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Micro focus. Is this going to continue its recovery? (MCRO)     

Fred1new - 19 Nov 2007 08:58

Results out 6/12/2007/ Promises are positive.

Projected earnings are reasonable.

But DYOH

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MCRO&S

goldfinger - 12 Apr 2012 15:12 - 84 of 157

Brokers fully behind the stock
and not suprising a tech stock on a P/E
of just 9.6 for next year.

FAR too cheap.

Micro Focus International PLC

FORECASTS 2012 2013
Date Rec Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p)

Panmure Gordon
11-04-12 BUY 106.03 43.30 61.28 111.71 46.83 17.86
Peel Hunt
05-04-12 HOLD 102.68 45.89 17.87 102.46 46.80 20.35
Canaccord Genuity Ltd
05-04-12 BUY 107.85 46.62 16.76 108.73 51.66 18.46
Singer Capital Markets Ltd
02-04-12 BUY 102.18 42.57 15.70 103.64 48.50 17.30
Numis Securities Ltd
13-03-12 BUY 98.75 42.20 104.26 48.67
Broker Name Withheld 3
22-02-12 BUY 109.50 48.22 17.26 110.39 53.15 19.01
Investec Securities
07-12-11 HOLD 102.34 36.24 15.70 106.78 37.82 16.49
Execution Noble [W]
22-09-11 NEUT 80.32 33.96 14.67
Merchant Securities Limited
15-09-11 SELL

2012 2013
Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 104.26 44.24 26.12 106.83 48.52 18.45

1 Month Change 0.66 0.51 0.30 0.70 1.35 0.00
3 Month Change 1.95 3.18 9.61 0.42 4.72 0.62


GROWTH
2011 (A) 2012 (E) 2013 (E)

Norm. EPS -14.13% 36.60% 9.67%
DPS 53.46% 65.74% -29.37%

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2011 (A) 2012 (E) 2013 (E)

EBITDA £93.39m £111.81m £114.19m
EBIT £73.05m £101.20m £102.59m
Dividend Yield 3.37% 5.59% 3.95%
Dividend Cover 2.06x 1.69x 2.63x
PER 14.43x 10.56x 9.63x
PEG -1.02f 0.29f 1.00f
Net Asset Value PS -47.84p 36.51p 68.22p

goldfinger - 12 Apr 2012 15:27 - 85 of 157

Extract from Vector Vest Analysis today.....

MCRO Micro Focus International


Capital Appreciation

Value: Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. MCRO.L has a current Value of 685.69p per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of 467.30p per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease. VectorVest advocates the purchase of undervalued stocks. At some point in time, a stock's Price and Value always will converge.

RV (Relative Value):

RV is an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential. MCRO.L has an RV of 1.38, which is very good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. This indicator is far superior to a simple comparison of Price and Value because it is computed from an analysis of projected price appreciation three years out, AAA Corporate Bond Rates, and risk. RV solves the riddle of whether it is preferable to buy High growth, High P/E stocks, or Low growth, Low P/E stocks. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RV ratings above 1.00.

goldfinger - 13 Apr 2012 15:20 - 86 of 157

MCRO MICROFOCUS INTERNATIONAL

STRONG BUY flagged up on bar Charts Site...

http://www.barchart.com/quotes/stocks/MCRO.LS

PLUS

Bar Chart Opinion......

http://www.barchart.com/opinions/stocks/MCRO.LS

goldfinger - 19 Apr 2012 08:08 - 87 of 157

Indeed indeed but looks like they are
making a comeback..........

New broker note out today.... wed.

Micro Focus International
FTSE 250
Technology
Buy
590
468.3
26.0%
Numis Securities Ltd


Target SP 590p Upside 26%.

goldfinger - 27 Apr 2012 14:54 - 88 of 157

Goldman Sachs note out today 555p
SP target.

27 Apr Micro Focus... MCRO Goldman Sachs 555.00

HARRYCAT - 10 May 2012 08:03 - 89 of 157

Pre-close Trading Update for the 12 months ended 30 April 2012
Micro Focus International plc ("Micro Focus" or the "Group", LSE: MCRO.L) expects to report results for the twelve months ended 30 April 2012 in line with previous guidance. Revenues are expected to be in line with current market consensus whilst Adjusted EBITDA will be towards the upper end of the range of analysts' expectations.

The Group's net debt position at 30 April 2012 was $115.6m (31 January 2012: US$156m) demonstrating further good operational cash generation during the period.

Preliminary results for the twelve months ended 30 April 2012 will be issued on 21 June 2012 and Micro Focus will host a technology investor day in the City of London on 10 July 2012.

HARRYCAT - 21 Jun 2012 08:21 - 90 of 157

StockMarketWire.com
Micro Focus reports operating profit of $155.8m for the year (2011: $120.5m)and profit before tax of $149.3m (2011: $114.5m)

Basic earnings per share were 65.77 cents (2011: 47.04 cents) representing an increase of 39.8%.

