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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

martinl2 - 11 Sep 2008 18:43 - 2045 of 2350

July production figures are out.....

They're pretty good.

Have a look at Yule 10 as well!

martinl2 - 12 Sep 2008 10:17 - 2046 of 2350

Hello, 400% rise in production for Yule 10 as a result of steaming!!

kkeith2000 - 12 Sep 2008 10:58 - 2047 of 2350

Thanks martinl2, do you by any chance have the total production figures for July at hand
Keith

martinl2 - 12 Sep 2008 11:05 - 2048 of 2350

6,104 barrels, best since 2005.

kkeith2000 - 12 Sep 2008 11:19 - 2049 of 2350

Looks like the steaming is having an effect also with new wells planed later this year a good chance of increased production
Thanks Keith

driver - 12 Sep 2008 15:41 - 2050 of 2350

The new production figures put SER on target for 2.2m a year profit that is with out any new wells or even further steaming still to come on the snow wells all this is inline with the latest Hardman update. 11p-31p cant be far of.

martinl2 - 18 Sep 2008 09:48 - 2051 of 2350

I wonder when they will start drilling in Kansas?

martinl2 - 25 Sep 2008 12:37 - 2052 of 2350

In my opinion, there's never been a better time to buy Sefton shares - here's why:

* CBM drilling in Kansas to begin in the near future
* Infill wells to be drilled on the Tapia field scheduled for November
* Low risk, low cost route to significant increases in production (and booked reserves) with cyclic steaming
* Resource at Eureka to be further defined with a view to drilling in due course
* Enhanced finance facility upto $15m on very competitive terms.
* Low running costs
* Long-life reserves
* Profitable, forecast pe of 4.5 for this year (at current sp and $/)
* New broker/nomad to start 1st October
* Good level of director share ownership
* Company can now buy back shares if/when appropriate
* Shareprice near 3-year lows

martinl2 - 29 Sep 2008 10:53 - 2053 of 2350

Its hard to understand why some folks will sell their shares in Sefton at this pathetic price, at historical lows when the fundamentals and prospects for Sefton have never been better!

I truly believe they will be kicking themselves in the weeks and months ahead.

driver - 29 Sep 2008 12:40 - 2054 of 2350

martin
I agree hoping to recover all my losses on my other stocks with the help of SER.

CWMAM - 29 Sep 2008 13:11 - 2055 of 2350

Just bought @ 4.95 looking good value.

driver - 29 Sep 2008 14:24 - 2056 of 2350

Also had a small top up @4.75 and a top up on my CMR silly prices.

martinl2 - 29 Sep 2008 15:13 - 2057 of 2350

Which broker did you use driver? Best i can get is 4.95.

driver - 29 Sep 2008 16:29 - 2058 of 2350

martin
Barclays, it was going up and down on the quote minute by minute.
Now quoting 4.59 @1627hrs

martinl2 - 03 Oct 2008 11:46 - 2059 of 2350

12 Reasons Why Sefton is a Strong BUY

1. CBM drilling in Kansas to begin in the near future
2. Infill wells to be drilled on the Tapia field scheduled for November
3. Low risk, low cost route to significant increases in production (and booked reserves) with cyclic steaming
4. Resource at Eureka to be further defined with a view to drilling in due course
5. Enhanced finance facility upto $15m on very competitive terms
6. Low running costs
7. Many years of reserves
8. Profitable, forecast pe of 4.0 for this year (at current sp and $/)
9. New broker/nomad recruited to enhance profile in the marketplace
10. Good level of director share ownership
11. Company can now buy back shares if/when appropriate
12. Shareprice near 3-year lows

barclay - 03 Oct 2008 21:30 - 2060 of 2350


I would also like to add 1 other reason: governments are borrowing trillions of dollars to bail out banks, and the only way they can pay this back is by 1) Higher taxation to meet higher debt interest (very unlikely) or 2) Inflation (debasing their currencies) Oil and gold will be the benefactors of this, just as oil was before the collapse, Goldman Sachs predicts $200 a barrel during the next up phase.

martinl2 - 07 Oct 2008 11:53 - 2061 of 2350

4.25p now! This has got to be the sale of the century.

Time for the company to start buying back shares in the millions, cannot lose at this price.

$375k due in the next few weeks from the telecom company should pay for a few?

explosive - 07 Oct 2008 12:51 - 2062 of 2350

Glad I sold out months ago when the rampers were all posting on this thread. Sale of the century I think not, we're just getting back to NAV rather than high premiums.

martinl2 - 07 Oct 2008 13:23 - 2063 of 2350

So being on a current year p/e of 3.5 counts for nothing does it?

2-5M+ barrels of proven developed oil reserves in the USA are worth less than $2 a barrel are they?

And why was a bank happy to grant them a $15m credit facility at such competitive terms if the entire company's assets are only worth half of that?

And why would a phone company pay them $375,000 for a few square metres in the corner of their Tapia field just outside the town of Castaic?

Do try to think before you post such silly statements.

ptholden - 07 Oct 2008 13:59 - 2064 of 2350

Stupid comment Explosive re NAV. All oil companies (and just about everything else) are being savaged by the state of the markets.
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