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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

kuzemko - 31 Oct 2008 13:44 - 2116 of 2350

cynic,
you should read the story about the traders that went short on vw/porsche.lost 200%.they siad the same thing you did"go short"!!! lot of stories like that out there.
in my opinion now it could be a good time for a value investor over long time.lot of companies are valued well below their intrinsic values.
short/long yes you can but only for a day.

cynic - 31 Oct 2008 14:23 - 2117 of 2350

vw/porsche was a freak ...... do you happen to know the price of vw today? .... i don't, but do know that at the peak of the freak it 1,000

the answer is 522, except you couldn't short at 1,000 as no one would lend the stock

martinl2 - 31 Oct 2008 17:18 - 2118 of 2350

Good luck with your shorting cynic. Are you short Sefton at the moment?

cynic - 31 Oct 2008 17:24 - 2119 of 2350

no ..... far too small to short and would not be especially inclined to do so anyway

kuzemko - 02 Nov 2008 14:04 - 2120 of 2350

cynic,
you are very aggresive you must of lost lot of money.was a freak??? vw/por trader lost 100s millions going short.i could give you few more freak examples.like halifax said its your choice which way you go.however if you are such hot shot why you bother with small pie like ser??? you should be trading and devoting your time to ftse/etf cfd!!!
i'am not a trader, but an investor/ long term.i buy sit on and mean while still go on holidays.

cynic - 02 Nov 2008 14:28 - 2121 of 2350

i have followed SER for a long time but have never bought or sold it ..... i tell things the way i see them, even if it goes against the general view ..... my only regret is that i have not been short of any number of vulnerable stocks in the current market - how stupid can you get!?

kkeith2000 - 04 Nov 2008 12:21 - 2122 of 2350

Breaking new all time low now, even sells for 50 coming in

Even during a bad month in Oct some stocks starting to recover

Urgent action needed by the company or we may be wiped off -)

martinl2 - 04 Nov 2008 12:33 - 2123 of 2350

I agree. Maybe time to spend some of that $375,000 (235,000) free money.

halifax - 04 Nov 2008 12:50 - 2124 of 2350

Seems a little odd after directors buying at 4p a couple of weeks ago?

CWMAM - 04 Nov 2008 13:04 - 2125 of 2350

Just bought @ 2.8p this must be the bottom.

cynic - 04 Nov 2008 13:05 - 2126 of 2350

why so?

halifax - 04 Nov 2008 13:06 - 2127 of 2350

CWMAM shown as a sale, what are the mm's up to?

CWMAM - 04 Nov 2008 13:10 - 2128 of 2350

No idea ,have been bying lately most trades showing as sells.

CWMAM - 06 Nov 2008 13:18 - 2129 of 2350

bought@2.8 showing as a sell again??

cynic - 06 Nov 2008 13:21 - 2130 of 2350

prob cos they can't believe anyone is buying!

martinl2 - 06 Nov 2008 14:09 - 2131 of 2350

Do you think all shares should be worth zero at the moment cynic?

driver - 06 Nov 2008 15:35 - 2132 of 2350

All buys over the last couple of days should get an update soon its well over due.

halifax - 06 Nov 2008 15:39 - 2133 of 2350

cynic don't understand why you are constantly down on SER whereas you think HAWK is a buy. Both companies are in the same business, except SER are producing and selling oil and HAWK has yet to generate any meaningful sales.

cynic - 06 Nov 2008 16:02 - 2134 of 2350

it happens that i cannot deal in SER on CFDs whereas I can with HAWK ..... i don't think SER is a "terrible" company - unlike ELP etc! - but it has been unloved for the last 12/24 months ..... further, its cap is so tiny that it must surely be illiquid and in any case, the slightest sneeze makes it effectively untradable and/or the margin is disproportionately large

driver - 06 Nov 2008 16:20 - 2135 of 2350

cynic
Thanks for your thoughts its just that we don't want any deramping at the moment but feel free to come back and visit us soon.
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