Kevin Loosemore, Executive Chairman of Micro Focus, commented: "The year ended 30 April 2012 was a period of stabilization of Micro Focus' business after the disappointments of the previous year and the opportunistic approaches from private equity.

"Our revenues are in line with both market expectations and the guidance we gave a year ago. Our Adjusted EBITDA is in line with guidance and is towards the upper end of market expectations. Strong performance in Asia Pacific and Japan together with stability in North America offset declining revenues in International where the macro economic conditions remained challenging."

HARRYCAT - 14 Aug 2012 13:01 - 91 of 157

"UBS has upgraded its rating for business software firm Micro Focus International (MCRO) from 'neutral' to 'buy' and raised its target price from 570p to 600p, saying that the group's promise of high cash returns outweigh its modest growth prospects.

UBS said that 2013 is a year of "getting fit". Growth guidance is "unexciting" (at best 1%) but the investment thesis is based around potential cash returns, the broker said. "

HARRYCAT - 16 Aug 2012 09:07 - 92 of 157

StockMarketWire.com
Micro Focus International reports that adjusted EBITDA in the period to 31 July 2012 was in line with management expectations and with the same period last year on a constant currency basis.

Revenue in the comparative period benefited from a large one-off licence transaction in the test business. If this were excluded, constant currency revenue has followed the pattern expected with underlying growth in licence fees and decline in maintenance and consulting.

Management's guidance for the full year remains unchanged from that given in the preliminary results for the year ended 30 April 2012 issued on 21 June 2012.

At that time Micro Focus provided guidance that overall revenues in the current year ending 30 April 2013 would be in the range of +1% to -3% on those reported in the year ended 30 April 2012 on a constant currency basis.

Reported revenues in the current year will be impacted by exchange rates, primarily due to weakness in the Euro:$ exchange rate. If the exchange rates experienced in the year to date were to continue for the remainder of the year then on a constant currency basis, the comparative reported revenues for the year ended 30 April 2012 would reduce from $434.8m to $422.2m.

Underlying Adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be in the previously announced guidance range of 37% to 42%.

The Group's net debt position at 31 July 2012 was $90.4m (30 April 2012: $113.2m) demonstrating further good operational cash generation during the period.

Consistent with the Board's policy of delivering value to shareholders, Micro Focus proposes to return a further 50 pence per share to shareholders, equivalent to approximately $130m in cash and subject to their approval, by way of a B and C share scheme.

HARRYCAT - 04 Sep 2012 08:15 - 93 of 157

PROPOSED RETURN OF VALUE TO SHAREHOLDERS OF 50 PENCE PER SHARE VIA A B/C SHARE SCHEME
Further to the Company's IMS announcement on 16 August 2012, the Company announces that it is today posting a circular (the "Circular") to its shareholders containing details of a proposed 50 pence per share (approximately £82.0 million or $129.3 million in aggregate) return of value to Shareholders (the "Return of Value"). The Circular will include a notice convening a general meeting of the Company to approve the Return of Value and an associated share capital consolidation.

The Board has decided to effect the Return of Value through a structure involving an issue of B Shares and/or C Shares which would enable all Shareholders, subject to applicable overseas restrictions and tax laws, to elect to receive their Return of Value proceeds as either income (the "Income Option") or capital (the "Capital Option") or any combination of the two. Under this proposal, referred to as the "B/C Share Scheme", and subject to shareholder approval being obtained, for every 1 existing Ordinary Share held at 6.00pm on 25 October 2012, 50 pence is to be returned to Shareholders through the issue to them of either one B Share, which will be redeemed by the Company for 50 pence, or one C Share, on which a dividend of 50 pence will be paid or which will be purchased by Numis, acting as principal (and not as agent, nominee or trustee), at 50 pence per share under an offer to be made by them.

goldfinger - 25 Sep 2012 16:29 - 94 of 157

MCRO MICRO FOCUS

Didnt realise it was on such a cheap rating.

P/E 10.6 to 2014

Micro Focus International PLC

FORECASTS 2013 2014
Date Rec Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p)
Peel Hunt
20-09-12 BUY 97.21 47.00 23.50 101.29 51.34 25.67
Westhouse Securities
20-09-12 BUY
Panmure Gordon
20-09-12 BUY 105.56 51.22 71.20 108.06 55.22 73.08
Merchant Securities Limited
14-09-12 HOLD 110.20 50.84 23.01 115.22 53.29 24.16
Singer Capital Markets Ltd
14-09-12 BUY 98.34 47.88 21.96 100.02 52.10 24.16
Investec Securities
17-08-12 BUY 105.45 52.72 26.36 108.18 59.90 29.98
Canaccord Genuity Ltd
06-08-12 BUY 108.94 51.24 23.17 115.26 54.92 24.98
Numis Securities Ltd
21-06-12 BUY 111.06 48.60

