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Rockhopper Exploration (RKH)     

markymar - 15 Aug 2005 15:14

Web Page Traffic Counter

http://www.falklands-oil.com/

http://www.rockhopperexploration.co.uk

http://www.argosresources.com/




Rockhopper was established in 2004 with a strategy to invest in and undertake an offshore oil exploration programme in the North Falkland Basin. It was floated on AIM in August 2005. Rockhopper was the first company to make a commercial oil discovery in the Falklands. Today Rockhopper is the largest acreage holder in the North Falkland Basin, with interests in the Greater Mediterranean region.




free counters

markymar - 30 Jun 2011 13:18 - 4842 of 6294

Well worth a listen. Sam Moody conference call




http://events.webeventservices.com/downloads/MCommunications/2011/06/

markymar - 30 Jun 2011 22:57 - 4843 of 6294

Investors are being presented with the best opportunity to buy shares in Rockhopper Exploration (LON:RKH) since its transformational Sea Lion oil discovery, according to analysts at Matrix Capital.

Matrix firm upgraded its recommendation from a lukewarm add to a buy and upped the target price from 250 to a punchy 400 pence a share.

The brokers upgrade follows Mondays news that the 14/10-5 Sea Lion appraisal well flowed at commercial rates. However the result hardly registered with investors. We see the successful test on Sea Lion as a crucial step on the path to confirming the commerciality of the low case for the field, analyst Charlie Sharp said in a note to clients.

markymar - 01 Jul 2011 08:44 - 4844 of 6294

A good set of results with no bull shit or hype .......steady as she goes

http://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/30117/rockhopper-exploration-says-its-fully-funded-to-appraise-sea-lion-discovery--30117.html


Rockhopper Exploration says its fully-funded to appraise Sea Lion discovery

Rockhopper Exploration (LON:RKH) told investors that it is fully-funded to appraise the Sea Lion discovery.

In this mornings full-year results statement, for the twelve months ended 31 March 2010, chief executive Sam Moody said hes proud of what the groups achieved in the past year and his team will keep working to define the size of the Sea Lion field.

Summing up the progress in the financial year Moody said Rockhopper has seen a level of activity unparalleled in its history.

He listed the groups key achievements: the group drilled five operated wells; the first Falklands oil discovery, completion of two well tests, major 3D seismic acquisition programme, it recruited a number of experienced key senior personnel, raising almost US$400 million in equity.

For Rockhopper the pivotal moment was finding oil in the first Sea Lion well, which is first and only bone fide oil discovery in the Falklands to date. The discovery propelled the groups shares which shot up from xxxx to xxxxx of the course of the financial year.

Rockhopper has focussed on the appraisal of the discovery since then.

It has until April 2013 to submit a field development plan to the Falklands government. In the meantime it is trying to asses just how big the discovery is and figure out what production methods will be required.

Chairman Dr Pierre Jungels highlighted that the current work programme has three objectives: to define the field size, to define the engineering parameters for field development and to define the fields economics.

The appraisal of the Sea Lion field has got off to a very good start with successful results on both wells 14/10-4 and 14/10-5, which was flow tested at commercially viable rates, said Jungels.

The next well, 14/10-6, will be drilled to the west of the discovery and, if successful, will add to our view of the low case scenario of the field, of 155 million barrels recoverable.

Naturally, the results of each well influence the number and location of subsequent wells but our understanding of the field is growing rapidly and this will be fed into the static and dynamic reservoir models needed for an updated competent person's report and a development plan.

Referring to potential engineering solutions Rockhopper said that future production facilities would most likely be offshore, using either a floating production, storage and offloading facility (FPSO) or using a tension leg platform (TLP) with a floating storage unit (FSU).

markymar - 01 Jul 2011 08:55 - 4845 of 6294

One little downside is that it looks like we wont get an Official upgrade on the reserves this yearshame as I still think it will be very big when it does come.

COMPETENT PERSON'S REPORT ("CPR")

We had begun the year intending to produce an updated CPR. However, during the course of discussions it became apparent that both additional wells and seismic data would materially assist the accuracy of this updated report. This work is ongoing and the group is not currently planning to produce another CPR this calendar year. The situation will be reviewed once additional wells have been drilled.

greekman - 01 Jul 2011 09:11 - 4846 of 6294

Hi Markymar,

Agree no CPR this year is a disappointment, but I fully accept the reasons given, IE a CPR report will be able to be far more accurate when all of this years test results will be in.
Saves money as well.
No doubt though that has knocked the sp.

Greek

required field - 01 Jul 2011 09:19 - 4847 of 6294

We have 150 retrievable million barrels and drilling is still on going ; the field could contain perhaps double that amount !.

