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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

driver - 06 May 2008 18:33 - 1761 of 2350

This was with the report With the price of oil at $120 we could be looking at 20p+ very soon.

relishing - 06 May 2008 20:22 - 1762 of 2350

I added 40k+ today. News due very shortly and there's a lot of it waiting.

Chart looks like its going for another sweep upwards.

niceonecyril - 07 May 2008 08:39 - 1763 of 2350

http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=200805070701048314T
cyril

relishing - 07 May 2008 08:47 - 1764 of 2350

:)

driver - 07 May 2008 12:09 - 1765 of 2350

Nice bit of news and a bit of blue with flow and steaming rates still to come plus the conference on the 22 we may get to 20p+ sooner than I thought.


LONDON (Thomson Financial) - Sefton Resources edged up 0.625 of a penny to 8.375 as the AIM listed oil and gas production company disclosed that the electrical hook-up at its three Snow wells has now been completed and the wells are now on production.

All the wells on the Tapia leases that are capable of production are now running, including the four new wells drilled earlier this year. Each of the four new wells is already producing oil and in the process of cleaning up. The Yule no. 7 well that was recently steamed is also producing oil and much sooner than expected.

relishing - 07 May 2008 12:15 - 1766 of 2350

Beginning to think that too driver. Could 20-25p be here in a few months or less?
The figures being bandied around would certainly support that sort of price and more.

rhino213 - 10 May 2008 17:03 - 1767 of 2350

I hope so. I'm going on holiday soon and i want some spending money!

relishing - 12 May 2008 09:40 - 1768 of 2350

Ok, the spread is currently negative..

8.370 - 8.365p

kkeith2000 - 12 May 2008 09:47 - 1769 of 2350

Thats strange relishing what are the m/ms playing at

relishing - 12 May 2008 09:49 - 1770 of 2350

Don't have level 2, but I assume an MM(s) on the bid is very keen to get stock - but that raises the question, why don't they just buy that stock off the MM(s) offering 8.365p?

relishing - 12 May 2008 09:49 - 1771 of 2350

.

moonshine - 12 May 2008 10:22 - 1772 of 2350

L2: 1 (LIBC) @ 8p v 2 (SEYP & KBC) @ 8.5p

Maybe LIBC have a buy order for a fairly large amount, so they can't get that amount from the MMs on the offer at the price they are looking for? Just an idea.

kkeith2000 - 12 May 2008 11:35 - 1773 of 2350

Maybe something for the future for us
A post fom another b/b kindly posted by robson

Westhall Cap initiates with a BUY on Coal bed methane sector

Coal bed methane stocks are about to go mainstream.

In the last month, our Coal bed methane (CBM) index has increased by 20%.
This week shares in Origin Energy, Australias largest CBM producer, rose 40% on
the back of an unsolicited cash offer from BG Group.

CBM is the natural energy choice for China and India.
Per unit of thermal energy, natural gas produces 29% fewer emissions than oil
and 45% fewer emissions than coal. As a result, China and India are rapidly
shifting their energy consumption mix from coal to gas. Whilst both countries
have low natural gas reserves (China has around 1% of the worlds proved gas
reserves and India around half that) they each have substantial coal reserves:
China has 13% of the worlds coal reserves, whilst India has 10%. Coal bed
methane is natural gas trapped in a coal seam by the pressure of water. That
makes CBM a natural energy choice for China and India.

Yet CBM is still an immature industry
Global CBM gas-in-place estimates are comparable in size to global proved
reserves of conventional natural gas. In production terms, however, the CBM
industry is nascent: commercial production first started in the USA in 1989; in
China CBM accounts for only 2% of domestic gas production; in Australia the
figure is 6%; in Canada it is 8%; and in the USA it is 9%.

Few other countries have started large scale commercial production. Yet, by our
estimates the CBM sector is likely to grow fast. In China, for example, we
expect half of domestic gas production to be derived from CBM by 2020.

Buy ahead of a re-rating of sector reserves Like the oil and gas sector, the CBM
sector is valued on a multiple of reserves. Since many CBM companies are still
exploration companies, certified valuers of reserves tend to take an overly
cautious approach. As the CBM industry matures and as more is understood about
CBM reserves, we believe that certified valuers are likely to revise their
reserve estimates upwards. This is already happening. Between 1989 and 2005, the
USAs proved reserves of CBM rose fourfold from 5 Tcf to 20 Tcf. In Australia,
2P reserves* doubled in 2007 alone. CBM production in China and India only
started in 2004 and 2007 respectively, implying that companies with CBM assets
in these countries are likely to benefit the most from such reserve revisions.
Investors who position themselves in the CBM sector now are likely to benefit
from further reserves upgrades in the coming decade.

relishing - 15 May 2008 13:55 - 1774 of 2350

Nice.

CWMAM - 15 May 2008 14:01 - 1775 of 2350

Bought some @ 8.45 and 8.66 in for a good ride!!

driver - 15 May 2008 14:31 - 1776 of 2350

Nice bit of blue here get on board before this multi bags.

kkeith2000 - 16 May 2008 10:02 - 1777 of 2350

Nice tick up this morning, maybe the start of a sustainable rise
Next week could be interesting, hope to see a RNS soon

driver - 16 May 2008 10:37 - 1778 of 2350

10p+ Would be nice at the close.

kkeith2000 - 16 May 2008 10:54 - 1779 of 2350

It would driver then hopefully next week we can do a TRP -)

driver - 16 May 2008 10:59 - 1780 of 2350

keith
The trp rise will look small when this gets going.
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