2013 2014
Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 104.50 49.88 32.34 107.46 54.30 34.47
1 Month Change -2.43 0.09 1.25 -2.85 0.81 1.62
3 Month Change -2.00 1.46 12.49 -1.47 2.78 12.73


GROWTH
2012 (A) 2013 (E) 2014 (E)
Norm. EPS 21.04% 27.24% 8.87%
DPS -3.15% 111.92% 6.60%

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2012 (A) 2013 (E) 2014 (E)

EBITDA £117.09m £111.70m £114.10m
EBIT £94.52m £102.85m £105.32m
Dividend Yield 2.64% 5.60% 5.96%
Dividend Cover 2.57x 1.54x 1.58x
PER 14.74x 11.59x 10.64x
PEG 0.70f 0.42f 1.20f
Net Asset Value PS -95.75p 15.46p 7.84p


goldfinger - 28 Sep 2012 08:46 - 95 of 157

Broker Buy Targets.

Date Company Name Broker Rec. Price Old target price New target price Notes

26 Sep Micro Focus... Panmure Gordon Buy 581.25 620.00 620.00 Retains
25 Sep Micro Focus... Canaccord Genuity Buy 581.25 600.00 675.00 Reiterates
25 Sep Micro Focus... Numis Add 581.25 610.00 610.00 Reiterates
04 Sep Micro Focus... Peel Hunt Buy 581.25 615.00 615.00 Reiterates

675p SP Target for Canaccord.

Stock looks way too cheap to me.

NORWICH & PETERBOROUGH BUILDING SOCIETY

goldfinger - 28 Sep 2012 10:14 - 96 of 157

MCRO MICRO FOCUS

P/E of just 10.6 for 2014 very
cheap for a Tech company.

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2012 (A) 2013 (E) 2014 (E)

EBITDA £117.09m £111.70m £114.10m
EBIT £94.52m £102.85m £105.32m
Dividend Yield 2.64% 5.60% 5.96%
Dividend Cover 2.57x 1.54x 1.58x
PER 14.74x 11.59x 10.64x
PEG 0.70f 0.42f 1.20f
Net Asset Value PS -95.75p 15.46p 7.84p

goldfinger - 28 Sep 2012 11:20 - 97 of 157

Heading for 10 years high. that would be some achievement.....

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MCRO&S

goldfinger - 28 Sep 2012 11:25 - 98 of 157

Broker Note out late yesterday....

Micro Focus International PLC

FORECASTS 2013 2014
Date Rec Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p)

Panmure Gordon
27-09-12 BUY 105.56 51.22 71.20 108.06 55.22 73.08

goldfinger - 28 Sep 2012 15:15 - 99 of 157

MCRO Micro Focus

Some pretty impressive statistics

P/E of JUST 10.6 to 2014 and a
Divi Yield of 5.87%.

Stock is way undervalued imo.

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2012 (A) 2013 (E) 2014 (E)
EBITDA £117.09m £110.76m £112.82m
EBIT £94.52m £98.80m £101.38m
Dividend Yield 2.64% 5.50% 5.87%
Dividend Cover 2.57x 1.56x 1.59x
PER 14.74x 11.66x 10.68x

goldfinger - 05 Oct 2012 09:52 - 100 of 157

MCRO MICRO FOCUS INTERNATIONAL

Latest Broker SP targets.....

Date Broker name New Price Old price target New price target Broker change

26-Sep-12 Panmure Gordon Buy 581.00p 620.00p - Reiteration
25-Sep-12 Canaccord Genuity Buy 586.00p 600.00p 675.00p Reiteration

goldfinger - 11 Oct 2012 09:12 - 101 of 157

Broker Brief.....

10 Oct Micro Focus... MCRO Barclays Capital Overweight 573.00 583.00 600.00 600.00 Reiterates

600p SP target.

And another......

10 Oct Micro Focus... MCRO Panmure Gordon Buy 573.00 583.00 620.00 620.00 Retains

620p SP Target.

goldfinger - 22 Oct 2012 12:08 - 102 of 157

22 Oct Micro Focus... MCRO Barclays Capital Overweight 565.00 565.50 600.00 600.00 Reiterates

goldfinger - 26 Oct 2012 09:48 - 103 of 157

Broker Panmure Gordon says BUY Micro Focus (MCRO LN) with a 620p price target. Says today's news about the return of value underscores the fact that Micro Focus is the sector's ATM share. In the broker's view, Micro Focus will do another return next year, so investors should not see this as a one off (admittedly given the track record a two-off) event. Yes there are macro clouds in Euroland but the lights are still on and the broker is reminded from re-reading the BMC survey that mainframe machines remain an 'investment' for their users.
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