Toya - 01 Jul 2011 10:25 - 4848 of 6294

Good time to be topping up then, over the coming months - could be +300p next year.

required field - 01 Jul 2011 11:19 - 4849 of 6294

Frankly, I just can't grasp the fact that this isn't 350p plus.....just baffled by the market's lack of interest it seems....

dreamcatcher - 01 Jul 2011 19:32 - 4850 of 6294

Every investor is saying the same at the moment. Just feel there has been a slight
turn this week.

jades101 - 02 Jul 2011 08:35 - 4851 of 6294

I am no expert in the Markets or the oil industry but my thoughts are that until a firm declaration of Booked resources - commerciality - through CPR and further appraisal , the institutions while keeping a close eye on RKH since it might well be the new North Sea - are looking to more discoveries through ARGOs DES awa RKH. They and RKH are taking the long term view which the latest RNS makes clear.

RKH are not going to make claims as XEL did without finance, oil, production et al are in place.

I am sure RKH BOD are well ahead of the game but will be patient .

Further, as Pro says on ADVFN board, there are some aces in the pack, farming and drilling with DES and or ARG to name but two. the other is the new 3D.

They will need to work things out very carefully and judge which is the best next move.

With firm reserves and a production plan the II will wait, they want long term income more than rapid growth - as we investors want.

To us it is a 3.50 share - yes it was 5.00 but then DES struck water it was great blow to the long term wider development of the NFB



And then the next well will test the west side of the "Spoon" will less meters of oil. So the market might be disappointed - AGAIN!

Other factors will make it yo - yo 3D presentation. DES, ARGos etc.

A "Turn this week" - might or might not be true - but RKH is a traded share and more like yo- yo .

required field - 02 Jul 2011 10:59 - 4852 of 6294

Well yes...jades101...I have to say that the next well doesn't exactly seem to be that interesting unless commercial amounts of oil are discovered of course; more likely it will just define the edge of the field, but you never know : the market might just price Rockhopper up a bit as progress is being made and production can only be 2 or 3 years away now which is not that far ahead.

tyketto - 02 Jul 2011 13:44 - 4853 of 6294

Sorry I'm a dumbo, but the Evening Standard
had this on Friday.

Standard .co.uk
Business.
Search Rockhopper.
Has entered into preliminary talks with
with various parties for further funding
for what it considers is going to be needed
in the future.

Could be holding the share price down?

halifax - 02 Jul 2011 14:01 - 4854 of 6294

market concerned about development costs and further sp dilution.

markymar - 02 Jul 2011 17:50 - 4855 of 6294

Falklands oil explorer Rockhopper Exploration has brought out its profit and loss figures but Matrix says the numbers are largely irrelevant, with the cash balance the most vital thing on which to focus.

"We think our estimate for cash at end June of $230m looks about right (there was $271m as of 31 May). By our estimate, even at full tilt, that should last until sometime in Q1 [first quarter] 2012, more than enough to complete the currently anticipated remaining four-well programme (there are three commitment wells, and we expect the company to exercise one further option)," Matrix analyst Charlie Sharp said.

Matrix rates the shares a "buy" and has a price target of 400p, well above the current level of around 265p.

"We expect the next appraisal on Sea Lion, well 14/10-6, to spud in the next week or so. That will be a critical well to pin down the likely scale of the potential development, as it sits in the so far uncharted 'mid-case' area. We would expect the well to take 30-35 days to drill," the broker said.

Merchant Securities also downplayed Rockhopper's results but added that "owners of the company can use the preliminary results to take stock of behind the scenes activities that, while not as exciting as well results, set the stage for a development project in comparison to the current exploration and appraisal stage of the Sea Lion project."

In particular, the company is advancing screening concepts for the offshore development of its Sea Lion project, the broker noted.

"Additionally a full time development manager was brought into the company. Also, Rockhopper has already initiated discussions with banks to assess the financing of the offshore development project," Merchant Securities analyst Brendan Long said.

"As no final go-ahead decision has been made on the project, owners can take comfort that preliminary preparations are underway to move it into a development project," Long said.
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aldwickk - 03 Jul 2011 10:09 - 4857 of 6294

Does this poster from the daily mail have a valid point ?


Perhaps the islands can now pay for themselves. Britain subsidises the islands to the tune of hundreds of millions of pounds a year AND threw the lives of hundreds of young men away to defend it. Now everyone is entitled for their view about that war but it makes me FURIOUS to see these people lording it over us now. Why is it fair that they only pay 21% tax? Why are they so much wealthier than people in Britain? What contribution are they making to the defence of the Falklands or the UK? Why aren't we billing them?

cynic - 03 Jul 2011 11:19 - 4858 of 6294

think i'ld rather pay the 50% tax than live in Penguinland! ..... wouldn't even fancy living in Gnomeland, and that's even lower tax and more civilised even if totally sterile

aldwickk - 03 Jul 2011 21:46 - 4859 of 6294

cynic

Were would you live ?

Sequestor - 04 Jul 2011 08:10 - 4860 of 6294

Where is Gnomeland-Guildford?
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