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SEFTON RESOURCES INC - UNDERRATED OIL PRODUCER (SER)     

ptholden - 04 Aug 2006 19:53


???

Sefton Resources is an independent AIM quoted Oil and Gas company operating in the US. The companys principal current assets are two producing oilfields in California (Tapia Canyon Field and Eureka Canyon Field); it is also in the process of buying up prospective coal bed methane acreage (CBM) in Kansas.

Update from July 2007 AGM

Finance

I revealed in my annual statement that discussions were well advanced with
Banking institutions. The final phase of the agreement with a suitable bank
without complex and restrictive terms is now very near. This is weeks away
rather than months.

Oil

Oil production at Tapia has averaged 4,100 BO during the last five months. Which
is in line with last years levels. Once this finance is in place we will be able
to move ahead with drilling.

Drilling

We have stayed close to drilling contractors and we are ready to move forward
quickly when this finance is available.

Steam generation

The equipment is now in place at Tapia. Preparation time is needed to connect
the equipment and carry out the necessary trials required to get the main work
started. We anticipate this steaming will start in the next couple of months. If
successful a significant amount of oil resources will move into the Proven
Producing Reserves category.

Joint Ventures

Discussions continue with a number of interested parties to develop our Anderson
counties gas assets.

New finance team

A new CFO has been appointed with good knowledge and experience of the oil
industry. A new assistant to undertake all the daily needs has also been
appointed.


SWOT ANALYSIS

STRENGTHS:

Sefton has two oil fields, both producing. One is already profitable, and the other is breaking even. This should generate good cashflow for the company over the medium term.
Sefton owns 100% of both its major oil interests and is now demerging its non-controlled oil interests in order to concentrate on those where it has full control (Sefton has recently disposed of its Canadian assets for CDN450k cash).
Sefton is establishing a track record of using modern extraction technologies to improve the efficiency of its fields.

WEAKNESSES:

Sefton has suffered from a number of one-off factors. While these were out of the companys control the problems it has faced since 2002 have held back development and taken up management time. Investor disenchantment may account for the current low rating.

OPPORTUNITIES:

Sefton has acquired acreage for CBM (coal bed methane) in Kansas. CBM gas production is a thriving market and Sefton believes it has acquired the acreage at advantageous prices. While this is a longer term prospect it is an exciting one and could eventually eclipse the oil interests.
There are a number of other fields in the Ventura Basin and more generally in California as a whole that Sefton may look to target now its cash flows are stronger.
Eureka is a semi-exploration play which may contain further upside. This cannot yet be evaluated.
At this valuation the company may prove an attractive target for a larger player.

THREATS

Owing to its geographical location the company continues to be exposed to the threat of bush fires, canyon floods and geological interruption (earthquake risk). Sefton is taking steps to mitigate this risk by investing in Kansas and although Forest Basin area is susceptible to tornados - gas facilities have a minimal surface footprint.

LINKS:

Sefton Resources Web Site

Quarterly Update (Mar 08)

Operations Update Dated 14 January 2008

Hardman Report

Final Results - Year Ended 31 Dec 2006

2007 AGM & Update

In The News - Oil Barrel Dated 31 January 2007

Daily California Crude Oil Prices (MIDWAY SUNSET 13)

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SER&Si

driver - 21 Apr 2007 16:13 - 486 of 2350

rhino213 Re golden cross
Definition

In technical analysis, what happens when the short moving average price of a stock (say, its 20-day moving average) cuts above a longer moving average (say, its 50-day average).

For chartists, this cross is a sign that sentiment in the market has turned decidedly in favour of the stock, especially if up to that point two moving averages have been moving roughly in parallel.

RAS - 21 Apr 2007 17:43 - 487 of 2350

In addition, for a true golden cross, both moving averages should be rising at the point of crossing, which in this case they will be.

I do like the golden cross actually, it basically just confirms what you can already see - that the price has found a new rising trend or a sharper rising trend after spending a while flatlining.

cynic - 21 Apr 2007 18:43 - 488 of 2350

i confess that even though i am a chart fan (no secret there), golden and dead crosses leave me cold, so to speak ..... in fact, this particular GC is a bit weak insofar as the 200 dma is not exactly on a charge - i.e to me, GC = strong cross by 50 + 200 dma and NOT 25 + 50 .... anyway, is there any solid reason for the recent strong sp performance, or is it just hype following hope?

ptholden - 21 Apr 2007 19:44 - 489 of 2350

Cynic

It's just hype following hope, of course. If you want to know why the SP is recovering I suggest you do some research, most of which is in the header.

Incidentally the GC may leave you cold, but it is considered an extremely Bullish indicator by those who have some knowledge of TA; incidentally the MAs on the SER chart I have posted are 50 & 200, NOT 25 & 50.

pth

Edit: Oh, and if the 200 MA was on a charge the other MAs would be above it, do buck up!

cynic - 21 Apr 2007 20:10 - 490 of 2350

200 dma is flat ..... haven't looked at the header i must confess as this stock too small for me to invest in, but someone asked me to have a look (i think) ..... anyway, even i don't get it right every time .... lol!

john50 - 21 Apr 2007 20:24 - 491 of 2350

http://www.energyandcapital.com/articles/energy-coalbed+methane-big+cat/404/

Big Cat will charge operators only $833 per tool per month. That's less than half the average American's monthly mortgage.

RAS - 23 Apr 2007 12:35 - 492 of 2350

Nice find john50.

Bid price appears to have increased to 7.25p this morning.

Greyhound - 23 Apr 2007 12:44 - 493 of 2350

RAS, it has indeed despite what the screens tell you!

john50 - 23 Apr 2007 20:17 - 494 of 2350

From advfn.
APRIL HARDMAN REPORT OUT!
We understand that the new engineering evaluation by a
well established and highly regarded firm is now complete.
Once we are in receipt of this data we will be in a position
to restate our financial forecasts.

kkeith2000 - 23 Apr 2007 21:11 - 495 of 2350

Thanks john50 it maybe interesting when it comes out

Greyhound - 24 Apr 2007 08:05 - 496 of 2350

Suspect we'll start to tick higher before the info is commonly known.

Greyhound - 24 Apr 2007 09:23 - 497 of 2350

Just been topping up.

john50 - 24 Apr 2007 09:45 - 498 of 2350

The person that bought the 100k paid 8.50 when the offer was at 8.25

Greyhound - 24 Apr 2007 09:51 - 499 of 2350

I've been buying with a traditional broker and it's difficult. Not all my trades showing yet either.

moonshine - 24 Apr 2007 12:22 - 500 of 2350

Actually john50, they paid 8.50 when the offer was 8.00p. The trade caused the price to go to 8.25p, and then a 60k buy took the price to 8.50p.

Greyhound - 26 Apr 2007 13:09 - 501 of 2350

Good to see a narrower spread here (for the moment anyway!). Looks like we should be heading higher...

kkeith2000 - 26 Apr 2007 13:24 - 502 of 2350

Am not sure of the limit's but could not buy 7500 but could sell 100,000 that was with TDW

Greyhound - 26 Apr 2007 13:56 - 503 of 2350

kk, interesting. see we're back at flat on the day now. I would have thought we'd start to see this head back to 9/10p level now ahead of news.

RAS - 26 Apr 2007 14:00 - 504 of 2350

This rise before news is most welcome. Gives it a higher platform to start on when news does come out and all the 'day-traders' jump in :)

ptholden - 26 Apr 2007 14:56 - 505 of 2350

Bit odd, that's the second 66,666 reported trade on consecutive days, wonder what that's all about?
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