it its a stab in the dark if they dont hit BOR and FOGL the price will half or moreIf they hit great and the share price will jump a couple of pounds but plenty of time to buy in on news of API and size of field.

Look at RKH it went up only to fall again to 90p then news of API and size of field to where it is nownext flow test will put a 1+ on share price so plenty of time.

Good luck FOGL holders but I dont buy lucky bags

Harry the weather is very diffrent to the North and the sea hence down time but still cluching straws....

hlyeo98 - 08 Jul 2010 08:30 - 716 of 1211

Watch out FOGL... buying price gradually weaken to 218p now

required field - 08 Jul 2010 08:31 - 717 of 1211

Complete gamble.....not in but might regret it....

hlyeo98 - 08 Jul 2010 08:41 - 718 of 1211

Wow, it's dropping fast within minutes... 200p now.

hlyeo98 - 08 Jul 2010 08:47 - 719 of 1211

Something smelling very bad here in FOGL...

greekman - 08 Jul 2010 09:12 - 720 of 1211

Hlyeo98,

First you say it smells fishy but when I ask why, you wont say. Now you say something smelling very bad here in FOGL. Again you don't say why.
Such comments are totally useless unless you at least try to back them up.
If you are going to de-ramp at least don't make it so obvious!
Not saying if I have any better insight that you do, as neither of us know the outcome of any drilling results, YET.

Greek.
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